The tactical elegance and fiery passion of Portuguese football take center stage once again as the Primeira Liga delivers a phenomenal slate of fixtures over the weekend of October 9–11. As the autumn months begin to test the endurance of the top-tier clubs, the battle at the summit of the table is intensifying. The historic Os Três Grandes (The Big Three) are desperately fighting to establish their dominance and build crucial momentum, while ambitious challengers are looking to disrupt the established hierarchy and secure European qualification.
The weekend’s action kicks off with an absolute blockbuster on Friday night, as SC Braga welcomes heavyweights Sporting CP to the Quarry in a match that could have massive title implications. The drama continues into Saturday with a notoriously difficult trip for FC Porto as they head to Madeira to face CS Marítimo. Sunday rounds out the heavy-hitting schedule with SL Benfica hosting a dangerous Vitória SC side at the Estádio da Luz. With other intriguing clashes like Casa Pia AC meeting CD Santa Clara and Moreirense FC battling Gil Vicente FC, this is a can’t-miss weekend of football. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every thrilling Primeira Liga encounter.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Primeira Liga round 8. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Primeira Liga | Moreirense FC | Gil Vicente | A | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-09 | Primeira Liga | Sporting Braga | Sporting CP | H | +0.25 |
| 2026-10-10 | Primeira Liga | Casa Pia | Santa Clara | A | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-10 | Primeira Liga | CS Marítimo | Porto | A | No bet |
| 2026-10-10 | Primeira Liga | Academico Viseu | GD Estoril Praia | A | 0 |
| 2026-10-11 | Primeira Liga | Rio Ave FC | CD Nacional | A | +0.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | Primeira Liga | Benfica | Vitória Guimarães | H | No bet |
| 2026-10-11 | Primeira Liga | FC Arouca | Estrela Amadora | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-12 | Primeira Liga | Famalicão | Alverca | H | 1X2 |
⚽ Get Access to Our Top Football Picks
Powered by AI and betting expertise, our carefully selected tips are available through Tipsterr —where you can see our tracked profit.
Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Moreirense FC | Gil Vicente | 67 | 50 | 2.31 | 1.77 |
| 2026-10-09 | Sporting Braga | Sporting CP | 0 | 67 | 1.45 | 3.21 |
| 2026-10-10 | Casa Pia | Santa Clara | 33 | 67 | 1.96 | 2.04 |
| 2026-10-10 | CS Marítimo | Porto | 33 | 33 | 1.92 | 2.08 |
| 2026-10-10 | Academico Viseu | GD Estoril Praia | 33 | 33 | 1.88 | 2.14 |
| 2026-10-11 | Rio Ave FC | CD Nacional | 33 | 33 | 3.01 | 1.50 |
| 2026-10-11 | Benfica | Vitória Guimarães | 100 | 67 | 2.40 | 1.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | FC Arouca | Estrela Amadora | 67 | 100 | 3.13 | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-12 | Famalicão | Alverca | 67 | 67 | 1.70 | 2.43 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Primeira Liga | Moreirense FC | Gil Vicente | 1.68 | 2.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | Primeira Liga | Sporting Braga | Sporting CP | 1.68 | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | Primeira Liga | Casa Pia | Santa Clara | 1.40 | 3.51 |
| 2026-10-10 | Primeira Liga | CS Marítimo | Porto | 1.32 | 4.12 |
| 2026-10-10 | Primeira Liga | Academico Viseu | GD Estoril Praia | 2.04 | 1.96 |
| 2026-10-11 | Primeira Liga | Rio Ave FC | CD Nacional | 1.74 | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-11 | Primeira Liga | Benfica | Vitória Guimarães | 1.71 | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-11 | Primeira Liga | FC Arouca | Estrela Amadora | 2.97 | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-12 | Primeira Liga | Famalicão | Alverca | 2.18 | 1.85 |
First Half Goals
The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.
| Home Team | Away Team | HT Avg | O 0.5 FH | U 0.5 FH | O 1.5 FH | U 1.5 FH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense FC | Gil Vicente | 1.32 | 1.36 | 3.75 | 2.62 | 1.62 |
| Sporting Braga | Sporting CP | 0.72 | 1.94 | 2.06 | 6.11 | 1.20 |
| Casa Pia | Santa Clara | 1.40 | 1.33 | 4.06 | 2.45 | 1.69 |
| CS Marítimo | Porto | 1.48 | 1.29 | 4.40 | 2.30 | 1.77 |
| Academico Viseu | GD Estoril Praia | 0.77 | 1.86 | 2.16 | 5.52 | 1.22 |
| Rio Ave FC | CD Nacional | 1.93 | 1.17 | 6.92 | 1.74 | 2.36 |
| Benfica | Vitória Guimarães | 1.20 | 1.43 | 3.32 | 2.96 | 1.51 |
| FC Arouca | Estrela Amadora | 1.88 | 1.18 | 6.56 | 1.78 | 2.28 |
| Famalicão | Alverca | 1.03 | 1.55 | 2.81 | 3.62 | 1.38 |
Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)
The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.
| Home Team | Away Team | EG Home (%) | EG Away (%) | Poisson ≥1 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense FC | Gil Vicente | 14.3 | 50.0 | 16.2 |
| Sporting Braga | Sporting CP | 33.3 | 57.1 | 37.6 |
| Casa Pia | Santa Clara | 14.3 | 28.6 | 9.6 |
| CS Marítimo | Porto | 42.9 | 42.9 | 36.6 |
| Academico Viseu | GD Estoril Praia | 71.4 | 14.3 | 22.4 |
| Rio Ave FC | CD Nacional | 71.4 | 42.9 | 53.2 |
| Benfica | Vitória Guimarães | 57.1 | 28.6 | 33.3 |
| FC Arouca | Estrela Amadora | 14.3 | 57.1 | 18.3 |
| Famalicão | Alverca | 42.9 | 42.9 | 36.6 |
Corners Over/Under 9.5
The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.
| Home Team | Away Team | Corner Avg | +9.5 odds | -9.5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense FC | Gil Vicente | 8.99 | 2.43 | 1.70 |
| Sporting Braga | Sporting CP | 7.02 | 5.40 | 1.23 |
| Casa Pia | Santa Clara | 9.16 | 2.31 | 1.76 |
| CS Marítimo | Porto | 9.40 | 2.17 | 1.86 |
| Academico Viseu | GD Estoril Praia | 7.74 | 3.82 | 1.36 |
| Rio Ave FC | CD Nacional | 8.91 | 2.49 | 1.67 |
| Benfica | Vitória Guimarães | 9.08 | 2.37 | 1.73 |
| FC Arouca | Estrela Amadora | 7.32 | 4.64 | 1.27 |
| Famalicão | Alverca | 8.01 | 3.42 | 1.41 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 2.33 | 1.33 | 3.75 | 0.75 |
| Porto | 2.25 | 0.50 | 3.00 | 0.33 |
| Sporting CP | 2.50 | 1.25 | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| Estrela Amadora | 1.50 | 1.75 | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| Santa Clara | 1.75 | 0.50 | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| FC Arouca | 2.33 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Academico Viseu | 0.67 | 1.67 | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Famalicão | 0.67 | 1.00 | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Alverca | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Sporting Braga | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| CS Marítimo | 1.00 | 1.67 | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Moreirense FC | 1.67 | 2.33 | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| CD Nacional | 1.25 | 2.50 | 0.67 | 1.67 |
| Gil Vicente | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Vitória Guimarães | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Rio Ave FC | 1.00 | 3.00 | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Casa Pia | 0.33 | 4.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| GD Estoril Praia | 0.50 | 1.25 | 0.33 | 1.67 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score | Score Prob (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Primeira Liga | Moreirense FC | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 14.7 |
| 2026-10-09 | Primeira Liga | Sporting Braga | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 13.8 |
| 2026-10-10 | Primeira Liga | Casa Pia | Santa Clara | 1 | 1 | 11.2 |
| 2026-10-10 | Primeira Liga | CS Marítimo | Porto | 1 | 1 | 12.4 |
| 2026-10-10 | Primeira Liga | Academico Viseu | GD Estoril Praia | 1 | 1 | 14.8 |
| 2026-10-11 | Primeira Liga | Rio Ave FC | CD Nacional | 1 | 1 | 11.6 |
| 2026-10-11 | Primeira Liga | Benfica | Vitória Guimarães | 1 | 1 | 12.1 |
| 2026-10-11 | Primeira Liga | FC Arouca | Estrela Amadora | 0 | 1 | 19.9 |
| 2026-10-12 | Primeira Liga | Famalicão | Alverca | 1 | 1 | 14.2 |


Leave a Reply
You must be logged in to post a comment.