Spanish La Liga steps into the spotlight for Matchday 12 from November 6 to 8, headlined by one of the season’s most anticipated blockbuster clashes. The round gets underway on Friday night at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán as Sevilla host Deportivo Alavés in an intense contest for table positioning. Saturday’s action is brimming with high drama, featuring Valencia welcoming title hopefuls Real Madrid to the Mestalla in a traditionally heated atmosphere, while Osasuna lock horns with Athletic Club in a fiery northern battle, RCD Espanyol meet Deportivo La Coruña, and Málaga play Racing Santander.
Sunday delivers the ultimate marquee matchup of Spanish football, as Atlético Madrid collide with archrivals Barcelona in a titanic showdown with championship implications at the Metropolitano. The packed Sunday schedule also sees Elche taking on Real Betis, Real Sociedad battling Rayo Vallecano, and Villarreal meeting Getafe. With possession battles, defensive discipline, and individual flair deciding these pivotal contests, granular data provides the edge. Explore our advanced AI predictions, match simulations, and comprehensive metrics to dissect every La Liga fixture with unmatched precision.
1X2 Match Projections
We let our algorithms crunch the numbers, dig into recent team stats, and do the heavy lifting so you don’t have to! Here is our 1X2 outlook for La Liga at a glance.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | 1X2 Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | Sevilla FC | Deportivo Alavés | 1 |
| 2026-11-07 | Málaga CF | Racing Santander | 1 |
| 2026-11-07 | RCD Espanyol | Deportivo La Coruña | 1 |
| 2026-11-07 | CA Osasuna | Athletic Club Bilbao | 2 |
| 2026-11-07 | Valencia CF | Real Madrid | 2 |
| 2026-11-08 | Elche CF | Real Betis | 2 |
| 2026-11-08 | Real Sociedad | Rayo Vallecano | 1 |
| 2026-11-08 | Celta de Vigo | Levante UD | 1 |
| 2026-11-08 | Villarreal | Getafe CF | 1 |
| 2026-11-08 | Atlético Madrid | FC Barcelona | 2 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | Sevilla FC | Deportivo Alavés | 60 | 80 | 1.79 | 2.27 |
| 2026-11-07 | Málaga CF | Racing Santander | 80 | 40 | 2.34 | 1.75 |
| 2026-11-07 | RCD Espanyol | Deportivo La Coruña | 60 | 80 | 1.86 | 2.17 |
| 2026-11-07 | CA Osasuna | Athletic Club Bilbao | 20 | 25 | 1.42 | 3.38 |
| 2026-11-07 | Valencia CF | Real Madrid | 33 | 67 | 1.56 | 2.78 |
| 2026-11-08 | Elche CF | Real Betis | 40 | 60 | 1.46 | 3.19 |
| 2026-11-08 | Real Sociedad | Rayo Vallecano | 60 | 100 | 1.73 | 2.36 |
| 2026-11-08 | Celta de Vigo | Levante UD | 50 | 50 | 1.56 | 2.80 |
| 2026-11-08 | Villarreal | Getafe CF | 60 | 0 | 1.90 | 2.11 |
| 2026-11-08 | Atlético Madrid | FC Barcelona | 40 | 60 | 1.40 | 3.50 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | La Liga | Sevilla FC | Deportivo Alavés | 1.82 | 2.21 |
| 2026-11-07 | La Liga | Málaga CF | Racing Santander | 1.86 | 2.16 |
| 2026-11-07 | La Liga | RCD Espanyol | Deportivo La Coruña | 1.83 | 2.20 |
| 2026-11-07 | La Liga | CA Osasuna | Athletic Club Bilbao | 1.78 | 2.29 |
| 2026-11-07 | La Liga | Valencia CF | Real Madrid | 1.80 | 2.25 |
| 2026-11-08 | La Liga | Elche CF | Real Betis | 1.55 | 2.83 |
| 2026-11-08 | La Liga | Real Sociedad | Rayo Vallecano | 1.72 | 2.39 |
| 2026-11-08 | La Liga | Celta de Vigo | Levante UD | 2.18 | 1.85 |
| 2026-11-08 | La Liga | Villarreal | Getafe CF | 1.97 | 2.03 |
| 2026-11-08 | La Liga | Atlético Madrid | FC Barcelona | 1.25 | 4.94 |
First Half Goals
The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.
| Home Team | Away Team | HT Avg | O 0.5 FH | U 0.5 FH | O 1.5 FH | U 1.5 FH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla FC | Deportivo Alavés | 1.05 | 1.54 | 2.85 | 3.55 | 1.39 |
| Málaga CF | Racing Santander | 1.75 | 1.21 | 5.75 | 1.92 | 2.09 |
| RCD Espanyol | Deportivo La Coruña | 1.08 | 1.51 | 2.95 | 3.39 | 1.42 |
| CA Osasuna | Athletic Club Bilbao | 1.21 | 1.42 | 3.36 | 2.92 | 1.52 |
| Valencia CF | Real Madrid | 0.93 | 1.65 | 2.53 | 4.19 | 1.31 |
| Elche CF | Real Betis | 1.01 | 1.57 | 2.74 | 3.74 | 1.36 |
| Real Sociedad | Rayo Vallecano | 1.69 | 1.23 | 5.40 | 1.99 | 2.01 |
| Celta de Vigo | Levante UD | 1.02 | 1.56 | 2.78 | 3.68 | 1.37 |
| Villarreal | Getafe CF | 1.16 | 1.46 | 3.18 | 3.11 | 1.47 |
| Atlético Madrid | FC Barcelona | 1.21 | 1.43 | 3.35 | 2.94 | 1.52 |
Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)
The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.
| Home Team | Away Team | EG Home (%) | EG Away (%) | Poisson ≥1 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla FC | Deportivo Alavés | 36.4 | 9.1 | 10.3 |
| Málaga CF | Racing Santander | 27.3 | 54.5 | 38.8 |
| RCD Espanyol | Deportivo La Coruña | 54.5 | 9.1 | 15.1 |
| CA Osasuna | Athletic Club Bilbao | 36.4 | 20.0 | 21.4 |
| Valencia CF | Real Madrid | 27.3 | 27.3 | 21.8 |
| Elche CF | Real Betis | 27.3 | 18.2 | 15.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Rayo Vallecano | 45.5 | 60.0 | 59.4 |
| Celta de Vigo | Levante UD | 9.1 | 36.4 | 10.3 |
| Villarreal | Getafe CF | 9.1 | 18.2 | 5.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | FC Barcelona | 9.1 | 72.7 | 19.6 |
Corners Over/Under 9.5
The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.
| Home Team | Away Team | Corner Avg | +9.5 odds | -9.5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla FC | Deportivo Alavés | 7.71 | 3.87 | 1.35 |
| Málaga CF | Racing Santander | 10.84 | 1.59 | 2.69 |
| RCD Espanyol | Deportivo La Coruña | 9.79 | 1.97 | 2.03 |
| CA Osasuna | Athletic Club Bilbao | 10.17 | 1.81 | 2.24 |
| Valencia CF | Real Madrid | 9.31 | 2.22 | 1.82 |
| Elche CF | Real Betis | 9.66 | 2.03 | 1.97 |
| Real Sociedad | Rayo Vallecano | 11.94 | 1.36 | 3.76 |
| Celta de Vigo | Levante UD | 6.92 | 5.71 | 1.21 |
| Villarreal | Getafe CF | 9.15 | 2.32 | 1.76 |
| Atlético Madrid | FC Barcelona | 6.61 | 6.83 | 1.17 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 4.00 | 1.17 | 4.40 | 1.00 |
| Real Madrid | 3.40 | 0.60 | 1.83 | 1.17 |
| Atlético Madrid | 2.20 | 0.60 | 1.83 | 0.83 |
| Real Sociedad | 1.40 | 1.40 | 2.17 | 2.17 |
| Real Betis | 2.00 | 1.33 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Sevilla FC | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1.80 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Levante UD | 2.60 | 2.40 | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Athletic Club Bilbao | 1.83 | 0.83 | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Racing Santander | 1.83 | 1.83 | 0.80 | 3.60 |
| Villarreal | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | 1.33 | 1.00 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Deportivo Alavés | 1.83 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Elche CF | 0.80 | 2.40 | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| RCD Espanyol | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| CA Osasuna | 0.80 | 0.60 | 1.17 | 3.17 |
| Celta de Vigo | 1.50 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Getafe CF | 1.33 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| Valencia CF | 0.50 | 1.83 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Málaga CF | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 1.83 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score | Score Prob (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | La Liga | Sevilla FC | Deportivo Alavés | 1 | 0 | 14.8 |
| 2026-11-07 | La Liga | Málaga CF | Racing Santander | 1 | 1 | 13.7 |
| 2026-11-07 | La Liga | RCD Espanyol | Deportivo La Coruña | 1 | 1 | 14.9 |
| 2026-11-07 | La Liga | CA Osasuna | Athletic Club Bilbao | 1 | 1 | 12.9 |
| 2026-11-07 | La Liga | Valencia CF | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 11.2 |
| 2026-11-08 | La Liga | Elche CF | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 13.8 |
| 2026-11-08 | La Liga | Real Sociedad | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 1 | 12.9 |
| 2026-11-08 | La Liga | Celta de Vigo | Levante UD | 0 | 0 | 15.6 |
| 2026-11-08 | La Liga | Villarreal | Getafe CF | 1 | 0 | 16.9 |
| 2026-11-08 | La Liga | Atlético Madrid | FC Barcelona | 2 | 3 | 6.8 |


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