In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for La Liga round 21. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-24 | La Liga | Las Palmas | Osasuna | H | -0.25 |
| 2025-01-25 | La Liga | Mallorca | Betis | H | -0.25 |
| 2025-01-25 | La Liga | Atlético Madrid | Villarreal | H | 1X2 |
| 2025-01-25 | La Liga | Sevilla | Espanyol | H | 1X2 |
| 2025-01-25 | La Liga | Valladolid | Real Madrid | H | +1.25 |
| 2025-01-26 | La Liga | Rayo Vallecano | Girona | H | 0 |
| 2025-01-26 | La Liga | Real Sociedad | Getafe | H | 1X2 |
| 2025-01-26 | La Liga | Athletic Club | Leganés | H | No bet |
| 2025-01-26 | La Liga | Barcelona | Valencia | H | No bet |
| 2025-01-27 | La Liga | Alavés | Celta Vigo | H | 0 |
The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Home +2.5(%) | Away +2.5 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-24 | Las Palmas | Osasuna | 50 | 33 |
| 2025-01-25 | Mallorca | Betis | 40 | 30 |
| 2025-01-25 | Atlético Madrid | Villarreal | 50 | 60 |
| 2025-01-25 | Sevilla | Espanyol | 20 | 44 |
| 2025-01-25 | Valladolid | Real Madrid | 40 | 60 |
| 2025-01-26 | Rayo Vallecano | Girona | 67 | 30 |
| 2025-01-26 | Real Sociedad | Getafe | 30 | 22 |
| 2025-01-26 | Athletic Club | Leganés | 30 | 20 |
| 2025-01-26 | Barcelona | Valencia | 75 | 40 |
| 2025-01-27 | Alavés | Celta Vigo | 33 | 78 |
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-24 | Las Palmas | Osasuna | 70 | 33 | 1.94 |
| 2025-01-25 | Mallorca | Betis | 50 | 50 | 2.00 |
| 2025-01-25 | Atlético Madrid | Villarreal | 40 | 70 | 1.82 |
| 2025-01-25 | Sevilla | Espanyol | 40 | 44 | 2.37 |
| 2025-01-25 | Valladolid | Real Madrid | 40 | 70 | 1.82 |
| 2025-01-26 | Rayo Vallecano | Girona | 89 | 40 | 1.55 |
| 2025-01-26 | Real Sociedad | Getafe | 30 | 44 | 2.69 |
| 2025-01-26 | Athletic Club | Leganés | 60 | 70 | 1.54 |
| 2025-01-26 | Barcelona | Valencia | 62 | 50 | 1.78 |
| 2025-01-27 | Alavés | Celta Vigo | 44 | 67 | 1.80 |
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Goal Avg. | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-24 | Las Palmas | Osasuna | 2.41 | 2.31 | 1.76 |
| 2025-01-25 | Mallorca | Betis | 2.10 | 2.85 | 1.54 |
| 2025-01-25 | Atlético Madrid | Villarreal | 2.80 | 1.88 | 2.13 |
| 2025-01-25 | Sevilla | Espanyol | 2.18 | 2.69 | 1.59 |
| 2025-01-25 | Valladolid | Real Madrid | 2.40 | 2.32 | 1.76 |
| 2025-01-26 | Rayo Vallecano | Girona | 2.60 | 2.08 | 1.93 |
| 2025-01-26 | Real Sociedad | Getafe | 1.84 | 3.57 | 1.39 |
| 2025-01-26 | Athletic Club | Leganés | 2.35 | 2.40 | 1.72 |
| 2025-01-26 | Barcelona | Valencia | 2.80 | 1.88 | 2.13 |
| 2025-01-27 | Alavés | Celta Vigo | 2.84 | 1.85 | 2.17 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 2.50 | 1.00 | 2.67 | 1.25 |
| Real Madrid | 2.80 | 1.00 | 1.90 | 1.00 |
| Villarreal | 2.20 | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Atlético Madrid | 2.00 | 0.60 | 1.40 | 0.70 |
| Athletic Club | 1.60 | 0.70 | 1.50 | 1.10 |
| Celta Vigo | 1.64 | 1.00 | 1.22 | 2.33 |
| Girona | 1.90 | 1.50 | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| Las Palmas | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.90 |
| Osasuna | 1.73 | 1.36 | 0.56 | 1.56 |
| Alavés | 1.00 | 1.11 | 1.36 | 2.00 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1.56 | 1.56 | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| Sevilla | 0.90 | 0.90 | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Betis | 1.40 | 1.20 | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Mallorca | 0.90 | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Espanyol | 1.36 | 1.18 | 0.44 | 2.11 |
| Valencia | 1.40 | 1.30 | 0.50 | 1.60 |
| Leganés | 0.90 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Real Sociedad | 1.00 | 0.90 | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| Getafe | 0.82 | 0.55 | 0.56 | 1.22 |
| Valladolid | 0.70 | 1.20 | 0.70 | 2.70 |
No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Median Home | Median Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-24 | Las Palmas | Osasuna | 2.65 | 1.90 |
| 2025-01-25 | Mallorca | Betis | 1.55 | 2.30 |
| 2025-01-25 | Atlético Madrid | Villarreal | 2.20 | 2.35 |
| 2025-01-25 | Sevilla | Espanyol | 1.95 | 2.40 |
| 2025-01-25 | Valladolid | Real Madrid | 2.25 | 2.50 |
| 2025-01-26 | Rayo Vallecano | Girona | 2.50 | 1.70 |
| 2025-01-26 | Real Sociedad | Getafe | 2.10 | 2.40 |
| 2025-01-26 | Athletic Club | Leganés | 2.15 | 2.10 |
| 2025-01-26 | Barcelona | Valencia | 3.15 | 2.10 |
| 2025-01-27 | Alavés | Celta Vigo | 1.80 | 2.20 |