AI Football Tips: Serie B round 10

Italian Serie B returns for Matchday 10 with a captivating round of fixtures headlined by a historic Ligurian clash, as Sampdoria welcome nearby neighbors Virtus Entella to the Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Elsewhere on Saturday, promotion hopefuls Cremonese collide with Benevento in a heavyweight contest, while FC Südtirol take on Cesena, Modena host Mantova, and Catanzaro battle Padova in what promises to be a fiercely contested afternoon across the peninsula.

Sunday’s action turns up the pressure in the promotion race, with Palermo entertaining LR Vicenza at the Renzo Barbera, Empoli facing Juve Stabia, and Avellino welcoming high-flying Pisa. Meanwhile, Hellas Verona take on Carrarese and Arezzo host Ascoli to wrap up an enthralling matchday where points at both ends of the table are at a premium. Discover our cutting-edge AI forecasts, detailed matchup simulations, and comprehensive statistical models to stay ahead in your analysis of every Serie B fixture.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Serie B round 10. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team P(H) P(D) P(A) Prediction Asian
2026-10-31 Serie B Cremonese Benevento 0.1914 0.3092 0.4995 A 0
2026-10-31 Serie B Südtirol Cesena 0.4006 0.3291 0.2703 H -0.25
2026-10-31 Serie B Modena Mantova 0.5520 0.2927 0.1552 H 1X2
2026-10-31 Serie B Catanzaro Calcio Padova 0.4670 0.3174 0.2157 H -0.25
2026-10-31 Serie B Sampdoria Virtus Entella 0.3351 0.3333 0.3316 H -0.25
2026-11-01 Serie B Arezzo Ascoli 0.2200 0.3186 0.4614 A -0.25
2026-11-01 Serie B Avellino Pisa 0.1967 0.3111 0.4922 A -0.25
2026-11-01 Serie B Empoli Juve Stabia 0.1776 0.3036 0.5188 A 0
2026-11-01 Serie B Hellas Verona Carrarese 0.5734 0.2850 0.1416 H 1X2
2026-11-01 Serie B Palermo Vicenza 0.5408 0.2966 0.1626 H 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-31 Cremonese Benevento 25 0 1.16 7.39
2026-10-31 Südtirol Cesena 40 50 1.49 3.02
2026-10-31 Modena Mantova 50 75 1.31 4.19
2026-10-31 Catanzaro Calcio Padova 67 50 1.84 2.19
2026-10-31 Sampdoria Virtus Entella 100 50 1.98 2.02
2026-11-01 Arezzo Ascoli 50 50 1.37 3.73
2026-11-01 Avellino Pisa 60 50 1.54 2.87
2026-11-01 Empoli Juve Stabia 25 60 1.38 3.61
2026-11-01 Hellas Verona Carrarese 80 50 1.81 2.24
2026-11-01 Palermo Vicenza 75 60 2.37 1.73

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-31 Serie B Cremonese Benevento 1.26 4.81
2026-10-31 Serie B Südtirol Cesena 2.06 1.94
2026-10-31 Serie B Modena Mantova 1.63 2.58
2026-10-31 Serie B Catanzaro Calcio Padova 1.86 2.16
2026-10-31 Serie B Sampdoria Virtus Entella 1.59 2.70
2026-11-01 Serie B Arezzo Ascoli 1.40 3.53
2026-11-01 Serie B Avellino Pisa 1.74 2.35
2026-11-01 Serie B Empoli Juve Stabia 1.33 4.03
2026-11-01 Serie B Hellas Verona Carrarese 2.14 1.87
2026-11-01 Serie B Palermo Vicenza 3.97 1.34

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Cremonese Benevento 0.76 1.87 2.14 5.63 1.22
Südtirol Cesena 0.98 1.60 2.68 3.87 1.35
Modena Mantova 1.62 1.25 5.04 2.08 1.93
Catanzaro Calcio Padova 1.85 1.19 6.38 1.81 2.24
Sampdoria Virtus Entella 1.28 1.38 3.61 2.72 1.58
Arezzo Ascoli 0.90 1.68 2.47 4.36 1.30
Avellino Pisa 1.25 1.40 3.48 2.82 1.55
Empoli Juve Stabia 0.58 2.26 1.79 8.56 1.13
Hellas Verona Carrarese 0.69 2.01 1.99 6.58 1.18
Palermo Vicenza 1.54 1.27 4.65 2.20 1.83

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Cremonese Benevento 33.3 0.0 0.0
Südtirol Cesena 0.0 0.0 0.0
Modena Mantova 44.4 33.3 48.7
Catanzaro Calcio Padova 11.1 33.3 15.4
Sampdoria Virtus Entella 33.3 22.2 28.3
Arezzo Ascoli 22.2 11.1 10.5
Avellino Pisa 44.4 33.3 48.7
Empoli Juve Stabia 11.1 11.1 5.4
Hellas Verona Carrarese 22.2 22.2 19.9
Palermo Vicenza 33.3 22.2 28.3

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Cremonese Benevento 9.85 1.94 2.07
Südtirol Cesena 8.62 2.74 1.58
Modena Mantova 8.68 2.68 1.60
Catanzaro Calcio Padova 11.64 1.41 3.41
Sampdoria Virtus Entella 9.62 2.05 1.95
Arezzo Ascoli 10.21 1.79 2.26
Avellino Pisa 10.30 1.76 2.32
Empoli Juve Stabia 9.21 2.28 1.78
Hellas Verona Carrarese 9.43 2.15 1.87
Palermo Vicenza 9.97 1.89 2.13

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Palermo 2.00 0.75 2.60 1.60
Pisa 1.80 2.00 2.25 0.75
Modena 2.00 1.00 1.80 1.00
Hellas Verona 2.20 1.20 1.25 1.75
Ascoli 1.60 0.60 2.00 0.75
Benevento 1.67 1.17 1.33 0.33
Mantova 1.40 1.40 1.75 0.75
Avellino 1.80 1.00 1.00 1.25
Vicenza 1.25 2.00 1.40 1.80
Virtus Entella 1.00 1.40 1.50 0.75
Cesena 1.40 1.20 0.75 1.75
Catanzaro 1.00 3.00 1.17 2.00
Südtirol 1.00 0.40 1.25 1.75
Juve Stabia 1.00 1.25 1.00 0.80
Carrarese 1.00 1.20 1.00 1.00
Calcio Padova 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.25
Arezzo 0.75 2.50 1.20 1.80
Empoli 0.75 1.75 1.00 1.60
Cremonese 0.75 1.25 1.00 1.20
Sampdoria 1.33 1.67 0.67 2.17

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-31 Serie B Cremonese Benevento 1 2 9.6
2026-10-31 Serie B Südtirol Cesena 1 1 14.2
2026-10-31 Serie B Modena Mantova 1 1 11.8
2026-10-31 Serie B Catanzaro Calcio Padova 1 1 12.4
2026-10-31 Serie B Sampdoria Virtus Entella 1 1 13.4
2026-11-01 Serie B Arezzo Ascoli 1 1 11.3
2026-11-01 Serie B Avellino Pisa 1 1 13.3
2026-11-01 Serie B Empoli Juve Stabia 1 1 11.2
2026-11-01 Serie B Hellas Verona Carrarese 0 1 13.4
2026-11-01 Serie B Palermo Vicenza 0 1 14.4


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