AI Football Tips: Serie B round 11

Italian Serie B swings into Matchday 11 from November 6 to 8, bringing tactical rigor and fierce competition as teams scramble for playoff seeding and relegation safety before the mid-November break. The round kicks off under the Friday night lights as Ascoli host promotion contenders Palermo at the Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca. Saturday delivers a jam-packed schedule of enticing fixtures across Italy, featuring Padova testing themselves against Empoli, Cesena taking on Catanzaro, Juve Stabia clashing with Arezzo, Südtirol battling Mantova in Bolzano, and Hellas Verona welcoming Benevento in a heavyweight encounter.

Sunday’s finale continues the drama as Virtus Entella square off against Modena in Chiavari, while Sampdoria entertain LR Vicenza at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris in a clash rich in footballing heritage. With defensive resilience and razor-thin goal differentials defining matches across the Italian second tier, precision data is paramount. Explore our sophisticated AI-driven predictions, proprietary simulations, and in-depth performance analytics to unlock unmatched tactical insight for every Serie B matchup.

1X2 Match Projections

We let our algorithms crunch the numbers, dig into recent team stats, and do the heavy lifting so you don’t have to! Here is our 1X2 outlook for Serie B at a glance.

Date Home Team Away Team 1X2 Pick
2026-11-06 Ascoli Palermo 2
2026-11-07 Juve Stabia Arezzo 1
2026-11-07 Cesena Catanzaro 1
2026-11-07 Calcio Padova Empoli 1
2026-11-07 Pisa Südtirol 1
2026-11-07 Mantova Hellas Verona 2
2026-11-07 Benevento Avellino 2
2026-11-08 Virtus Entella Modena 2
2026-11-08 Carrarese Sampdoria 1
2026-11-08 Vicenza Cremonese 2

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Serie B round 11. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team P(H) P(D) P(A) Prediction Asian
2026-11-06 Serie B Ascoli Palermo 0.2657 0.3284 0.4059 A 0
2026-11-07 Serie B Juve Stabia Arezzo 0.4560 0.3198 0.2243 H 1X2
2026-11-07 Serie B Cesena Catanzaro 0.2715 0.3292 0.3993 A +0.25
2026-11-07 Serie B Calcio Padova Empoli 0.2296 0.3212 0.4493 A +0.25
2026-11-07 Serie B Pisa Südtirol 0.6062 0.2719 0.1219 H 1X2
2026-11-07 Serie B Mantova Hellas Verona 0.3213 0.3332 0.3455 A 0
2026-11-07 Serie B Benevento Avellino 0.4467 0.3217 0.2316 H 1X2
2026-11-08 Serie B Virtus Entella Modena 0.2580 0.3272 0.4148 A -0.25
2026-11-08 Serie B Carrarese Sampdoria 0.2374 0.3230 0.4396 A 0
2026-11-08 Serie B Vicenza Cremonese 0.2749 0.3297 0.3954 A -0.25

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-11-06 Ascoli Palermo 60 80 2.16 1.87
2026-11-07 Juve Stabia Arezzo 25 60 1.62 2.61
2026-11-07 Cesena Catanzaro 100 83 2.15 1.87
2026-11-07 Calcio Padova Empoli 40 80 2.03 1.97
2026-11-07 Pisa Südtirol 80 50 1.60 2.67
2026-11-07 Mantova Hellas Verona 40 75 1.62 2.62
2026-11-07 Benevento Avellino 83 75 1.44 3.27
2026-11-08 Virtus Entella Modena 80 80 2.16 1.86
2026-11-08 Carrarese Sampdoria 60 67 1.37 3.73
2026-11-08 Vicenza Cremonese 75 40 1.71 2.40

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-11-06 Serie B Ascoli Palermo 2.95 1.51
2026-11-07 Serie B Juve Stabia Arezzo 2.61 1.62
2026-11-07 Serie B Cesena Catanzaro 2.88 1.53
2026-11-07 Serie B Calcio Padova Empoli 2.54 1.65
2026-11-07 Serie B Pisa Südtirol 2.35 1.74
2026-11-07 Serie B Mantova Hellas Verona 1.95 2.05
2026-11-07 Serie B Benevento Avellino 2.03 1.97
2026-11-08 Serie B Virtus Entella Modena 2.39 1.72
2026-11-08 Serie B Carrarese Sampdoria 2.11 1.90
2026-11-08 Serie B Vicenza Cremonese 1.85 2.17

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Ascoli Palermo 0.64 2.12 1.89 7.41 1.16
Juve Stabia Arezzo 0.67 2.05 1.96 6.86 1.17
Cesena Catanzaro 0.88 1.71 2.42 4.52 1.28
Calcio Padova Empoli 1.00 1.58 2.73 3.77 1.36
Pisa Südtirol 1.73 1.22 5.64 1.94 2.07
Mantova Hellas Verona 1.08 1.51 2.95 3.40 1.42
Benevento Avellino 0.77 1.86 2.17 5.49 1.22
Virtus Entella Modena 1.34 1.35 3.84 2.57 1.64
Carrarese Sampdoria 0.73 1.93 2.07 6.02 1.20
Vicenza Cremonese 1.06 1.53 2.90 3.48 1.40

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Ascoli Palermo 10.0 40.0 16.6
Juve Stabia Arezzo 10.0 20.0 8.7
Cesena Catanzaro 0.0 10.0 0.0
Calcio Padova Empoli 30.0 10.0 12.7
Pisa Südtirol 30.0 0.0 0.0
Mantova Hellas Verona 30.0 30.0 33.6
Benevento Avellino 0.0 40.0 0.0
Virtus Entella Modena 20.0 40.0 30.5
Carrarese Sampdoria 30.0 30.0 33.6
Vicenza Cremonese 30.0 30.0 33.6

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Ascoli Palermo 10.15 1.81 2.23
Juve Stabia Arezzo 8.37 2.98 1.50
Cesena Catanzaro 11.74 1.40 3.53
Calcio Padova Empoli 9.25 2.26 1.80
Pisa Südtirol 10.19 1.80 2.25
Mantova Hellas Verona 9.55 2.09 1.92
Benevento Avellino 9.23 2.27 1.79
Virtus Entella Modena 8.72 2.65 1.61
Carrarese Sampdoria 8.51 2.84 1.54
Vicenza Cremonese 9.84 1.94 2.06

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Palermo 2.20 0.80 2.60 1.60
Hellas Verona 2.33 1.00 1.25 1.75
Pisa 1.80 2.00 1.80 1.00
Modena 1.80 1.00 1.80 1.00
Ascoli 1.60 0.60 1.60 0.60
Avellino 1.83 0.83 1.00 1.25
Mantova 1.40 1.40 1.60 0.80
Benevento 1.67 1.17 1.00 0.75
Vicenza 1.25 2.00 1.33 2.00
Juve Stabia 1.00 1.25 1.17 1.00
Südtirol 1.00 0.50 1.25 1.75
Virtus Entella 1.00 1.40 1.20 1.00
Cesena 1.40 1.20 0.80 1.60
Catanzaro 1.00 2.50 1.17 2.00
Empoli 1.00 1.80 1.00 1.60
Cremonese 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.20
Sampdoria 1.50 1.25 0.67 2.17
Calcio Padova 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.20
Carrarese 1.00 1.20 0.80 1.40
Arezzo 0.60 2.00 1.20 1.80

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-11-06 Serie B Ascoli Palermo 1 1 14.2
2026-11-07 Serie B Juve Stabia Arezzo 1 1 14.8
2026-11-07 Serie B Cesena Catanzaro 1 1 14.8
2026-11-07 Serie B Calcio Padova Empoli 1 1 15.0
2026-11-07 Serie B Pisa Südtirol 0 1 15.1
2026-11-07 Serie B Mantova Hellas Verona 1 1 11.8
2026-11-07 Serie B Benevento Avellino 1 1 12.8
2026-11-08 Serie B Virtus Entella Modena 1 0 17.3
2026-11-08 Serie B Carrarese Sampdoria 1 1 13.1
2026-11-08 Serie B Vicenza Cremonese 1 1 12.5


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