AI Football Tips: Bundesliga round 15

The Bundesliga is back and Round 15 promises another thrilling chapter in this German football powerhouse’s story! Get ready for a weekend filled with passionate fan roars as the league kicks off its second half, and every match carries weight as teams fight for their ambitions. Kickoff action starts with a clash between **Bochum** and **Heidenheim** on December 22nd. The anticipation is high for this showdown! Who will emerge victorious in this exciting encounter? Will it be a home victory or an upset on the cards? Let’s find out! The final match of this round sees two teams with a history of dramatic encounters facing off: **Wolfsburg** against **Dortmund**. This is sure to be a nail-biting affair as these two powerhouses battle it out for supremacy.
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Bundesliga round 15. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2024-12-20 Bundesliga Bayern Munich RB Leipzig H No bet
2024-12-21 Bundesliga Holstein Kiel Augsburg H +0.25
2024-12-21 Bundesliga Hoffenheim Gladbach H -0.25
2024-12-21 Bundesliga Eint Frankfurt Mainz 05 H 1X2
2024-12-21 Bundesliga Stuttgart St. Pauli H 1X2
2024-12-21 Bundesliga Werder Bremen Union Berlin H 1X2
2024-12-21 Bundesliga Leverkusen Freiburg H No bet
2024-12-22 Bundesliga Bochum Heidenheim H -0.25
2024-12-22 Bundesliga Wolfsburg Dortmund H +0.25

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team Home +2.5(%) Away +2.5 (%)
2024-12-20 Bayern Munich RB Leipzig 67 43
2024-12-21 Holstein Kiel Augsburg 43 83
2024-12-21 Hoffenheim Gladbach 71 33
2024-12-21 Eint Frankfurt Mainz 05 67 83
2024-12-21 Stuttgart St. Pauli 71 57
2024-12-21 Werder Bremen Union Berlin 67 29
2024-12-21 Leverkusen Freiburg 86 43
2024-12-22 Bochum Heidenheim 50 57
2024-12-22 Wolfsburg Dortmund 71 67

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%)
2024-12-20 Bayern Munich RB Leipzig 33 43
2024-12-21 Holstein Kiel Augsburg 29 50
2024-12-21 Hoffenheim Gladbach 86 50
2024-12-21 Eint Frankfurt Mainz 05 67 50
2024-12-21 Stuttgart St. Pauli 86 43
2024-12-21 Werder Bremen Union Berlin 50 29
2024-12-21 Leverkusen Freiburg 86 29
2024-12-22 Bochum Heidenheim 50 57
2024-12-22 Wolfsburg Dortmund 86 83

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2024-12-20 Bayern Munich RB Leipzig 3.10
2024-12-21 Holstein Kiel Augsburg 3.40
2024-12-21 Hoffenheim Gladbach 3.37
2024-12-21 Eint Frankfurt Mainz 05 4.16
2024-12-21 Stuttgart St. Pauli 3.35
2024-12-21 Werder Bremen Union Berlin 2.42
2024-12-21 Leverkusen Freiburg 3.22
2024-12-22 Bochum Heidenheim 3.57
2024-12-22 Wolfsburg Dortmund 3.50

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Bayern Munich 2.83 0.50 3.12 1.12
Eint Frankfurt 3.00 1.33 2.00 1.50
Leverkusen 2.43 1.71 2.14 1.14
Wolfsburg 1.86 2.14 2.57 1.43
Stuttgart 2.57 1.57 1.57 1.86
Dortmund 2.50 1.00 0.83 2.17
Mainz 05 1.25 1.25 2.50 1.50
Gladbach 2.25 1.38 0.83 1.33
RB Leipzig 1.57 1.00 1.71 1.14
Werder Bremen 1.00 1.83 2.00 1.62
Freiburg 2.00 1.29 0.86 1.43
Hoffenheim 2.14 2.43 0.57 1.29
Heidenheim 0.86 2.00 1.71 2.43
Augsburg 1.50 1.25 0.67 2.83
Holstein Kiel 0.57 2.71 1.43 2.57
Union Berlin 1.14 0.86 0.71 1.29
St. Pauli 0.43 1.29 1.14 1.43
Bochum 0.67 2.33 0.88 2.62

No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2024-12-20 Bayern Munich RB Leipzig 2.95 2.80
2024-12-21 Holstein Kiel Augsburg 2.70 2.95
2024-12-21 Hoffenheim Gladbach 3.10 2.65
2024-12-21 Eint Frankfurt Mainz 05 3.40 2.75
2024-12-21 Stuttgart St. Pauli 3.00 2.10
2024-12-21 Werder Bremen Union Berlin 2.45 1.90
2024-12-21 Leverkusen Freiburg 3.30 2.30
2024-12-22 Bochum Heidenheim 2.80 3.40
2024-12-22 Wolfsburg Dortmund 3.20 2.10