AI Football Tips: Süper Lig round 11

The fiery passion of Turkish Süper Lig football ignites Matchday 11 from November 6 to 8, bringing high-stakes encounters across the country as Istanbul’s giants and provincial challengers collide. The weekend starts on Friday evening at Gaziantep Stadium with Gaziantep FK hosting Kasımpaşa. Saturday’s action promises electric atmospheres, headlined by title holders Galatasaray entertaining Amedspor under the deafening roar of Rams Park, while Aegean favorites Göztepe lock horns with İstanbul Başakşehir in İzmir, Samsunspor battle Konyaspor, and Eyüpspor square off with Kocaelispor.

Sunday delivers non-stop drama headlined by Beşiktaş taking on Gençlerbirliği at Tüpraş Stadium on the banks of the Bosphorus, while title rivals Fenerbahçe face an intense away fixture against Çorum FK. On the Mediterranean coast, Alanyaspor welcome Black Sea powerhouse Trabzonspor in a notoriously tricky test, alongside Çaykur Rizespor playing Erzurumspor FK. With volatile home crowds and intense counterattacking styles dictating tempo, data precision is vital. Access our intelligent AI match forecasts, probabilistic outcome models, and granular performance analytics to stay on the winning side of every Turkish Süper Lig fixture.

1X2 Match Projections

We let our algorithms crunch the numbers, dig into recent team stats, and do the heavy lifting so you don’t have to! Here is our 1X2 outlook for Süper Lig at a glance.

Date Home Team Away Team 1X2 Pick
2026-11-06 Gaziantep FK Kasımpaşa 2
2026-11-07 Eyüpspor Kocaelispor 2
2026-11-07 Samsunspor Konyaspor 2
2026-11-07 Galatasaray Amed 1
2026-11-07 Göztepe İstanbul Başakşehir 1
2026-11-08 Rizespor BB Erzurumspor 1
2026-11-08 Çorum Belediyespor Fenerbahçe 1
2026-11-08 Alanyaspor Trabzonspor 2
2026-11-08 Beşiktaş Gençlerbirliği 1

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-11-06 Gaziantep FK Kasımpaşa 60 60 3.06 1.48
2026-11-07 Eyüpspor Kocaelispor 20 60 2.61 1.62
2026-11-07 Samsunspor Konyaspor 60 25 2.22 1.82
2026-11-07 Galatasaray Amed 80 75 2.70 1.59
2026-11-07 Göztepe İstanbul Başakşehir 50 25 2.65 1.61
2026-11-08 Rizespor BB Erzurumspor 25 40 2.00 2.00
2026-11-08 Çorum Belediyespor Fenerbahçe 50 40 1.60 2.66
2026-11-08 Alanyaspor Trabzonspor 50 60 1.57 2.76
2026-11-08 Beşiktaş Gençlerbirliği 40 0 2.73 1.58

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-11-06 Süper Lig Gaziantep FK Kasımpaşa 1.54 2.86
2026-11-07 Süper Lig Eyüpspor Kocaelispor 1.47 3.12
2026-11-07 Süper Lig Samsunspor Konyaspor 1.56 2.77
2026-11-07 Süper Lig Galatasaray Amed 1.47 3.11
2026-11-07 Süper Lig Göztepe İstanbul Başakşehir 1.67 2.49
2026-11-08 Süper Lig Rizespor BB Erzurumspor 1.60 2.66
2026-11-08 Süper Lig Çorum Belediyespor Fenerbahçe 1.62 2.60
2026-11-08 Süper Lig Alanyaspor Trabzonspor 1.41 3.47
2026-11-08 Süper Lig Beşiktaş Gençlerbirliği 1.69 2.45

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Gaziantep FK Kasımpaşa 0.91 1.68 2.48 4.34 1.30
Eyüpspor Kocaelispor 1.54 1.27 4.68 2.19 1.84
Samsunspor Konyaspor 1.49 1.29 4.44 2.28 1.78
Galatasaray Amed 1.36 1.35 3.89 2.54 1.65
Göztepe İstanbul Başakşehir 1.17 1.45 3.23 3.06 1.49
Rizespor BB Erzurumspor 0.79 1.83 2.20 5.33 1.23
Çorum Belediyespor Fenerbahçe 1.33 1.36 3.80 2.59 1.63
Alanyaspor Trabzonspor 1.35 1.35 3.86 2.55 1.64
Beşiktaş Gençlerbirliği 1.64 1.24 5.17 2.05 1.96

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Gaziantep FK Kasımpaşa 30.0 10.0 8.3
Eyüpspor Kocaelispor 50.0 10.0 13.5
Samsunspor Konyaspor 40.0 30.0 29.4
Galatasaray Amed 30.0 30.0 23.0
Göztepe İstanbul Başakşehir 50.0 50.0 51.6
Rizespor BB Erzurumspor 40.0 10.0 11.0
Çorum Belediyespor Fenerbahçe 50.0 50.0 51.6
Alanyaspor Trabzonspor 20.0 60.0 29.4
Beşiktaş Gençlerbirliği 20.0 40.0 20.7

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Gaziantep FK Kasımpaşa 9.97 1.89 2.13
Eyüpspor Kocaelispor 10.07 1.85 2.18
Samsunspor Konyaspor 9.83 1.95 2.05
Galatasaray Amed 10.10 1.83 2.20
Göztepe İstanbul Başakşehir 7.82 3.69 1.37
Rizespor BB Erzurumspor 8.76 2.61 1.62
Çorum Belediyespor Fenerbahçe 9.63 2.04 1.96
Alanyaspor Trabzonspor 10.82 1.60 2.67
Beşiktaş Gençlerbirliği 10.81 1.60 2.66

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Amed 3.17 0.67 1.50 1.75
Trabzonspor 3.00 0.20 1.80 1.40
Fenerbahçe 3.40 1.20 1.40 0.80
Galatasaray 2.20 1.20 2.40 1.20
Göztepe 1.50 1.75 2.50 1.67
Çorum Belediyespor 1.50 1.00 2.50 2.00
Beşiktaş 2.80 0.60 1.20 1.80
İstanbul Başakşehir 2.67 1.17 0.25 2.25
Kasımpaşa 1.80 1.20 1.20 1.00
Gençlerbirliği 1.83 1.17 0.25 2.75
Kocaelispor 1.20 0.40 1.00 1.40
Rizespor 0.75 2.50 1.33 0.83
Samsunspor 1.00 3.00 1.00 2.20
Gaziantep FK 0.60 1.80 1.20 1.60
BB Erzurumspor 1.00 1.40 0.80 1.60
Alanyaspor 1.00 1.00 0.83 2.00
Konyaspor 0.67 1.17 0.50 1.50
Eyüpspor 0.40 1.80 0.20 3.80

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-11-06 Süper Lig Gaziantep FK Kasımpaşa 1 1 11.7
2026-11-07 Süper Lig Eyüpspor Kocaelispor 1 1 10.6
2026-11-07 Süper Lig Samsunspor Konyaspor 1 1 12.1
2026-11-07 Süper Lig Galatasaray Amed 1 1 10.7
2026-11-07 Süper Lig Göztepe İstanbul Başakşehir 1 1 14.0
2026-11-08 Süper Lig Rizespor BB Erzurumspor 1 1 11.8
2026-11-08 Süper Lig Çorum Belediyespor Fenerbahçe 1 1 13.4
2026-11-08 Süper Lig Alanyaspor Trabzonspor 1 1 10.9
2026-11-08 Süper Lig Beşiktaş Gençlerbirliği 2 0 15.3


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