English Football

AI Football Tips: EFL League Two round 12

The relentless grit, bruising physical duels, and unpredictable parity of England’s fourth tier return to center stage as EFL League Two charges into an action-packed Saturday on October 24. As the autumn campaign gathers serious pace, the marathon race for automatic promotion and the coveted playoff places is beginning to heat up significantly. In a division where anyone can topple anyone on their day, every tackle, set piece, and stoppage-time drama carries immense weight in shaping the 2026/27 standings.

Saturday’s schedule ignites with a trio of fiery lunchtime kickoffs, headlined by an emotionally charged West Country derby at the Memorial Stadium where Bristol Rovers collides with fierce rivals Swindon Town. The early drama continues with a high-stakes regional battle as Cheltenham Town welcomes Newport County, while Northampton Town locks horns with Colchester United. The 3:00 PM slate promises even more theater, featuring a heavyweight promotion showdown as Chesterfield hosts Crewe Alexandra, while Barnet clashes with Oldham Athletic and Crawley Town squares off against Tranmere Rovers. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every hard-fought encounter in this thrilling League Two round.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for EFL League Two round 12. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team P(H) P(D) P(A) Prediction Asian
2026-10-20 EFL League Two York City Accrington Stanley 0.4552 0.3199 0.2248 H 1X2
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Barnet Swindon Town 0.6772 0.2387 0.0841 H No bet
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Bristol Rovers Salford City 0.4920 0.3112 0.1968 H 0
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Cheltenham Town Fleetwood Town 0.2600 0.3275 0.4125 A -0.25
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Chesterfield Colchester United 0.6441 0.2550 0.1009 H 1X2
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Crawley Town Shrewsbury Town 0.3945 0.3298 0.2757 H 0
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Exeter City Crewe Alexandra 0.5083 0.3067 0.1851 H 0
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Rochdale Grimsby Town 0.2511 0.3259 0.4230 A 1X2
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Rotherham United Newport County 0.4555 0.3199 0.2246 H 1X2
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Northampton Town Tranmere Rovers 0.4867 0.3126 0.2007 H -0.25
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Walsall Oldham Athletic 0.4151 0.3271 0.2578 H -0.25
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Gillingham Port Vale 0.3120 0.3329 0.3551 A -0.25

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-20 York City Accrington Stanley 60 60 1.41 3.45
2026-10-20 Barnet Swindon Town 100 0 1.72 2.40
2026-10-20 Bristol Rovers Salford City 40 60 1.50 2.99
2026-10-20 Cheltenham Town Fleetwood Town 80 60 2.34 1.75
2026-10-20 Chesterfield Colchester United 60 60 1.61 2.64
2026-10-20 Crawley Town Shrewsbury Town 50 40 3.14 1.47
2026-10-20 Exeter City Crewe Alexandra 20 40 1.69 2.45
2026-10-20 Rochdale Grimsby Town 40 60 1.73 2.38
2026-10-20 Rotherham United Newport County 100 40 1.88 2.14
2026-10-20 Northampton Town Tranmere Rovers 25 60 2.52 1.66
2026-10-20 Walsall Oldham Athletic 25 50 2.10 1.91
2026-10-20 Gillingham Port Vale 20 25 2.83 1.55

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-20 EFL League Two York City Accrington Stanley 1.87 2.15
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Barnet Swindon Town 1.99 2.01
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Bristol Rovers Salford City 1.96 2.05
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Cheltenham Town Fleetwood Town 2.06 1.94
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Chesterfield Colchester United 2.62 1.62
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Crawley Town Shrewsbury Town 3.32 1.43
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Exeter City Crewe Alexandra 2.54 1.65
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Rochdale Grimsby Town 2.39 1.72
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Rotherham United Newport County 2.47 1.68
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Northampton Town Tranmere Rovers 4.80 1.26
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Walsall Oldham Athletic 3.64 1.38
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Gillingham Port Vale 4.20 1.31

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
York City Accrington Stanley 1.52 1.28 4.56 2.23 1.81
Barnet Swindon Town 0.94 1.64 2.55 4.15 1.32
Bristol Rovers Salford City 1.24 1.41 3.46 2.84 1.54
Cheltenham Town Fleetwood Town 1.28 1.39 3.58 2.74 1.57
Chesterfield Colchester United 1.22 1.42 3.39 2.90 1.53
Crawley Town Shrewsbury Town 1.64 1.24 5.18 2.04 1.96
Exeter City Crewe Alexandra 0.57 2.31 1.76 9.03 1.12
Rochdale Grimsby Town 0.94 1.64 2.57 4.12 1.32
Rotherham United Newport County 1.21 1.43 3.34 2.94 1.51
Northampton Town Tranmere Rovers 0.62 2.17 1.86 7.80 1.15
Walsall Oldham Athletic 1.07 1.52 2.91 3.45 1.41
Gillingham Port Vale 0.66 2.07 1.94 7.03 1.17

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
York City Accrington Stanley 60.0 54.5 68.2
Barnet Swindon Town 44.4 36.4 43.2
Bristol Rovers Salford City 27.3 27.3 22.9
Cheltenham Town Fleetwood Town 36.4 27.3 29.3
Chesterfield Colchester United 27.3 10.0 9.1
Crawley Town Shrewsbury Town 33.3 18.2 19.1
Exeter City Crewe Alexandra 18.2 18.2 10.9
Rochdale Grimsby Town 36.4 27.3 29.3
Rotherham United Newport County 18.2 27.3 15.9
Northampton Town Tranmere Rovers 33.3 27.3 27.3
Walsall Oldham Athletic 20.0 20.0 13.1
Gillingham Port Vale 27.3 11.1 10.1

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
York City Accrington Stanley 10.18 1.80 2.24
Barnet Swindon Town 13.06 1.22 5.54
Bristol Rovers Salford City 10.73 1.62 2.60
Cheltenham Town Fleetwood Town 10.22 1.79 2.27
Chesterfield Colchester United 10.30 1.76 2.32
Crawley Town Shrewsbury Town 10.02 1.87 2.15
Exeter City Crewe Alexandra 7.93 3.53 1.40
Rochdale Grimsby Town 10.65 1.65 2.55
Rotherham United Newport County 7.05 5.33 1.23
Northampton Town Tranmere Rovers 9.26 2.25 1.80
Walsall Oldham Athletic 10.30 1.76 2.31
Gillingham Port Vale 9.12 2.34 1.75

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Barnet 2.50 1.25 2.40 1.40
York City 2.60 0.80 1.00 1.60
Salford City 1.17 0.50 2.00 1.60
Cheltenham Town 1.80 1.60 1.33 2.00
Chesterfield 2.00 1.40 1.17 1.33
Gillingham 1.20 0.80 1.67 1.50
Accrington Stanley 2.00 1.17 0.80 1.60
Crewe Alexandra 1.83 1.17 0.80 0.40
Bristol Rovers 2.00 1.20 0.83 2.00
Oldham Athletic 1.83 1.17 0.50 1.75
Walsall 1.25 0.50 1.33 0.83
Tranmere Rovers 1.50 1.00 1.00 1.80
Newport County 1.67 0.83 0.80 1.60
Rochdale 1.60 1.20 0.83 1.50
Grimsby Town 1.33 1.00 1.00 1.40
Rotherham United 1.60 2.00 0.67 1.33
Fleetwood Town 1.17 0.67 1.00 1.40
Colchester United 1.00 0.60 1.00 2.00
Crawley Town 0.75 2.00 1.20 1.80
Shrewsbury Town 1.17 1.00 0.60 1.80
Swindon Town 1.67 1.00 0.00 1.80
Northampton Town 0.50 0.50 0.80 1.00
Port Vale 0.80 0.20 0.25 2.00
Exeter City 0.80 0.20 0.33 0.83

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-20 EFL League Two York City Accrington Stanley 1 1 14.7
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Barnet Swindon Town 1 1 14.1
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Bristol Rovers Salford City 1 1 14.0
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Cheltenham Town Fleetwood Town 1 1 12.0
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Chesterfield Colchester United 1 1 15.0
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Crawley Town Shrewsbury Town 2 0 17.9
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Exeter City Crewe Alexandra 1 1 14.5
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Rochdale Grimsby Town 1 1 13.9
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Rotherham United Newport County 1 0 12.8
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Northampton Town Tranmere Rovers 0 0 21.8
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Walsall Oldham Athletic 0 0 17.9
2026-10-20 EFL League Two Gillingham Port Vale 0 0 25.7


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