English Football

AI Football Tips: EFL Championship round 29

Get ready for another thrilling round of EFL Championship action! The intensity never lets up as we approach the heart of this season, and Round 29 promises more drama than ever. This weekend’s matchups are sure to leave you on the edge of your seat as teams battle it out for every point. To kick things off, Burnley will be facing off against Leeds United in a clash that could set the league alight! The tension will reach its peak with West Brom’s showdown against Portsmouth as they look to secure another victory.
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for EFL Championship round 29. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2025-01-24 EFL Championship Sheffield Utd Hull City H 1X2
2025-01-25 EFL Championship Luton Town Millwall H -0.25
2025-01-25 EFL Championship Norwich City Swansea City H 1X2
2025-01-25 EFL Championship Stoke City Oxford United H 1X2
2025-01-25 EFL Championship Bristol City Blackburn H 1X2
2025-01-25 EFL Championship Cardiff City Derby County H -0.25
2025-01-25 EFL Championship Coventry City Watford H 1X2
2025-01-25 EFL Championship Preston Middlesbrough H +0.25
2025-01-25 EFL Championship Sunderland Plymouth Argyle H No bet
2025-01-25 EFL Championship West Brom Portsmouth H 1X2
2025-01-25 EFL Championship QPR Sheffield Weds H 0
2025-01-27 EFL Championship Burnley Leeds United H +0.25

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team Home +2.5(%) Away +2.5 (%)
2025-01-24 Sheffield Utd Hull City 15 38
2025-01-25 Luton Town Millwall 57 25
2025-01-25 Norwich City Swansea City 69 50
2025-01-25 Stoke City Oxford United 43 46
2025-01-25 Bristol City Blackburn 38 31
2025-01-25 Cardiff City Derby County 29 43
2025-01-25 Coventry City Watford 77 64
2025-01-25 Preston Middlesbrough 29 54
2025-01-25 Sunderland Plymouth Argyle 46 43
2025-01-25 West Brom Portsmouth 23 71
2025-01-25 QPR Sheffield Weds 57 77
2025-01-27 Burnley Leeds United 23 23

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target
2025-01-24 Sheffield Utd Hull City 15 46 3.25
2025-01-25 Luton Town Millwall 64 50 1.75
2025-01-25 Norwich City Swansea City 85 43 1.57
2025-01-25 Stoke City Oxford United 57 54 1.80
2025-01-25 Bristol City Blackburn 46 38 2.36
2025-01-25 Cardiff City Derby County 29 64 2.15
2025-01-25 Coventry City Watford 62 64 1.59
2025-01-25 Preston Middlesbrough 50 62 1.79
2025-01-25 Sunderland Plymouth Argyle 46 21 2.96
2025-01-25 West Brom Portsmouth 31 57 2.28
2025-01-25 QPR Sheffield Weds 79 54 1.51
2025-01-27 Burnley Leeds United 31 38 2.89

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg. +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2025-01-24 Sheffield Utd Hull City 2.08 2.90 1.53
2025-01-25 Luton Town Millwall 2.17 2.71 1.59
2025-01-25 Norwich City Swansea City 2.92 1.79 2.27
2025-01-25 Stoke City Oxford United 2.56 2.12 1.89
2025-01-25 Bristol City Blackburn 2.04 2.99 1.50
2025-01-25 Cardiff City Derby County 2.50 2.19 1.84
2025-01-25 Coventry City Watford 3.14 1.65 2.55
2025-01-25 Preston Middlesbrough 2.66 2.01 1.99
2025-01-25 Sunderland Plymouth Argyle 2.51 2.18 1.85
2025-01-25 West Brom Portsmouth 2.46 2.24 1.80
2025-01-25 QPR Sheffield Weds 2.90 1.80 2.24
2025-01-27 Burnley Leeds United 1.88 3.44 1.41

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Leeds United 2.33 0.47 1.38 0.92
Middlesbrough 1.47 1.00 1.85 1.46
Norwich City 2.38 1.38 0.80 1.53
Sunderland 1.69 0.62 1.20 0.93
Sheffield Weds 1.60 1.47 1.23 1.77
Sheffield Utd 1.46 0.38 1.40 0.87
Watford 1.43 0.86 1.36 1.93
Coventry City 1.77 1.23 0.93 1.40
Portsmouth 1.69 1.00 0.93 2.36
Burnley 1.15 0.31 1.40 0.33
Bristol City 1.46 0.77 1.07 1.53
Oxford United 1.53 1.27 0.77 1.85
West Brom 1.08 0.54 1.27 1.13
QPR 1.43 1.36 0.86 1.14
Derby County 1.36 1.00 0.86 1.71
Swansea City 1.50 1.14 0.71 1.36
Cardiff City 1.14 1.29 1.07 1.79
Blackburn 1.33 0.87 0.85 1.00
Preston 1.14 0.86 1.00 1.64
Luton Town 1.29 1.14 0.79 2.21
Millwall 1.07 0.87 0.83 1.08
Hull City 1.00 1.33 0.92 1.38
Stoke City 1.29 1.21 0.57 1.36
Plymouth Argyle 1.57 1.79 0.21 2.50

No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2025-01-24 Sheffield Utd Hull City 2.00 2.10
2025-01-25 Luton Town Millwall 2.00 1.95
2025-01-25 Norwich City Swansea City 2.90 2.35
2025-01-25 Stoke City Oxford United 2.65 2.60
2025-01-25 Bristol City Blackburn 2.00 2.00
2025-01-25 Cardiff City Derby County 1.85 1.80
2025-01-25 Coventry City Watford 2.30 2.55
2025-01-25 Preston Middlesbrough 1.65 2.60
2025-01-25 Sunderland Plymouth Argyle 1.70 2.30
2025-01-25 West Brom Portsmouth 2.30 2.90
2025-01-25 QPR Sheffield Weds 2.25 2.30
2025-01-27 Burnley Leeds United 1.60 2.40