English Football

AI Football Tips: Premier League round 17

Get ready for a thrilling Round 17 of Premier League action! This season, the battle for supremacy is hotter than ever, with every point contested fiercely. The intensity will be palpable as teams jostle for position and dream of European glory. Kick off your matchday experience with the early clash between Tottenham Hotspur and Liverpool on December 22nd. Will a goal-hungry attacker break through? This fixture promises a feast of attacking brilliance and tactical masterclasses from both sides. Expect nothing less than fireworks as these titans collide! The final showdown of the round sees Manchester United take on Bournemouth on December 22nd. Can they secure a victory in their own backyard?
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Premier League round 17. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2024-12-21 Premier League Aston Villa Manchester City H +0.25
2024-12-21 Premier League Brentford Nott’ham Forest A +0.25
2024-12-21 Premier League West Ham Brighton H 0
2024-12-21 Premier League Ipswich Town Newcastle Utd A 1X2
2024-12-21 Premier League Crystal Palace Arsenal A 1X2
2024-12-22 Premier League Manchester Utd Bournemouth H 1X2
2024-12-22 Premier League Everton Chelsea A 1X2
2024-12-22 Premier League Fulham Southampton H No bet
2024-12-22 Premier League Leicester City Wolves A 0
2024-12-22 Premier League Tottenham Liverpool A 1X2

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team Home +2.5(%) Away +2.5 (%)
2024-12-21 Aston Villa Manchester City 50 62
2024-12-21 Brentford Nott’ham Forest 88 62
2024-12-21 West Ham Brighton 88 75
2024-12-21 Ipswich Town Newcastle Utd 25 62
2024-12-21 Crystal Palace Arsenal 25 25
2024-12-22 Manchester Utd Bournemouth 75 62
2024-12-22 Everton Chelsea 57 75
2024-12-22 Fulham Southampton 75 38
2024-12-22 Leicester City Wolves 62 75
2024-12-22 Tottenham Liverpool 75 71

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%)
2024-12-21 Aston Villa Manchester City 62 75
2024-12-21 Brentford Nott’ham Forest 100 50
2024-12-21 West Ham Brighton 75 75
2024-12-21 Ipswich Town Newcastle Utd 62 88
2024-12-21 Crystal Palace Arsenal 38 50
2024-12-22 Manchester Utd Bournemouth 38 75
2024-12-22 Everton Chelsea 43 75
2024-12-22 Fulham Southampton 100 50
2024-12-22 Leicester City Wolves 88 75
2024-12-22 Tottenham Liverpool 75 57

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2024-12-21 Aston Villa Manchester City 2.82
2024-12-21 Brentford Nott’ham Forest 3.94
2024-12-21 West Ham Brighton 3.38
2024-12-21 Ipswich Town Newcastle Utd 2.62
2024-12-21 Crystal Palace Arsenal 2.31
2024-12-22 Manchester Utd Bournemouth 3.19
2024-12-22 Everton Chelsea 3.28
2024-12-22 Fulham Southampton 2.88
2024-12-22 Leicester City Wolves 3.44
2024-12-22 Tottenham Liverpool 3.66

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Chelsea 1.75 1.12 2.88 1.25
Tottenham 2.50 1.38 2.00 1.00
Liverpool 1.88 0.62 2.29 1.14
Brentford 3.25 1.75 0.75 2.00
Arsenal 2.12 0.75 1.50 1.12
Manchester City 2.00 1.50 1.50 1.38
Brighton 1.62 1.50 1.62 1.62
Aston Villa 1.62 1.12 1.38 2.00
Wolves 1.50 2.50 1.50 2.50
Fulham 1.75 1.62 1.25 1.12
Bournemouth 1.38 0.88 1.62 1.75
Newcastle Utd 1.50 1.00 1.38 1.62
Manchester Utd 1.62 1.38 1.00 1.00
Nott’ham Forest 1.25 0.88 1.38 1.50
West Ham 1.50 2.00 1.12 1.62
Leicester City 1.38 1.50 1.25 2.75
Crystal Palace 0.75 1.25 1.38 1.38
Ipswich Town 0.75 1.50 1.25 2.00
Everton 1.29 1.14 0.62 1.62
Southampton 0.88 2.62 0.50 1.88

No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2024-12-21 Aston Villa Manchester City 2.70 2.95
2024-12-21 Brentford Nott’ham Forest 3.25 2.05
2024-12-21 West Ham Brighton 3.35 2.85
2024-12-21 Ipswich Town Newcastle Utd 2.65 2.95
2024-12-21 Crystal Palace Arsenal 2.70 2.35
2024-12-22 Manchester Utd Bournemouth 2.20 3.65
2024-12-22 Everton Chelsea 2.10 3.70
2024-12-22 Fulham Southampton 2.75 2.60
2024-12-22 Leicester City Wolves 2.50 2.00
2024-12-22 Tottenham Liverpool 3.40 2.80