AI Football Tips: Bundesliga round 19

Get ready for a thrilling conclusion to Bundesliga Round 19! The stage is set for some unforgettable battles as these teams fight for every point. With passionate fans cheering them on, let’s dive into the final two fixtures: First up, on January 26th, St. Pauli will host Union Berlin in a clash of styles that promises to be explosive. The home team hopes to secure victory in front of their roaring crowd, while Union Berlin looks to thwart any ambitions with their own brand of football. Will it be a celebration or frustration for the fans? We’ll find out as these teams go head-to-head! The final match sees Hoffenheim take on Eintracht Frankfurt later that day. This matchup is sure to be a test for both sides, as they face off with high expectations and a desire to secure crucial points. Expect an epic battle as these two teams push their limits in search of victory.
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Bundesliga round 19. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2025-01-24 Bundesliga Wolfsburg Holstein Kiel H No bet
2025-01-25 Bundesliga Augsburg Heidenheim H 1X2
2025-01-25 Bundesliga RB Leipzig Leverkusen A 1X2
2025-01-25 Bundesliga Freiburg Bayern Munich A No bet
2025-01-25 Bundesliga Dortmund Werder Bremen H 1X2
2025-01-25 Bundesliga Mainz 05 Stuttgart A -0.25
2025-01-25 Bundesliga Gladbach Bochum H 1X2
2025-01-26 Bundesliga Hoffenheim Eint Frankfurt A -0.25
2025-01-26 Bundesliga St. Pauli Union Berlin H 0

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team Home +2.5(%) Away +2.5 (%)
2025-01-24 Wolfsburg Holstein Kiel 78 100
2025-01-25 Augsburg Heidenheim 56 56
2025-01-25 RB Leipzig Leverkusen 62 62
2025-01-25 Freiburg Bayern Munich 88 67
2025-01-25 Dortmund Werder Bremen 67 67
2025-01-25 Mainz 05 Stuttgart 33 75
2025-01-25 Gladbach Bochum 56 44
2025-01-26 Hoffenheim Eint Frankfurt 67 67
2025-01-26 St. Pauli Union Berlin 25 33

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target
2025-01-24 Wolfsburg Holstein Kiel 89 100 1.06
2025-01-25 Augsburg Heidenheim 56 56 1.80
2025-01-25 RB Leipzig Leverkusen 50 88 1.45
2025-01-25 Freiburg Bayern Munich 75 56 1.53
2025-01-25 Dortmund Werder Bremen 78 67 1.38
2025-01-25 Mainz 05 Stuttgart 56 62 1.69
2025-01-25 Gladbach Bochum 67 44 1.80
2025-01-26 Hoffenheim Eint Frankfurt 78 67 1.38
2025-01-26 St. Pauli Union Berlin 12 33 4.36

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg. +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2025-01-24 Wolfsburg Holstein Kiel 4.17 1.27 4.67
2025-01-25 Augsburg Heidenheim 3.34 1.54 2.85
2025-01-25 RB Leipzig Leverkusen 3.25 1.59 2.71
2025-01-25 Freiburg Bayern Munich 3.70 1.40 3.50
2025-01-25 Dortmund Werder Bremen 3.78 1.37 3.67
2025-01-25 Mainz 05 Stuttgart 2.78 1.90 2.11
2025-01-25 Gladbach Bochum 3.33 1.55 2.83
2025-01-26 Hoffenheim Eint Frankfurt 3.61 1.43 3.32
2025-01-26 St. Pauli Union Berlin 1.98 3.15 1.47

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Bayern Munich 3.33 0.67 2.89 1.00
Leverkusen 2.60 1.40 2.25 1.25
Eint Frankfurt 2.78 1.33 1.89 1.33
Wolfsburg 2.11 2.11 2.33 1.44
Stuttgart 2.40 1.30 1.50 1.62
Dortmund 2.44 1.22 1.11 2.22
RB Leipzig 1.88 1.12 1.70 1.80
Werder Bremen 1.44 1.89 2.00 1.89
Mainz 05 1.33 1.11 2.11 1.44
Gladbach 2.00 1.33 1.00 1.89
Holstein Kiel 1.40 2.50 1.50 2.62
Freiburg 2.12 1.38 0.80 2.30
Hoffenheim 1.78 2.22 0.78 1.67
Heidenheim 0.89 1.78 1.67 2.44
Augsburg 1.33 1.22 1.00 2.44
Bochum 1.11 1.89 0.89 2.44
Union Berlin 1.00 1.11 0.67 1.67
St. Pauli 0.38 1.25 1.10 1.10

No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2025-01-24 Wolfsburg Holstein Kiel 3.5 3.05
2025-01-25 Augsburg Heidenheim 1.8 2.80
2025-01-25 RB Leipzig Leverkusen 2.6 2.35
2025-01-25 Freiburg Bayern Munich 2.4 2.80
2025-01-25 Dortmund Werder Bremen 3.0 2.60
2025-01-25 Mainz 05 Stuttgart 2.1 3.40
2025-01-25 Gladbach Bochum 3.1 3.50
2025-01-26 Hoffenheim Eint Frankfurt 3.0 3.20
2025-01-26 St. Pauli Union Berlin 2.2 2.00