AI Football Tips: Premier League round 24

Get ready for a thrilling Round 24 of Premier League action! The intensity is rising as clubs battle for every point, and the race for European places intensifies. This round promises another chapter filled with dramatic twists and turns. Kick off your excitement by looking forward to the clash between Arsenal and Manchester City on February 3rd. Will history repeat itself? Or will we see a new champion rise? The final fixture of Round 24 sees Chelsea welcome West Ham United to Stamford Bridge on February 3rd. Can Chelsea extend their home advantage or will West Ham pull off an upset? This clash is sure to be one of the most exciting matches of the round. Get ready for a weekend full of footballing fireworks!
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Premier League round 24. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date	League	Home Team	Away Team	Prediction	Asian
2025-02-01	Premier League	Nott’ham Forest	Brighton	H	0
2025-02-01	Premier League	Bournemouth	Liverpool	A	1X2
2025-02-01	Premier League	Everton	Leicester City	H	1X2
2025-02-01	Premier League	Newcastle Utd	Fulham	H	1X2
2025-02-01	Premier League	Ipswich Town	Southampton	H	1X2
2025-02-01	Premier League	Wolves	Aston Villa	A	1X2
2025-02-02	Premier League	Brentford	Tottenham	H	1X2
2025-02-02	Premier League	Manchester Utd	Crystal Palace	H	1X2
2025-02-02	Premier League	Arsenal	Manchester City	H	1X2
2025-02-03	Premier League	Chelsea	West Ham	H	No bet

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Home +2.5(%)	Away +2.5 (%)
2025-02-01	Nott’ham Forest	Brighton	36	67
2025-02-01	Bournemouth	Liverpool	36	64
2025-02-01	Everton	Leicester City	45	91
2025-02-01	Newcastle Utd	Fulham	55	36
2025-02-01	Ipswich Town	Southampton	33	50
2025-02-01	Wolves	Aston Villa	73	82
2025-02-02	Brentford	Tottenham	75	64
2025-02-02	Manchester Utd	Crystal Palace	75	45
2025-02-02	Arsenal	Manchester City	55	67
2025-02-03	Chelsea	West Ham	64	36

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	BTS Home (%)	BTS Away (%)	BTS Target
2025-02-01	Nott’ham Forest	Brighton	55	75	1.54
2025-02-01	Bournemouth	Liverpool	45	55	2.00
2025-02-01	Everton	Leicester City	36	82	1.69
2025-02-01	Newcastle Utd	Fulham	36	64	2.00
2025-02-01	Ipswich Town	Southampton	42	58	2.00
2025-02-01	Wolves	Aston Villa	64	64	1.57
2025-02-02	Brentford	Tottenham	83	45	1.55
2025-02-02	Manchester Utd	Crystal Palace	42	55	2.08
2025-02-02	Arsenal	Manchester City	55	67	1.65
2025-02-03	Chelsea	West Ham	82	64	1.37

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Goal Avg.	+2.5 target odds	-2.5 target odds
2025-02-01	Nott’ham Forest	Brighton	2.72	1.96	2.05
2025-02-01	Bournemouth	Liverpool	3.00	1.73	2.36
2025-02-01	Everton	Leicester City	3.04	1.71	2.41
2025-02-01	Newcastle Utd	Fulham	2.73	1.95	2.06
2025-02-01	Ipswich Town	Southampton	2.62	2.06	1.95
2025-02-01	Wolves	Aston Villa	3.32	1.55	2.81
2025-02-02	Brentford	Tottenham	3.66	1.41	3.42
2025-02-02	Manchester Utd	Crystal Palace	2.72	1.96	2.05
2025-02-02	Arsenal	Manchester City	3.00	1.73	2.36
2025-02-03	Chelsea	West Ham	2.91	1.80	2.25

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team	Home Goals	Home Conceded	Away Goals	Away Conceded
Liverpool	2.18	0.82	2.73	1.09
Manchester City	2.18	1.36	1.92	1.25
Tottenham	2.25	1.92	1.73	1.27
Chelsea	1.82	1.27	2.08	1.33
Arsenal	2.00	0.82	1.83	1.00
Brentford	2.42	1.92	1.18	1.55
Bournemouth	1.55	0.64	2.00	1.58
Newcastle Utd	1.73	1.09	1.83	1.25
Brighton	1.27	1.27	1.75	1.42
Fulham	1.50	1.50	1.45	1.18
Aston Villa	1.67	1.17	1.27	1.91
Nott’ham Forest	1.36	0.91	1.50	1.42
Wolves	1.27	2.18	1.50	2.33
Manchester Utd	1.42	1.67	1.00	1.09
West Ham	1.33	2.17	1.09	1.64
Crystal Palace	0.92	1.58	1.36	1.00
Leicester City	0.92	1.75	1.27	2.55
Ipswich Town	0.67	2.00	1.18	2.09
Everton	1.09	1.18	0.64	1.36
Southampton	0.73	2.73	0.67	1.92

No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Median Home	Median Away
2025-02-01	Nott’ham Forest	Brighton	2.20	2.65
2025-02-01	Bournemouth	Liverpool	2.70	3.20
2025-02-01	Everton	Leicester City	2.20	2.60
2025-02-01	Newcastle Utd	Fulham	2.90	2.50
2025-02-01	Ipswich Town	Southampton	2.50	2.65
2025-02-01	Wolves	Aston Villa	2.80	2.90
2025-02-02	Brentford	Tottenham	2.95	2.60
2025-02-02	Manchester Utd	Crystal Palace	2.70	2.80
2025-02-02	Arsenal	Manchester City	1.90	2.95
2025-02-03	Chelsea	West Ham	3.40	2.90