AI Football Tips: Eredivisie round 17

Get ready for a thrilling round of Eredivisie action as we head into Matchday 17! This week promises some epic clashes, with the competition heating up across the league. The curtain will rise on this exciting round with Willem II looking to secure a victory against NEC Nijmegen on December 22nd, aiming to add another point to their tally. The final fixture of the round sees Sparta R’dam hosting Ajax on December 22nd – a clash that has historically been full of surprises! Will your prediction be right? Find out who comes out on top in these thrilling encounters!
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Eredivisie round 17. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2024-12-20 Eredivisie RKC Waalwijk Zwolle H 0
2024-12-21 Eredivisie Go Ahead Eag NAC Breda H 1X2
2024-12-21 Eredivisie Almere City Heerenveen H +0.25
2024-12-21 Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar Twente H -0.25
2024-12-21 Eredivisie Heracles Almelo Groningen H -0.25
2024-12-22 Eredivisie Sparta R’dam Ajax H +0.5
2024-12-22 Eredivisie Utrecht Fortuna Sittard H 1X2
2024-12-22 Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven Feyenoord H 1X2
2024-12-22 Eredivisie Willem II NEC Nijmegen A 0

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team Home +2.5(%) Away +2.5 (%)
2024-12-20 RKC Waalwijk Zwolle 75 25
2024-12-21 Go Ahead Eag NAC Breda 62 50
2024-12-21 Almere City Heerenveen 50 75
2024-12-21 AZ Alkmaar Twente 75 88
2024-12-21 Heracles Almelo Groningen 62 62
2024-12-22 Sparta R’dam Ajax 50 62
2024-12-22 Utrecht Fortuna Sittard 62 38
2024-12-22 PSV Eindhoven Feyenoord 86 62
2024-12-22 Willem II NEC Nijmegen 50 43

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%)
2024-12-20 RKC Waalwijk Zwolle 50 38
2024-12-21 Go Ahead Eag NAC Breda 50 38
2024-12-21 Almere City Heerenveen 50 38
2024-12-21 AZ Alkmaar Twente 75 75
2024-12-21 Heracles Almelo Groningen 75 50
2024-12-22 Sparta R’dam Ajax 75 75
2024-12-22 Utrecht Fortuna Sittard 62 50
2024-12-22 PSV Eindhoven Feyenoord 43 88
2024-12-22 Willem II NEC Nijmegen 38 0

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2024-12-20 RKC Waalwijk Zwolle 2.68
2024-12-21 Go Ahead Eag NAC Breda 3.25
2024-12-21 Almere City Heerenveen 3.44
2024-12-21 AZ Alkmaar Twente 3.56
2024-12-21 Heracles Almelo Groningen 3.25
2024-12-22 Sparta R’dam Ajax 2.94
2024-12-22 Utrecht Fortuna Sittard 3.12
2024-12-22 PSV Eindhoven Feyenoord 4.28
2024-12-22 Willem II NEC Nijmegen 2.27

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
PSV Eindhoven 4.14 0.43 3.00 1.11
Feyenoord 2.12 1.12 2.88 1.12
Ajax 2.50 0.62 1.88 1.38
Utrecht 1.88 1.88 2.12 1.00
Twente 2.12 0.75 1.88 1.75
AZ Alkmaar 2.25 1.25 1.50 0.88
Go Ahead Eag 2.25 1.38 1.25 1.88
NEC Nijmegen 1.78 1.11 0.86 1.43
Fortuna Sittard 1.62 1.25 0.88 1.62
NAC Breda 1.38 1.12 0.88 2.00
Heracles Almelo 1.62 1.62 0.62 2.50
Heerenveen 1.62 0.50 0.50 3.00
RKC Waalwijk 1.00 2.12 1.12 2.88
Willem II 1.12 1.12 1.00 1.12
Zwolle 1.38 1.38 0.50 1.75
Sparta R’dam 0.88 1.75 0.88 1.25
Groningen 1.12 0.62 0.62 2.62
Almere City 0.62 2.75 0.25 1.88

No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2024-12-20 RKC Waalwijk Zwolle 2.55 2.25
2024-12-21 Go Ahead Eag NAC Breda 2.55 3.35
2024-12-21 Almere City Heerenveen 2.55 2.15
2024-12-21 AZ Alkmaar Twente 2.85 2.15
2024-12-21 Heracles Almelo Groningen 2.25 1.80
2024-12-22 Sparta R’dam Ajax 2.30 2.45
2024-12-22 Utrecht Fortuna Sittard 2.35 2.35
2024-12-22 PSV Eindhoven Feyenoord 3.80 2.50
2024-12-22 Willem II NEC Nijmegen 2.20 1.70