AI Football Tips: Serie A round 24

The beautiful game is back! Serie A is reaching its crescendo, and the stakes are higher than ever as we enter Round 24. Every match becomes a nail-biter, with every point a precious commodity in this tightly contested battle for supremacy. The intensity rises, the passions run deeper, and the possibilities seem endless. With AI analysis crunching mountains of data, we’re looking at some fascinating predictions for this round. Could this be the week when a dark horse makes a surprise move? Or will established giants assert their dominance once again? Did you know that Serie A boasts one of the oldest and most passionate fan bases in football history? The energy of these supporters fuels the atmosphere inside stadiums, making it a truly magical experience. With every home advantage and away challenge, there’s a story waiting to be told. Remember though, while the thrill of the game can be intoxicating, please gamble responsibly. Let the spectacle begin!

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Serie A round 24. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date	League	Home Team	Away Team	Prediction	Asian
2025-02-07	Serie A	Como	Juventus	A	1X2
2025-02-08	Serie A	Hellas Verona	Atalanta	A	1X2
2025-02-08	Serie A	Empoli	Milan	A	1X2
2025-02-08	Serie A	Torino	Genoa	A	+0.5
2025-02-09	Serie A	Venezia	Roma	A	1X2
2025-02-09	Serie A	Cagliari	Parma	H	1X2
2025-02-09	Serie A	Lazio	Monza	H	No bet
2025-02-09	Serie A	Lecce	Bologna	A	1X2
2025-02-09	Serie A	Napoli	Udinese	H	No bet
2025-02-10	Serie A	Inter	Fiorentina	H	No bet

Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	BTS Home (%)	BTS Away (%)	BTS Target
2025-02-07	Como	Juventus	75	58	1.50
2025-02-08	Hellas Verona	Atalanta	36	42	2.56
2025-02-08	Empoli	Milan	36	70	1.88
2025-02-08	Torino	Genoa	36	36	2.75
2025-02-09	Venezia	Roma	55	64	1.69
2025-02-09	Cagliari	Parma	42	64	1.90
2025-02-09	Lazio	Monza	73	55	1.57
2025-02-09	Lecce	Bologna	45	64	1.83
2025-02-09	Napoli	Udinese	27	73	2.00
2025-02-10	Inter	Fiorentina	64	45	1.83

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Goal Avg.	+2.5 target odds	-2.5 target odds
2025-02-07	Como	Juventus	2.92	1.79	2.27
2025-02-08	Hellas Verona	Atalanta	2.88	1.82	2.22
2025-02-08	Empoli	Milan	2.22	2.61	1.62
2025-02-08	Torino	Genoa	2.00	3.09	1.48
2025-02-09	Venezia	Roma	2.41	2.31	1.76
2025-02-09	Cagliari	Parma	2.82	1.87	2.15
2025-02-09	Lazio	Monza	2.86	1.84	2.20
2025-02-09	Lecce	Bologna	3.00	1.73	2.36
2025-02-09	Napoli	Udinese	2.54	2.14	1.87
2025-02-10	Inter	Fiorentina	3.05	1.70	2.43

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team	Home Goals	Home Conceded	Away Goals	Away Conceded
Inter	2.36	1.18	2.50	0.75
Atalanta	2.64	1.45	1.67	0.83
Fiorentina	1.83	1.08	1.64	0.91
Lazio	1.82	1.45	1.67	1.25
Juventus	1.75	0.83	1.67	0.92
Napoli	1.55	0.64	1.75	0.75
Bologna	1.55	0.82	1.64	1.64
Milan	1.58	0.75	1.40	1.50
Roma	2.00	1.00	0.91	1.55
Parma	1.50	1.83	1.00	1.82
Udinese	1.25	1.42	1.18	1.73
Como	1.58	1.67	0.75	1.67
Hellas Verona	1.00	2.27	1.25	1.92
Cagliari	1.08	1.75	1.00	1.55
Torino	0.82	0.91	1.25	1.42
Empoli	0.45	1.09	1.42	1.75
Venezia	1.09	1.27	0.83	2.00
Genoa	1.00	1.33	0.82	1.45
Monza	0.83	1.42	0.91	1.55
Lecce	0.82	1.91	0.75	1.67

No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Median Home	Median Away
2025-02-07	Como	Juventus	2.30	2.00
2025-02-08	Hellas Verona	Atalanta	2.20	2.25
2025-02-08	Empoli	Milan	1.50	2.95
2025-02-08	Torino	Genoa	2.10	1.80
2025-02-09	Venezia	Roma	1.80	2.30
2025-02-09	Cagliari	Parma	2.95	2.30
2025-02-09	Lazio	Monza	2.70	1.80
2025-02-09	Lecce	Bologna	3.10	1.80
2025-02-09	Napoli	Udinese	2.50	2.10
2025-02-10	Inter	Fiorentina	2.50	1.90