AI Football Tips: Bundesliga round 14

Get ready for a thrilling round 14 of Bundesliga action! The German top flight is known for its passionate fans and unpredictable outcomes, making every match a nail-biting affair. The intensity will be high as these clubs battle it out on the pitch for crucial points. Kicking off the weekend’s excitement is the clash between Freiburg and Wolfsburg, taking place on December 13th. Will Freiburg secure home advantage? And rounding off the action is a showdown on December 15th where RB Leipzig will be hoping to maintain their winning streak against Eintracht Frankfurt! Will it be a nail-biting finish?
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Bundesliga round 14. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2024-12-13 Bundesliga Freiburg Wolfsburg H 1X2
2024-12-14 Bundesliga Augsburg Leverkusen A 1X2
2024-12-14 Bundesliga Mainz 05 Bayern Munich A No bet
2024-12-14 Bundesliga Gladbach Holstein Kiel H No bet
2024-12-14 Bundesliga Union Berlin Bochum H 1X2
2024-12-14 Bundesliga St. Pauli Werder Bremen H 0
2024-12-15 Bundesliga Heidenheim Stuttgart A 1X2
2024-12-15 Bundesliga Dortmund Hoffenheim H No bet
2024-12-15 Bundesliga RB Leipzig Eint Frankfurt H 1X2

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team Home +2.5(%) Away +2.5 (%)
2024-12-13 Freiburg Wolfsburg 83 67
2024-12-14 Augsburg Leverkusen 71 67
2024-12-14 Mainz 05 Bayern Munich 29 71
2024-12-14 Gladbach Holstein Kiel 57 100
2024-12-14 Union Berlin Bochum 50 57
2024-12-14 St. Pauli Werder Bremen 33 71
2024-12-15 Heidenheim Stuttgart 67 83
2024-12-15 Dortmund Hoffenheim 71 33
2024-12-15 RB Leipzig Eint Frankfurt 50 71

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%)
2024-12-13 Freiburg Wolfsburg 67 67
2024-12-14 Augsburg Leverkusen 71 100
2024-12-14 Mainz 05 Bayern Munich 57 57
2024-12-14 Gladbach Holstein Kiel 71 100
2024-12-14 Union Berlin Bochum 67 57
2024-12-14 St. Pauli Werder Bremen 17 71
2024-12-15 Heidenheim Stuttgart 17 67
2024-12-15 Dortmund Hoffenheim 71 50
2024-12-15 RB Leipzig Eint Frankfurt 33 71

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2024-12-13 Freiburg Wolfsburg 3.42
2024-12-14 Augsburg Leverkusen 3.18
2024-12-14 Mainz 05 Bayern Munich 3.43
2024-12-14 Gladbach Holstein Kiel 3.63
2024-12-14 Union Berlin Bochum 2.86
2024-12-14 St. Pauli Werder Bremen 2.76
2024-12-15 Heidenheim Stuttgart 3.00
2024-12-15 Dortmund Hoffenheim 2.77
2024-12-15 RB Leipzig Eint Frankfurt 3.04

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Bayern Munich 2.83 0.50 3.43 1.00
Eint Frankfurt 3.00 1.33 2.14 1.43
Leverkusen 2.43 1.71 2.17 1.33
Wolfsburg 1.86 2.14 2.67 1.17
Stuttgart 2.57 1.57 1.33 2.00
Dortmund 2.71 1.00 0.83 2.17
Mainz 05 1.14 1.29 2.50 1.50
RB Leipzig 1.50 1.00 1.71 1.14
Werder Bremen 1.00 1.83 2.00 1.86
Gladbach 2.00 1.43 0.83 1.33
Hoffenheim 2.14 2.43 0.50 1.33
Freiburg 1.83 1.17 0.86 1.43
Heidenheim 0.83 1.83 1.71 2.43
Augsburg 1.71 1.14 0.67 2.83
Holstein Kiel 0.57 2.71 1.50 2.33
Union Berlin 1.17 0.83 0.71 1.29
St. Pauli 0.50 1.17 1.14 1.43
Bochum 0.67 2.33 0.86 2.86

No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2024-12-13 Freiburg Wolfsburg 2.15 2.80
2024-12-14 Augsburg Leverkusen 1.80 2.40
2024-12-14 Mainz 05 Bayern Munich 2.10 2.80
2024-12-14 Gladbach Holstein Kiel 3.10 3.05
2024-12-14 Union Berlin Bochum 1.95 3.50
2024-12-14 St. Pauli Werder Bremen 2.20 2.60
2024-12-15 Heidenheim Stuttgart 2.65 3.00
2024-12-15 Dortmund Hoffenheim 3.30 2.30
2024-12-15 RB Leipzig Eint Frankfurt 2.35 3.40