AI Football Tips: La Liga 2 round 11

Following the cup drama of the Taça de Portugal, championship football returns to the forefront with maximum intensity as the Primeira Liga launches into a captivating Matchweek 9 from October 23–26. As the autumn campaign gathers full momentum, the battle for the title and coveted UEFA Champions League positions is heating up significantly. Portugal’s elite clubs face treacherous road trips and grueling tactical tests across the mainland and the Atlantic islands, where even the slightest slip-up could prove costly in the hunt for silverware.

Saturday’s action is highlighted by a high-stakes prime-time clash in Barcelos, where FC Porto must navigate a notoriously difficult away test against a resilient Gil Vicente side. On Sunday, title chasers Sporting CP return to the roar of the Estádio José Alvalade to host Académico de Viseu, while Sporting Braga makes the island trip to Madeira to battle CD Nacional, alongside an intense Minho duel between Rio Ave and FC Famalicão. The round reaches its conclusion on Monday evening as SL Benfica embarks on a testing flight across the Atlantic to face CD Santa Clara in the Azores, following Friday’s fiery opener between Vitória de Guimarães and Marítimo. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every hard-fought encounter in this thrilling Portuguese round.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for La Liga 2 round 11. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team P(H) P(D) P(A) Prediction Asian
2026-10-23 La Liga 2 Granada CF Real Valladolid 0.4411 0.3228 0.2362 H -0.25
2026-10-24 La Liga 2 Córdoba SD Eibar 0.6637 0.2455 0.0908 H -0.25
2026-10-24 La Liga 2 Leganés RCD Mallorca 0.3082 0.3327 0.3591 A -0.25
2026-10-24 La Liga 2 Girona FC Celta de Vigo II 0.5674 0.2872 0.1454 H No bet
2026-10-24 La Liga 2 UD Las Palmas Real Sociedad II 0.4252 0.3256 0.2493 H 1X2
2026-10-24 La Liga 2 Almería Real Oviedo 0.4778 0.3148 0.2074 H 1X2
2026-10-25 La Liga 2 CE Sabadell FC CD Tenerife 0.5864 0.2799 0.1336 H 1X2
2026-10-25 La Liga 2 Cádiz Ceuta 0.3866 0.3306 0.2828 H 1X2
2026-10-25 La Liga 2 Albacete Balompié CD Eldense 0.4393 0.3231 0.2376 H 1X2
2026-10-25 La Liga 2 CD Castellón Sporting Gijón 0.5874 0.2795 0.1330 H 1X2
2026-10-26 La Liga 2 FC Andorra Burgos CF 0.6088 0.2708 0.1204 H 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-23 Granada CF Real Valladolid 50 60 2.07 1.94
2026-10-24 Córdoba SD Eibar 75 60 1.50 2.99
2026-10-24 Leganés RCD Mallorca 25 20 1.94 2.06
2026-10-24 Girona FC Celta de Vigo II 50 25 2.19 1.84
2026-10-24 UD Las Palmas Real Sociedad II 60 100 1.41 3.44
2026-10-24 Almería Real Oviedo 40 60 2.38 1.72
2026-10-25 CE Sabadell FC CD Tenerife 50 80 1.70 2.42
2026-10-25 Cádiz Ceuta 33 75 1.56 2.77
2026-10-25 Albacete Balompié CD Eldense 75 20 1.47 3.14
2026-10-25 CD Castellón Sporting Gijón 25 25 2.19 1.84
2026-10-26 FC Andorra Burgos CF 60 50 1.74 2.36

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-23 La Liga 2 Granada CF Real Valladolid 2.42 1.71
2026-10-24 La Liga 2 Córdoba SD Eibar 1.35 3.87
2026-10-24 La Liga 2 Leganés RCD Mallorca 2.15 1.87
2026-10-24 La Liga 2 Girona FC Celta de Vigo II 2.54 1.65
2026-10-24 La Liga 2 UD Las Palmas Real Sociedad II 1.55 2.83
2026-10-24 La Liga 2 Almería Real Oviedo 2.21 1.82
2026-10-25 La Liga 2 CE Sabadell FC CD Tenerife 2.03 1.97
2026-10-25 La Liga 2 Cádiz Ceuta 2.10 1.91
2026-10-25 La Liga 2 Albacete Balompié CD Eldense 1.78 2.29
2026-10-25 La Liga 2 CD Castellón Sporting Gijón 2.21 1.83
2026-10-26 La Liga 2 FC Andorra Burgos CF 1.89 2.13

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Granada CF Real Valladolid 1.10 1.50 3.01 3.32 1.43
Córdoba SD Eibar 1.36 1.35 3.89 2.54 1.65
Leganés RCD Mallorca 0.56 2.32 1.76 9.10 1.12
Girona FC Celta de Vigo II 1.49 1.29 4.44 2.28 1.78
UD Las Palmas Real Sociedad II 1.79 1.20 5.99 1.87 2.15
Almería Real Oviedo 1.30 1.38 3.65 2.69 1.59
CE Sabadell FC CD Tenerife 1.75 1.21 5.74 1.92 2.09
Cádiz Ceuta 0.97 1.61 2.63 3.97 1.34
Albacete Balompié CD Eldense 1.19 1.44 3.27 3.01 1.50
CD Castellón Sporting Gijón 0.74 1.91 2.10 5.88 1.20
FC Andorra Burgos CF 1.09 1.51 2.96 3.38 1.42

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Granada CF Real Valladolid 40.0 40.0 33.0
Córdoba SD Eibar 80.0 60.0 69.9
Leganés RCD Mallorca 20.0 10.0 4.9
Girona FC Celta de Vigo II 50.0 60.0 52.8
UD Las Palmas Real Sociedad II 20.0 50.0 22.1
Almería Real Oviedo 30.0 30.0 20.1
CE Sabadell FC CD Tenerife 30.0 40.0 25.9
Cádiz Ceuta 20.0 20.0 9.5
Albacete Balompié CD Eldense 50.0 30.0 31.3
CD Castellón Sporting Gijón 60.0 40.0 45.1
FC Andorra Burgos CF 60.0 40.0 45.1

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Granada CF Real Valladolid 9.58 2.07 1.94
Córdoba SD Eibar 9.27 2.25 1.80
Leganés RCD Mallorca 10.06 1.85 2.18
Girona FC Celta de Vigo II 9.53 2.10 1.91
UD Las Palmas Real Sociedad II 9.66 2.03 1.97
Almería Real Oviedo 9.90 1.92 2.09
CE Sabadell FC CD Tenerife 7.69 3.91 1.34
Cádiz Ceuta 9.78 1.97 2.03
Albacete Balompié CD Eldense 9.35 2.20 1.84
CD Castellón Sporting Gijón 9.07 2.38 1.73
FC Andorra Burgos CF 10.30 1.76 2.31

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Almería 2.60 0.60 1.40 0.80
SD Eibar 1.80 1.20 2.20 1.00
CD Castellón 2.00 0.25 1.67 0.50
Girona FC 1.83 0.83 1.50 1.00
Granada CF 1.75 1.00 1.50 1.50
Real Valladolid 2.20 1.40 0.80 1.40
Celta de Vigo II 1.83 1.83 1.00 1.25
Córdoba 1.50 2.00 1.50 2.00
Real Sociedad II 1.00 2.00 1.80 2.20
FC Andorra 1.60 1.60 1.00 1.80
Real Oviedo 1.00 0.40 1.60 1.60
UD Las Palmas 1.00 1.60 1.60 2.20
CD Eldense 1.80 1.20 0.80 1.40
Burgos CF 1.67 1.00 0.75 1.00
RCD Mallorca 2.00 0.40 0.40 0.60
CD Tenerife 1.00 0.60 1.40 2.20
Cádiz 1.00 0.83 1.25 2.00
Sporting Gijón 1.00 1.00 1.25 0.75
CE Sabadell FC 1.75 0.75 0.50 0.83
Ceuta 1.00 1.67 0.75 3.00
Leganés 1.00 1.25 0.33 1.67
Albacete Balompié 0.75 2.00 0.50 2.33

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-23 La Liga 2 Granada CF Real Valladolid 1 1 14.8
2026-10-24 La Liga 2 Córdoba SD Eibar 1 1 9.3
2026-10-24 La Liga 2 Leganés RCD Mallorca 1 1 13.4
2026-10-24 La Liga 2 Girona FC Celta de Vigo II 1 1 14.7
2026-10-24 La Liga 2 UD Las Palmas Real Sociedad II 1 1 12.6
2026-10-24 La Liga 2 Almería Real Oviedo 0 0 19.7
2026-10-25 La Liga 2 CE Sabadell FC CD Tenerife 1 1 14.2
2026-10-25 La Liga 2 Cádiz Ceuta 1 1 14.9
2026-10-25 La Liga 2 Albacete Balompié CD Eldense 1 1 11.6
2026-10-25 La Liga 2 CD Castellón Sporting Gijón 1 1 15.0
2026-10-26 La Liga 2 FC Andorra Burgos CF 1 1 12.9


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