English Football

AI Football Tips: Premier League round 10

The Premier League returns for Matchweek 10 from November 6 to 8, delivering an electrifying slate of top-flight encounters with major ramifications across the title race and European qualification. The weekend kicks off under the Friday night lights as Everton host Coventry City at Goodison Park. Saturday’s action begins at Elland Road with Leeds United squaring off against Tottenham Hotspur, followed by Arsenal entertaining Hull City at the Emirates, Fulham taking on Newcastle United at Craven Cottage, and an intriguing clash as Nottingham Forest welcome reigning champions Manchester City to the City Ground.

Super Sunday promises maximum drama across England, headlined by a heavyweight showdown at Old Trafford as Manchester United battle Aston Villa in a tactical chess match. Elsewhere, Crystal Palace test title contenders Liverpool at Selhurst Park, while Sunderland play Chelsea at the Stadium of Light, and Brighton & Hove Albion meet Brentford. With tactical adaptations and individual brilliance deciding razor-thin margins, precision analytics are paramount. Unlock our cutting-edge AI forecasts, probabilistic match simulations, and in-depth performance metrics to stay ahead across every Premier League fixture.

1X2 Match Projections

We let our algorithms crunch the numbers, dig into recent team stats, and do the heavy lifting so you don’t have to! Here is our 1X2 outlook for Premier League at a glance.

Date Home Team Away Team 1X2 Pick
2026-11-06 Everton Coventry City 1
2026-11-07 Leeds United Tottenham Hotspur X
2026-11-07 Arsenal Hull City 1
2026-11-07 Fulham Newcastle United 1
2026-11-07 Nottingham Forest Manchester City 2
2026-11-08 Ipswich Town AFC Bournemouth 2
2026-11-08 Brighton & Hove Albion Brentford 1
2026-11-08 Sunderland Chelsea 2
2026-11-08 Crystal Palace Liverpool 2
2026-11-08 Manchester United Aston Villa 2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-11-06 Everton Coventry City 25 25 2.17 1.85
2026-11-07 Leeds United Tottenham Hotspur 75 25 2.11 1.90
2026-11-07 Arsenal Hull City 50 50 1.71 2.40
2026-11-07 Fulham Newcastle United 75 50 1.80 2.26
2026-11-07 Nottingham Forest Manchester City 0 50 2.37 1.73
2026-11-08 Ipswich Town AFC Bournemouth 75 75 2.61 1.62
2026-11-08 Brighton & Hove Albion Brentford 25 100 1.89 2.12
2026-11-08 Sunderland Chelsea 0 50 2.54 1.65
2026-11-08 Crystal Palace Liverpool 75 50 1.70 2.42
2026-11-08 Manchester United Aston Villa 50 25 1.84 2.19

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-11-06 Premier League Everton Coventry City 2.36 1.74
2026-11-07 Premier League Leeds United Tottenham Hotspur 1.90 2.11
2026-11-07 Premier League Arsenal Hull City 2.06 1.95
2026-11-07 Premier League Fulham Newcastle United 2.13 1.88
2026-11-07 Premier League Nottingham Forest Manchester City 1.79 2.26
2026-11-08 Premier League Ipswich Town AFC Bournemouth 2.13 1.88
2026-11-08 Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion Brentford 1.76 2.32
2026-11-08 Premier League Sunderland Chelsea 1.97 2.03
2026-11-08 Premier League Crystal Palace Liverpool 1.73 2.37
2026-11-08 Premier League Manchester United Aston Villa 2.17 1.85

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Everton Coventry City 0.85 1.75 2.34 4.79 1.26
Leeds United Tottenham Hotspur 0.84 1.77 2.31 4.90 1.26
Arsenal Hull City 1.47 1.30 4.35 2.31 1.76
Fulham Newcastle United 1.26 1.40 3.52 2.79 1.56
Nottingham Forest Manchester City 0.54 2.40 1.71 9.81 1.11
Ipswich Town AFC Bournemouth 1.95 1.17 7.02 1.72 2.38
Brighton & Hove Albion Brentford 2.19 1.13 8.93 1.56 2.80
Sunderland Chelsea 0.64 2.11 1.90 7.37 1.16
Crystal Palace Liverpool 1.21 1.42 3.36 2.93 1.52
Manchester United Aston Villa 1.09 1.50 2.98 3.35 1.43

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Everton Coventry City 22.2 33.3 21.9
Leeds United Tottenham Hotspur 11.1 22.2 7.9
Arsenal Hull City 33.3 22.2 21.9
Fulham Newcastle United 22.2 44.4 28.1
Nottingham Forest Manchester City 22.2 33.3 21.9
Ipswich Town AFC Bournemouth 44.4 33.3 39.0
Brighton & Hove Albion Brentford 55.6 22.2 33.7
Sunderland Chelsea 22.2 55.6 33.7
Crystal Palace Liverpool 44.4 22.2 28.1
Manchester United Aston Villa 0.0 33.3 0.0

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Everton Coventry City 8.62 2.73 1.58
Leeds United Tottenham Hotspur 8.70 2.67 1.60
Arsenal Hull City 10.43 1.71 2.40
Fulham Newcastle United 10.48 1.70 2.43
Nottingham Forest Manchester City 10.66 1.64 2.55
Ipswich Town AFC Bournemouth 7.70 3.89 1.35
Brighton & Hove Albion Brentford 9.54 2.09 1.92
Sunderland Chelsea 10.24 1.78 2.28
Crystal Palace Liverpool 10.03 1.86 2.16
Manchester United Aston Villa 9.41 2.16 1.86

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Brighton & Hove Albion 3.25 0.25 2.20 1.20
Manchester City 2.20 1.40 2.25 0.75
Chelsea 2.60 1.60 1.50 1.75
Brentford 2.00 0.60 1.50 1.50
AFC Bournemouth 1.40 0.80 1.75 2.25
Arsenal 2.25 0.50 1.00 0.60
Ipswich Town 1.25 1.25 1.80 2.60
Newcastle United 1.20 1.40 1.50 2.00
Liverpool 0.80 1.20 1.75 0.75
Hull City 1.40 1.00 1.00 1.25
Manchester United 1.50 1.75 0.80 1.60
Aston Villa 1.20 1.40 1.00 1.50
Tottenham Hotspur 1.40 1.20 0.75 1.00
Fulham 1.50 1.75 0.60 0.80
Everton 1.25 1.00 0.80 1.00
Leeds United 1.50 0.75 0.60 1.00
Crystal Palace 1.50 2.50 0.60 2.20
Coventry City 1.40 1.80 0.50 1.75
Sunderland 0.25 1.00 1.20 2.60
Nottingham Forest 0.00 0.75 1.20 1.80

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-11-06 Premier League Everton Coventry City 1 1 14.7
2026-11-07 Premier League Leeds United Tottenham Hotspur 0 0 16.4
2026-11-07 Premier League Arsenal Hull City 1 1 13.5
2026-11-07 Premier League Fulham Newcastle United 1 1 14.8
2026-11-07 Premier League Nottingham Forest Manchester City 1 1 13.3
2026-11-08 Premier League Ipswich Town AFC Bournemouth 1 1 11.9
2026-11-08 Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion Brentford 1 1 10.9
2026-11-08 Premier League Sunderland Chelsea 1 1 12.6
2026-11-08 Premier League Crystal Palace Liverpool 1 0 14.5
2026-11-08 Premier League Manchester United Aston Villa 1 1 14.5


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