AI Football Tips: La Liga round 18

Get ready for a thrilling round of La Liga action! The penultimate clash of this season promises another exciting chapter in the Spanish footballing saga. With its rich history and passionate fans, La Liga is known for producing some truly unforgettable moments. The battle for supremacy amongst Spain’s elite continues to heat up as we head into Round 18, where every point counts. Kick off your excitement with a captivating clash between Las Palmas and Espanyol on the 22nd of December, followed by the final curtain call between Betis and Rayo Vallecano, also on the same day. The tension will be palpable as these teams battle for their share of the coveted La Liga glory!
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for La Liga round 18. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2024-12-20 La Liga Girona Valladolid H No bet
2024-12-21 La Liga Getafe Mallorca H -0.25
2024-12-21 La Liga Celta Vigo Real Sociedad H 0
2024-12-21 La Liga Osasuna Athletic Club A 1X2
2024-12-21 La Liga Barcelona Atlético Madrid H 1X2
2024-12-22 La Liga Valencia Alavés H -0.25
2024-12-22 La Liga Real Madrid Sevilla H No bet
2024-12-22 La Liga Las Palmas Espanyol H 1X2
2024-12-22 La Liga Leganés Villarreal H +0.5
2024-12-22 La Liga Betis Rayo Vallecano H 1X2

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team Home +2.5(%) Away +2.5 (%)
2024-12-20 Girona Valladolid 75 75
2024-12-21 Getafe Mallorca 0 50
2024-12-21 Celta Vigo Real Sociedad 56 12
2024-12-21 Osasuna Athletic Club 67 50
2024-12-21 Barcelona Atlético Madrid 71 25
2024-12-22 Valencia Alavés 43 78
2024-12-22 Real Madrid Sevilla 62 50
2024-12-22 Las Palmas Espanyol 50 50
2024-12-22 Leganés Villarreal 50 62
2024-12-22 Betis Rayo Vallecano 50 33

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%)
2024-12-20 Girona Valladolid 50 50
2024-12-21 Getafe Mallorca 33 50
2024-12-21 Celta Vigo Real Sociedad 67 0
2024-12-21 Osasuna Athletic Club 78 75
2024-12-21 Barcelona Atlético Madrid 57 38
2024-12-22 Valencia Alavés 57 67
2024-12-22 Real Madrid Sevilla 25 62
2024-12-22 Las Palmas Espanyol 75 50
2024-12-22 Leganés Villarreal 12 75
2024-12-22 Betis Rayo Vallecano 62 44

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2024-12-20 Girona Valladolid 3.50
2024-12-21 Getafe Mallorca 1.86
2024-12-21 Celta Vigo Real Sociedad 1.90
2024-12-21 Osasuna Athletic Club 2.86
2024-12-21 Barcelona Atlético Madrid 2.84
2024-12-22 Valencia Alavés 2.96
2024-12-22 Real Madrid Sevilla 3.25
2024-12-22 Las Palmas Espanyol 2.82
2024-12-22 Leganés Villarreal 2.38
2024-12-22 Betis Rayo Vallecano 2.03

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Barcelona 2.71 0.86 2.82 1.27
Real Madrid 2.50 0.88 1.89 1.00
Atlético Madrid 2.11 0.67 1.50 0.62
Villarreal 2.00 1.89 1.38 1.38
Athletic Club 1.60 0.70 1.38 1.12
Celta Vigo 1.67 1.00 1.25 2.38
Girona 1.88 1.62 0.89 1.33
Osasuna 1.89 1.33 0.62 1.62
Las Palmas 1.38 1.50 1.22 1.67
Betis 1.50 1.00 0.89 1.44
Rayo Vallecano 1.50 1.62 0.78 0.78
Alavés 1.12 1.12 1.11 2.11
Sevilla 0.89 0.89 1.25 1.88
Mallorca 0.90 1.10 1.12 1.25
Espanyol 1.33 1.22 0.50 2.25
Real Sociedad 1.00 1.00 0.88 0.25
Valencia 1.43 1.29 0.44 1.67
Leganés 0.75 1.25 1.00 1.44
Valladolid 0.67 1.33 0.75 2.75
Getafe 0.89 0.44 0.38 1.25

No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2024-12-20 Girona Valladolid 2.65 2.55
2024-12-21 Getafe Mallorca 1.10 1.95
2024-12-21 Celta Vigo Real Sociedad 2.30 2.10
2024-12-21 Osasuna Athletic Club 2.80 2.00
2024-12-21 Barcelona Atlético Madrid 3.00 1.50
2024-12-22 Valencia Alavés 2.00 2.50
2024-12-22 Real Madrid Sevilla 2.80 2.05
2024-12-22 Las Palmas Espanyol 2.85 2.50
2024-12-22 Leganés Villarreal 1.80 2.30
2024-12-22 Betis Rayo Vallecano 2.80 2.30