English Football

AI Football Tips: EFL League One round 14

EFL League One heads into Matchweek 14 with high-stakes regional showdowns and pivotal promotion battles across the division. The action kicks off with a fiery West Yorkshire derby as Bradford City host Huddersfield Town in front of a packed Valley Parade, while Peterborough United face a stern test against promotion contenders Luton Town. Elsewhere, Mansfield Town welcome fierce local rivals Notts County in a clash brimming with intensity, alongside intriguing fixtures featuring Plymouth Argyle taking on Reading and Leyton Orient squaring off with Cambridge United.

The weekend slate also sees Leicester City battling Stevenage, Barnsley clashing with Oxford United, and Wycombe Wanderers meeting Burton Albion, before concluding on Sunday as Sheffield Wednesday host Blackpool at Hillsborough. With the table tightly packed from top to bottom, every tactical adjustment and set piece will be vital. Dive into our advanced AI-driven predictions, proprietary simulations, and granular analytical insights to uncover the data trends shaping every League One fixture.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for EFL League One round 14. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team P(H) P(D) P(A) Prediction Asian
2026-10-31 EFL League One Bradford City Huddersfield Town 0.2581 0.3272 0.4147 A 0
2026-10-31 EFL League One Leyton Orient Cambridge United 0.1901 0.3087 0.5012 A 0
2026-10-31 EFL League One Plymouth Argyle Reading 0.3168 0.3331 0.3502 A 0
2026-10-31 EFL League One Barnsley Oxford United 0.5327 0.2992 0.1681 H 0
2026-10-31 EFL League One Wigan Athletic Bromley 0.5719 0.2855 0.1426 H 1X2
2026-10-31 EFL League One Wycombe Wanderers Burton Albion 0.5089 0.3065 0.1846 H 1X2
2026-10-31 EFL League One Milton Keynes Dons Doncaster Rovers 0.4285 0.3250 0.2465 H 1X2
2026-10-31 EFL League One Leicester City Stevenage 0.4352 0.3238 0.2410 H 1X2
2026-10-31 EFL League One Peterborough United Luton Town 0.2736 0.3295 0.3969 A 1X2
2026-10-31 EFL League One Mansfield Town Notts County 0.4847 0.3131 0.2022 H 1X2
2026-10-31 EFL League One Stockport County AFC Wimbledon 0.8055 0.1619 0.0325 H No bet
2026-11-01 EFL League One Sheffield Wednesday Blackpool 0.6023 0.2735 0.1242 H 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-31 Bradford City Huddersfield Town 20 67 2.58 1.63
2026-10-31 Leyton Orient Cambridge United 50 100 2.36 1.74
2026-10-31 Plymouth Argyle Reading 33 60 2.00 2.00
2026-10-31 Barnsley Oxford United 80 80 1.45 3.20
2026-10-31 Wigan Athletic Bromley 20 67 3.27 1.44
2026-10-31 Wycombe Wanderers Burton Albion 83 50 1.77 2.29
2026-10-31 Milton Keynes Dons Doncaster Rovers 83 67 2.05 1.95
2026-10-31 Leicester City Stevenage 50 40 1.60 2.66
2026-10-31 Peterborough United Luton Town 60 100 1.65 2.55
2026-10-31 Mansfield Town Notts County 80 60 2.13 1.89
2026-10-31 Stockport County AFC Wimbledon 67 50 2.41 1.71
2026-11-01 Sheffield Wednesday Blackpool 33 60 1.92 2.09

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-31 EFL League One Bradford City Huddersfield Town 2.13 1.89
2026-10-31 EFL League One Leyton Orient Cambridge United 1.83 2.21
2026-10-31 EFL League One Plymouth Argyle Reading 1.80 2.24
2026-10-31 EFL League One Barnsley Oxford United 1.83 2.20
2026-10-31 EFL League One Wigan Athletic Bromley 1.92 2.09
2026-10-31 EFL League One Wycombe Wanderers Burton Albion 1.62 2.61
2026-10-31 EFL League One Milton Keynes Dons Doncaster Rovers 2.05 1.96
2026-10-31 EFL League One Leicester City Stevenage 1.51 2.97
2026-10-31 EFL League One Peterborough United Luton Town 1.84 2.19
2026-10-31 EFL League One Mansfield Town Notts County 2.28 1.78
2026-10-31 EFL League One Stockport County AFC Wimbledon 1.60 2.67
2026-11-01 EFL League One Sheffield Wednesday Blackpool 1.70 2.42

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Bradford City Huddersfield Town 0.70 1.99 2.01 6.48 1.18
Leyton Orient Cambridge United 0.84 1.77 2.30 4.91 1.26
Plymouth Argyle Reading 0.91 1.68 2.48 4.34 1.30
Barnsley Oxford United 0.98 1.60 2.65 3.91 1.34
Wigan Athletic Bromley 1.45 1.31 4.24 2.36 1.74
Wycombe Wanderers Burton Albion 1.36 1.34 3.90 2.53 1.65
Milton Keynes Dons Doncaster Rovers 0.89 1.69 2.44 4.45 1.29
Leicester City Stevenage 1.12 1.48 3.06 3.24 1.45
Peterborough United Luton Town 1.60 1.25 4.97 2.10 1.91
Mansfield Town Notts County 1.21 1.42 3.36 2.92 1.52
Stockport County AFC Wimbledon 1.79 1.20 6.00 1.87 2.15
Sheffield Wednesday Blackpool 0.81 1.80 2.25 5.14 1.24

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Bradford City Huddersfield Town 16.7 50.0 26.9
Leyton Orient Cambridge United 25.0 15.4 13.5
Plymouth Argyle Reading 23.1 33.3 25.1
Barnsley Oxford United 54.5 18.2 31.1
Wigan Athletic Bromley 25.0 50.0 37.5
Wycombe Wanderers Burton Albion 33.3 15.4 17.6
Milton Keynes Dons Doncaster Rovers 16.7 16.7 9.9
Leicester City Stevenage 50.0 0.0 0.0
Peterborough United Luton Town 41.7 25.0 32.4
Mansfield Town Notts County 0.0 18.2 0.0
Stockport County AFC Wimbledon 38.5 16.7 21.4
Sheffield Wednesday Blackpool 25.0 27.3 22.6

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Bradford City Huddersfield Town 10.35 1.74 2.35
Leyton Orient Cambridge United 13.63 1.17 6.85
Plymouth Argyle Reading 10.27 1.77 2.30
Barnsley Oxford United 13.65 1.17 6.91
Wigan Athletic Bromley 10.55 1.68 2.47
Wycombe Wanderers Burton Albion 10.59 1.67 2.50
Milton Keynes Dons Doncaster Rovers 11.16 1.51 2.95
Leicester City Stevenage 10.62 1.66 2.52
Peterborough United Luton Town 10.27 1.77 2.30
Mansfield Town Notts County 10.46 1.71 2.41
Stockport County AFC Wimbledon 10.00 1.88 2.14
Sheffield Wednesday Blackpool 12.22 1.32 4.13

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Reading 2.43 1.00 1.60 1.20
Luton Town 1.71 1.00 2.40 2.60
Huddersfield Town 2.50 1.00 1.50 0.83
Stockport County 2.33 1.33 1.43 0.71
Mansfield Town 2.00 1.00 1.67 1.83
Sheffield Wednesday 2.17 0.67 1.33 1.50
Oxford United 1.50 0.67 2.00 1.20
Leicester City 1.50 1.67 1.83 1.17
Plymouth Argyle 1.33 1.17 1.86 1.71
Cambridge United 1.71 1.57 1.50 1.17
Wycombe Wanderers 1.67 2.00 1.50 1.83
Blackpool 2.00 1.83 0.80 1.80
Burton Albion 1.71 1.43 1.00 1.50
Stevenage 1.50 1.00 1.20 1.00
Leyton Orient 1.17 1.67 1.50 0.67
Milton Keynes Dons 1.50 1.50 1.17 1.67
Doncaster Rovers 1.00 1.00 1.17 1.67
Barnsley 1.00 2.00 1.00 1.83
Notts County 1.17 1.00 0.80 1.60
Peterborough United 1.00 1.40 0.86 2.00
Bromley 0.67 2.33 1.17 2.67
Bradford City 1.20 0.40 0.57 0.43
Wigan Athletic 0.80 1.60 0.57 1.71
AFC Wimbledon 0.50 0.67 0.83 2.50

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-31 EFL League One Bradford City Huddersfield Town 0 1 17.1
2026-10-31 EFL League One Leyton Orient Cambridge United 1 1 14.1
2026-10-31 EFL League One Plymouth Argyle Reading 1 1 13.3
2026-10-31 EFL League One Barnsley Oxford United 1 0 13.4
2026-10-31 EFL League One Wigan Athletic Bromley 1 1 13.1
2026-10-31 EFL League One Wycombe Wanderers Burton Albion 1 1 12.6
2026-10-31 EFL League One Milton Keynes Dons Doncaster Rovers 1 1 14.3
2026-10-31 EFL League One Leicester City Stevenage 1 1 13.2
2026-10-31 EFL League One Peterborough United Luton Town 1 1 12.4
2026-10-31 EFL League One Mansfield Town Notts County 1 1 13.5
2026-10-31 EFL League One Stockport County AFC Wimbledon 1 1 13.2
2026-11-01 EFL League One Sheffield Wednesday Blackpool 1 1 10.7


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