English Football

AI Football Tips: Premier League round 16

Get ready for a thrilling round of Premier League action as we delve into the heart of English footballing drama! This season, the Premier League is proving its reputation as one of the most unpredictable and exciting leagues on the planet, with every match carrying the weight of intense rivalry. The 16th round sees some of the league’s biggest names clashing in a series of crucial battles. Kick-off for this round starts with an explosive encounter between Bournemouth and West Ham United on December 16th. Will home advantage give Bournemouth the edge, or will West Ham’s attacking prowess prove too strong? The final match of this round promises another nail-biting clash as Southampton takes on Tottenham Hotspur. This clash is sure to ignite passion in both sets of fans as two teams with rich histories collide. Who will emerge victorious from these high-stakes encounters? The answers await!
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Premier League round 16. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2024-12-14 Premier League Arsenal Everton H No bet
2024-12-14 Premier League Liverpool Fulham H No bet
2024-12-14 Premier League Wolves Ipswich Town H 1X2
2024-12-14 Premier League Newcastle Utd Leicester City H No bet
2024-12-14 Premier League Nott’ham Forest Aston Villa H 0
2024-12-15 Premier League Brighton Crystal Palace H 1X2
2024-12-15 Premier League Manchester City Manchester Utd H 1X2
2024-12-15 Premier League Chelsea Brentford H No bet
2024-12-15 Premier League Southampton Tottenham A 1X2
2024-12-16 Premier League Bournemouth West Ham H 1X2

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team Home +2.5(%) Away +2.5 (%)
2024-12-14 Arsenal Everton 57 43
2024-12-14 Liverpool Fulham 43 14
2024-12-14 Wolves Ipswich Town 86 57
2024-12-14 Newcastle Utd Leicester City 29 86
2024-12-14 Nott’ham Forest Aston Villa 29 86
2024-12-15 Brighton Crystal Palace 71 57
2024-12-15 Manchester City Manchester Utd 86 43
2024-12-15 Chelsea Brentford 43 71
2024-12-15 Southampton Tottenham 57 57
2024-12-16 Bournemouth West Ham 43 43

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%)
2024-12-14 Arsenal Everton 57 29
2024-12-14 Liverpool Fulham 29 57
2024-12-14 Wolves Ipswich Town 86 71
2024-12-14 Newcastle Utd Leicester City 43 86
2024-12-14 Nott’ham Forest Aston Villa 43 71
2024-12-15 Brighton Crystal Palace 86 71
2024-12-15 Manchester City Manchester Utd 57 43
2024-12-15 Chelsea Brentford 71 71
2024-12-15 Southampton Tottenham 57 43
2024-12-16 Bournemouth West Ham 57 57

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2024-12-14 Arsenal Everton 2.93
2024-12-14 Liverpool Fulham 2.22
2024-12-14 Wolves Ipswich Town 3.72
2024-12-14 Newcastle Utd Leicester City 3.14
2024-12-14 Nott’ham Forest Aston Villa 2.72
2024-12-15 Brighton Crystal Palace 2.78
2024-12-15 Manchester City Manchester Utd 2.72
2024-12-15 Chelsea Brentford 2.78
2024-12-15 Southampton Tottenham 3.00
2024-12-16 Bournemouth West Ham 2.58

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Chelsea 1.71 1.14 2.88 1.25
Tottenham 2.50 1.38 1.57 1.14
Brentford 3.25 1.75 0.71 2.00
Liverpool 1.86 0.43 2.29 1.14
Arsenal 2.43 0.86 1.50 1.12
Manchester City 2.14 1.43 1.50 1.38
Brighton 1.71 1.29 1.62 1.62
Aston Villa 1.62 1.12 1.43 2.00
Wolves 1.57 2.57 1.50 2.50
Bournemouth 1.43 0.86 1.62 1.75
Fulham 1.75 1.62 1.14 1.00
Leicester City 1.38 1.50 1.43 2.57
West Ham 1.50 2.00 1.14 1.71
Manchester Utd 1.62 1.38 0.86 1.00
Newcastle Utd 1.14 1.14 1.38 1.62
Nott’ham Forest 1.14 0.86 1.38 1.50
Everton 1.29 1.14 0.71 1.86
Ipswich Town 0.75 1.50 1.14 2.14
Crystal Palace 0.75 1.25 1.14 1.43
Southampton 1.00 2.29 0.50 1.88

No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2024-12-14 Arsenal Everton 2.6 2.2
2024-12-14 Liverpool Fulham 3.0 2.1
2024-12-14 Wolves Ipswich Town 2.8 3.0
2024-12-14 Newcastle Utd Leicester City 2.7 3.2
2024-12-14 Nott’ham Forest Aston Villa 2.3 3.2
2024-12-15 Brighton Crystal Palace 3.0 2.8
2024-12-15 Manchester City Manchester Utd 3.1 3.0
2024-12-15 Chelsea Brentford 2.7 3.0
2024-12-15 Southampton Tottenham 3.9 3.0
2024-12-16 Bournemouth West Ham 2.7 2.5