AI Football Tips: Jupiler Pro League round 23

Get ready for a thrilling round of Jupiler Pro League action! This week, the Belgian football scene promises another dose of intense competition as 23rd round kicks off with a clash between **Standard Liège** and **Dender**, This fiery matchup is sure to ignite passion amongst fans. A key fixture in this round is also **OH Leuven’s** home encounter against **Gent**. Will they be able to secure their own victory? The Jupiler Pro League boasts some of the most passionate football fans in Europe, and with every matchday comes a chance for unexpected twists and turns. So buckle up and get ready for an exciting weekend!
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Jupiler Pro League round 23. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2025-01-24 Jupiler Pro League Sint-Truiden Antwerp H 0
2025-01-25 Jupiler Pro League Westerlo Genk A 1X2
2025-01-25 Jupiler Pro League Charleroi Cercle Brugge H 1X2
2025-01-25 Jupiler Pro League Club Brugge Kortrijk H No bet
2025-01-26 Jupiler Pro League Standard Liège Dender H 1X2
2025-01-26 Jupiler Pro League Beerschot Union SG A 1X2
2025-01-26 Jupiler Pro League Anderlecht Mechelen H 1X2
2025-01-26 Jupiler Pro League OH Leuven Gent H 0

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team Home +2.5(%) Away +2.5 (%)
2025-01-24 Sint-Truiden Antwerp 55 36
2025-01-25 Westerlo Genk 73 73
2025-01-25 Charleroi Cercle Brugge 30 45
2025-01-25 Club Brugge Kortrijk 64 73
2025-01-26 Standard Liège Dender 27 70
2025-01-26 Beerschot Union SG 64 27
2025-01-26 Anderlecht Mechelen 64 40
2025-01-26 OH Leuven Gent 10 36

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target
2025-01-24 Sint-Truiden Antwerp 73 73 1.37
2025-01-25 Westerlo Genk 73 64 1.47
2025-01-25 Charleroi Cercle Brugge 40 45 2.34
2025-01-25 Club Brugge Kortrijk 64 45 1.83
2025-01-26 Standard Liège Dender 36 60 2.08
2025-01-26 Beerschot Union SG 64 55 1.69
2025-01-26 Anderlecht Mechelen 36 60 2.08
2025-01-26 OH Leuven Gent 50 36 2.32

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg. +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2025-01-24 Sint-Truiden Antwerp 2.59 2.09 1.92
2025-01-25 Westerlo Genk 3.50 1.47 3.12
2025-01-25 Charleroi Cercle Brugge 2.22 2.61 1.62
2025-01-25 Club Brugge Kortrijk 3.59 1.44 3.28
2025-01-26 Standard Liège Dender 2.38 2.35 1.74
2025-01-26 Beerschot Union SG 2.41 2.31 1.76
2025-01-26 Anderlecht Mechelen 2.75 1.93 2.08
2025-01-26 OH Leuven Gent 1.99 3.12 1.47

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Club Brugge 2.82 1.18 1.82 1.09
Genk 2.27 0.64 1.73 1.91
Anderlecht 1.91 1.09 1.55 0.82
Westerlo 2.00 1.36 1.36 2.18
Antwerp 2.20 1.20 1.18 1.09
Mechelen 2.08 1.25 1.10 1.40
Gent 1.91 1.00 0.91 1.27
Union SG 1.82 0.73 1.00 1.00
Dender 1.00 1.33 1.50 1.80
Sint-Truiden 1.36 1.55 1.09 2.36
Cercle Brugge 1.27 1.18 0.82 1.73
Charleroi 1.10 0.80 1.00 1.50
Beerschot 1.27 1.55 0.70 2.50
OH Leuven 1.20 0.60 0.58 1.50
Kortrijk 0.82 1.36 0.73 2.45
Standard Liège 0.91 0.55 0.45 1.45

No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2025-01-24 Sint-Truiden Antwerp 2.70 2.4
2025-01-25 Westerlo Genk 3.00 3.6
2025-01-25 Charleroi Cercle Brugge 2.65 3.1
2025-01-25 Club Brugge Kortrijk 3.70 2.5
2025-01-26 Standard Liège Dender 2.70 2.7
2025-01-26 Beerschot Union SG 3.20 2.8
2025-01-26 Anderlecht Mechelen 2.70 2.8
2025-01-26 OH Leuven Gent 2.05 2.9