AI Football Tips: Ligue 1 round 15

Get ready for a thrilling round 15 of Ligue 1! This season, the French top flight has been full of surprises, with unpredictable twists and turns keeping fans on the edge of their seats. As we head into this crucial round, anticipation is high for some captivating clashes. The action kicks off with a mouthwatering encounter between Toulouse and Saint-Étienne on December 13th. Expect fireworks as these two classic rivals battle it out for supremacy! And finally, the penultimate fixture sees Paris S-G take on Lyon on December 15th – a match that promises to be another explosive encounter in what has been a truly unforgettable Ligue 1 season. Will home advantage prevail? Will upsets abound? Tune in to find out!
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Ligue 1 round 15. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2024-12-13 Ligue 1 Toulouse Saint-Étienne H 1X2
2024-12-14 Ligue 1 Marseille Lille H -0.25
2024-12-14 Ligue 1 Auxerre Lens A 1X2
2024-12-14 Ligue 1 Reims Monaco H +0.5
2024-12-15 Ligue 1 Montpellier Nice A -0.25
2024-12-15 Ligue 1 Rennes Angers H 1X2
2024-12-15 Ligue 1 Brest Nantes H 1X2
2024-12-15 Ligue 1 Le Havre Strasbourg H +0.25
2024-12-15 Ligue 1 Paris S-G Lyon H No bet

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team Home +2.5(%) Away +2.5 (%)
2024-12-13 Toulouse Saint-Étienne 29 71
2024-12-14 Marseille Lille 67 43
2024-12-14 Auxerre Lens 71 14
2024-12-14 Reims Monaco 43 83
2024-12-15 Montpellier Nice 86 43
2024-12-15 Rennes Angers 57 0
2024-12-15 Brest Nantes 43 43
2024-12-15 Le Havre Strasbourg 71 71
2024-12-15 Paris S-G Lyon 71 57

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%)
2024-12-13 Toulouse Saint-Étienne 43 29
2024-12-14 Marseille Lille 67 29
2024-12-14 Auxerre Lens 29 43
2024-12-14 Reims Monaco 71 67
2024-12-15 Montpellier Nice 71 57
2024-12-15 Rennes Angers 29 43
2024-12-15 Brest Nantes 43 71
2024-12-15 Le Havre Strasbourg 29 86
2024-12-15 Paris S-G Lyon 57 43

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2024-12-13 Toulouse Saint-Étienne 3.07
2024-12-14 Marseille Lille 2.64
2024-12-14 Auxerre Lens 2.22
2024-12-14 Reims Monaco 2.93
2024-12-15 Montpellier Nice 3.22
2024-12-15 Rennes Angers 2.14
2024-12-15 Brest Nantes 2.86
2024-12-15 Le Havre Strasbourg 3.64
2024-12-15 Paris S-G Lyon 3.07

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Paris S-G 3.00 0.71 2.29 0.86
Marseille 1.33 1.67 2.88 0.88
Lyon 2.14 1.57 1.57 0.86
Nice 2.57 1.00 1.14 1.43
Lille 1.86 1.29 1.57 0.71
Monaco 1.50 0.75 2.00 1.00
Strasbourg 1.57 1.14 1.57 2.71
Auxerre 1.71 0.71 1.29 2.29
Brest 1.86 1.14 1.00 2.57
Reims 1.29 1.57 1.57 1.00
Rennes 2.00 0.71 0.57 2.14
Lens 1.14 1.00 1.29 0.71
Nantes 1.14 1.29 1.14 1.57
Toulouse 1.14 0.86 1.00 1.43
Angers 1.29 2.57 0.71 0.86
Montpellier 1.43 2.43 0.43 2.71
Saint-Étienne 1.00 1.00 0.57 3.57
Le Havre 0.71 2.29 0.86 1.43

No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2024-12-13 Toulouse Saint-Étienne 1.80 3.30
2024-12-14 Marseille Lille 2.85 3.00
2024-12-14 Auxerre Lens 2.70 2.20
2024-12-14 Reims Monaco 2.40 2.25
2024-12-15 Montpellier Nice 2.80 2.80
2024-12-15 Rennes Angers 2.00 1.80
2024-12-15 Brest Nantes 2.50 2.50
2024-12-15 Le Havre Strasbourg 3.00 3.60
2024-12-15 Paris S-G Lyon 3.90 2.70