AI Football Tips: La Liga round 17

Get ready for a thrilling round 17 in La Liga! The intensity is rising as we approach this pivotal stage of the season where every point counts. The league, known for its passionate fanbases and unexpected twists, promises another captivating weekend of football drama. Kick off your excitement with the match between Real Sociedad and Las Palmas on December 15th! Will home advantage be enough to secure a victory? Stay tuned to see if this exciting clash ends in a home win or if there’s an upset brewing! Then, let’s finish the round with the highly anticipated showdown between Villarreal and Betis on December 15th. This encounter promises a battle of tactical brilliance as both sides fight for supremacy. Who will emerge victorious?
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for La Liga round 17. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2024-12-13 La Liga Valladolid Valencia H +0.25
2024-12-14 La Liga Espanyol Osasuna H 0
2024-12-14 La Liga Mallorca Girona H -0.25
2024-12-14 La Liga Sevilla Celta Vigo H -0.25
2024-12-14 La Liga Rayo Vallecano Real Madrid H +0.75
2024-12-15 La Liga Atlético Madrid Getafe H No bet
2024-12-15 La Liga Alavés Athletic Club H +0.5
2024-12-15 La Liga Real Sociedad Las Palmas H No bet
2024-12-15 La Liga Villarreal Betis H 1X2
2024-12-15 La Liga Barcelona Leganés H No bet

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team Home +2.5(%) Away +2.5 (%)
2024-12-13 Valladolid Valencia 50 57
2024-12-14 Espanyol Osasuna 71 43
2024-12-14 Mallorca Girona 33 25
2024-12-14 Sevilla Celta Vigo 25 86
2024-12-14 Rayo Vallecano Real Madrid 57 50
2024-12-15 Atlético Madrid Getafe 62 14
2024-12-15 Alavés Athletic Club 43 57
2024-12-15 Real Sociedad Las Palmas 38 75
2024-12-15 Villarreal Betis 86 25
2024-12-15 Barcelona Leganés 83 25

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%)
2024-12-13 Valladolid Valencia 50 43
2024-12-14 Espanyol Osasuna 71 43
2024-12-14 Mallorca Girona 44 38
2024-12-14 Sevilla Celta Vigo 38 71
2024-12-14 Rayo Vallecano Real Madrid 86 62
2024-12-15 Atlético Madrid Getafe 50 43
2024-12-15 Alavés Athletic Club 43 71
2024-12-15 Real Sociedad Las Palmas 38 75
2024-12-15 Villarreal Betis 86 50
2024-12-15 Barcelona Leganés 67 75

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2024-12-13 Valladolid Valencia 2.20
2024-12-14 Espanyol Osasuna 2.78
2024-12-14 Mallorca Girona 2.00
2024-12-14 Sevilla Celta Vigo 2.94
2024-12-14 Rayo Vallecano Real Madrid 2.60
2024-12-15 Atlético Madrid Getafe 2.36
2024-12-15 Alavés Athletic Club 2.43
2024-12-15 Real Sociedad Las Palmas 2.75
2024-12-15 Villarreal Betis 3.27
2024-12-15 Barcelona Leganés 3.31

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Barcelona 3.17 0.83 2.82 1.27
Real Madrid 2.50 0.88 1.75 0.75
Atlético Madrid 2.25 0.75 1.50 0.62
Villarreal 2.29 2.00 1.38 1.38
Celta Vigo 1.67 1.00 1.43 2.57
Athletic Club 1.60 0.70 1.43 1.14
Las Palmas 1.38 1.50 1.38 1.88
Osasuna 1.89 1.33 0.71 1.86
Girona 1.88 1.62 0.88 1.25
Alavés 1.14 1.14 1.11 2.11
Betis 1.50 1.00 0.75 1.50
Sevilla 0.88 1.00 1.25 1.88
Espanyol 1.57 1.43 0.50 2.25
Rayo Vallecano 1.29 1.43 0.75 0.75
Real Sociedad 1.12 1.12 0.88 0.25
Mallorca 0.78 1.11 1.12 1.25
Valencia 1.43 1.29 0.43 1.86
Leganés 0.75 1.25 1.00 1.62
Getafe 0.89 0.44 0.43 1.29
Valladolid 0.62 1.50 0.75 2.75

No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2024-12-13 Valladolid Valencia 2.40 2.10
2024-12-14 Espanyol Osasuna 2.80 1.90
2024-12-14 Mallorca Girona 1.50 1.55
2024-12-14 Sevilla Celta Vigo 2.05 2.60
2024-12-14 Rayo Vallecano Real Madrid 2.50 2.35
2024-12-15 Atlético Madrid Getafe 2.30 2.60
2024-12-15 Alavés Athletic Club 2.00 2.10
2024-12-15 Real Sociedad Las Palmas 2.00 2.80
2024-12-15 Villarreal Betis 3.10 2.55
2024-12-15 Barcelona Leganés 2.90 2.10