AI Football Tips: Primeira Liga round 14

Get ready for a thrilling round of Primeira Liga action! This season, the Portuguese top flight is known for its unpredictable twists and turns, with each match bringing fresh excitement and drama. The spotlight falls on two key matchups to kick off Round 14. The first encounter features **Estoril** facing off against **Casa Pia**, a clash of contrasting styles that promises an intriguing tactical battle. Will Estoril continue its home dominance or will Casa Pia pull off an upset? Stay tuned for the final whistle! The action concludes later with the exciting showdown between **Braga** and **Famalicão**. These two sides have always delivered passionate encounters, making this clash a must-watch event. Can Braga maintain their home advantage or can Famalicão spoil their party?
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Primeira Liga round 14. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date	League	Home Team	Away Team	Prediction	Asian
2024-12-14	Primeira Liga	Farense	Gil Vicente FC	H	0
2024-12-14	Primeira Liga	Nacional	Moreirense	H	0
2024-12-14	Primeira Liga	Sporting CP	Boavista	H	No bet
2024-12-15	Primeira Liga	Arouca	Santa Clara	A	-0.25
2024-12-15	Primeira Liga	AVS Futebol	Benfica	A	No bet
2024-12-15	Primeira Liga	Estoril	Casa Pia	A	0
2024-12-16	Primeira Liga	Braga	Famalicão	H	No bet
2024-12-16	Primeira Liga	Porto	Estrela	H	No bet
2024-12-16	Primeira Liga	Rio Ave	Vitória	H	+0.5

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Home +2.5(%)	Away +2.5 (%)
2024-12-14	Farense	Gil Vicente FC	50	71
2024-12-14	Nacional	Moreirense	40	71
2024-12-14	Sporting CP	Boavista	50	43
2024-12-15	Arouca	Santa Clara	33	33
2024-12-15	AVS Futebol	Benfica	29	40
2024-12-15	Estoril	Casa Pia	57	33
2024-12-16	Braga	Famalicão	57	67
2024-12-16	Porto	Estrela	71	33
2024-12-16	Rio Ave	Vitória	50	14

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	BTS Home (%)	BTS Away (%)
2024-12-14	Farense	Gil Vicente FC	33	57
2024-12-14	Nacional	Moreirense	20	71
2024-12-14	Sporting CP	Boavista	33	43
2024-12-15	Arouca	Santa Clara	33	33
2024-12-15	AVS Futebol	Benfica	29	40
2024-12-15	Estoril	Casa Pia	43	33
2024-12-16	Braga	Famalicão	57	67
2024-12-16	Porto	Estrela	29	33
2024-12-16	Rio Ave	Vitória	67	29

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Goal Avg.
2024-12-14	Farense	Gil Vicente FC	2.81
2024-12-14	Nacional	Moreirense	2.97
2024-12-14	Sporting CP	Boavista	2.50
2024-12-15	Arouca	Santa Clara	2.34
2024-12-15	AVS Futebol	Benfica	2.27
2024-12-15	Estoril	Casa Pia	2.38
2024-12-16	Braga	Famalicão	3.05
2024-12-16	Porto	Estrela	2.66
2024-12-16	Rio Ave	Vitória	2.27

The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance at home or away, respectively.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Median Home	Median Away
2024-12-14	Farense	Gil Vicente FC	2.55	2.20
2024-12-14	Nacional	Moreirense	2.30	3.00
2024-12-14	Sporting CP	Boavista	3.15	2.20
2024-12-15	Arouca	Santa Clara	2.65	2.15
2024-12-15	AVS Futebol	Benfica	2.00	2.00
2024-12-15	Estoril	Casa Pia	2.30	2.30
2024-12-16	Braga	Famalicão	2.60	2.20
2024-12-16	Porto	Estrela	3.70	2.15
2024-12-16	Rio Ave	Vitória	2.90	1.70

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team	Home Goals	Home Conceded	Away Goals	Away Conceded
Sporting CP	2.50	0.50	3.57	0.71
Benfica	3.29	0.43	1.60	0.80
Porto	2.71	0.29	2.00	1.17
Braga	2.00	1.43	1.33	0.50
Moreirense	1.67	0.83	1.29	1.86
Vitória	1.67	1.00	0.86	0.86
Santa Clara	1.14	0.57	1.33	1.33
Gil Vicente FC	1.83	1.00	0.71	2.57
Famalicão	0.71	0.71	1.50	1.17
Rio Ave	1.67	1.17	0.43	2.29
Estoril	1.14	1.29	0.67	1.67
Casa Pia	1.00	1.00	0.67	1.67
Estrela	1.33	1.50	0.33	2.00
AVS Futebol	0.71	1.43	0.83	1.83
Boavista	0.17	1.50	1.00	1.00
Nacional	1.00	1.80	0.29	1.14
Farense	0.67	1.67	0.43	1.29
Arouca	0.50	1.50	0.50	2.00