AI Football Tips: Serie A round 16

Get ready for a thrilling round of Serie A action as we delve into the heart of Italian football’s passionate rivalry! The sixteenth round promises another feast of drama and unexpected twists as these titans clash, vying for supremacy on the pitch. With every match brimming with potential for an upset, this weekend could be a turning point in the season’s narrative. Kick-off the excitement with Lazio versus Inter – a fixture that always ignites the atmosphere. Will home advantage propel Lazio to victory? The drama doesn’t end there, as the final showdown sees Como against Roma. Both teams are hungry for victory!
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Serie A round 16. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2024-12-13 Serie A Empoli Torino H 0
2024-12-14 Serie A Cagliari Atalanta A 1X2
2024-12-14 Serie A Udinese Napoli A 1X2
2024-12-14 Serie A Juventus Venezia H No bet
2024-12-15 Serie A Lecce Monza H 0
2024-12-15 Serie A Bologna Fiorentina H 0
2024-12-15 Serie A Parma Hellas Verona H 1X2
2024-12-15 Serie A Como Roma H +0.25
2024-12-15 Serie A Milan Genoa H No bet
2024-12-16 Serie A Lazio Inter H +0.25

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team Home +2.5(%) Away +2.5 (%)
2024-12-13 Empoli Torino 14 50
2024-12-14 Cagliari Atalanta 38 62
2024-12-14 Udinese Napoli 29 29
2024-12-14 Juventus Venezia 38 75
2024-12-15 Lecce Monza 43 29
2024-12-15 Bologna Fiorentina 17 29
2024-12-15 Parma Hellas Verona 62 57
2024-12-15 Como Roma 50 29
2024-12-15 Milan Genoa 57 33
2024-12-16 Lazio Inter 100 67

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%)
2024-12-13 Empoli Torino 14 50
2024-12-14 Cagliari Atalanta 38 38
2024-12-14 Udinese Napoli 29 14
2024-12-14 Juventus Venezia 38 50
2024-12-15 Lecce Monza 43 43
2024-12-15 Bologna Fiorentina 50 29
2024-12-15 Parma Hellas Verona 88 57
2024-12-15 Como Roma 83 57
2024-12-15 Milan Genoa 14 17
2024-12-16 Lazio Inter 71 50

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2024-12-13 Empoli Torino 1.94
2024-12-14 Cagliari Atalanta 2.88
2024-12-14 Udinese Napoli 2.08
2024-12-14 Juventus Venezia 2.38
2024-12-15 Lecce Monza 2.50
2024-12-15 Bologna Fiorentina 2.05
2024-12-15 Parma Hellas Verona 3.27
2024-12-15 Como Roma 2.90
2024-12-15 Milan Genoa 2.46
2024-12-16 Lazio Inter 3.31

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Atalanta 3.14 1.29 2.00 1.00
Inter 2.38 1.25 2.50 0.83
Fiorentina 2.14 0.86 1.86 0.57
Lazio 2.43 0.86 1.62 1.38
Milan 1.86 0.57 1.57 1.71
Juventus 1.38 0.62 1.86 0.71
Bologna 1.17 0.50 1.62 1.88
Napoli 1.50 0.75 1.29 0.57
Parma 1.50 1.75 1.29 1.57
Hellas Verona 1.38 2.62 1.00 2.29
Roma 1.62 1.25 0.71 1.57
Udinese 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.86
Como 1.33 2.17 0.89 1.67
Torino 0.86 1.00 1.25 1.62
Cagliari 1.00 1.75 1.00 1.57
Empoli 0.29 0.71 1.50 1.25
Genoa 0.89 1.56 0.83 1.67
Venezia 1.14 1.43 0.62 2.12
Monza 0.71 1.29 1.00 1.14
Lecce 0.86 2.00 0.25 1.50

No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2024-12-13 Empoli Torino 1.30 2.20
2024-12-14 Cagliari Atalanta 2.45 2.35
2024-12-14 Udinese Napoli 2.10 1.80
2024-12-14 Juventus Venezia 1.60 2.85
2024-12-15 Lecce Monza 3.20 1.40
2024-12-15 Bologna Fiorentina 2.20 1.60
2024-12-15 Parma Hellas Verona 3.75 2.50
2024-12-15 Como Roma 2.40 2.00
2024-12-15 Milan Genoa 2.10 2.10
2024-12-16 Lazio Inter 2.60 2.45