The bitter chill of autumn sets in, but the title race is only heating up as Norway’s Eliteserien enters a decisive weekend of fixtures from October 9–11. With the 2026 season rapidly approaching its dramatic conclusion, the margin for error has completely vanished. Clubs across the country are launching their final, desperate pushes to claim the championship, secure European qualification, or fight off the looming threat of relegation before the winter break arrives.
Saturday’s compelling slate of matches is headlined by the current heavyweights of Norwegian football, as reigning forces Bodø/Glimt welcome Kristiansund BK to Aspmyra Stadion in a must-win clash for the hosts. Meanwhile, historic giants Rosenborg BK will look to thrill their supporters at Lerkendal Stadion as they take on a resilient Sandefjord side fighting for every available point. With the table tightly packed and tension mounting, this weekend promises high-stakes drama. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every hard-fought encounter across this thrilling Eliteserien round.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Eliteserien round 23. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Eliteserien | Brann | Viking | A | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-10 | Eliteserien | FK Bodo – Glimt | Kristiansund | H | No bet |
| 2026-10-10 | Eliteserien | Rosenborg | Sandefjord | H | No bet |
| 2026-10-11 | Eliteserien | Fredrikstad | Tromsø | A | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eliteserien | Aalesund | Sarpsborg 08 | H | 0 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eliteserien | Start | HamKam | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eliteserien | Lillestrøm | Molde | H | +0.25 |
| 2026-10-12 | Eliteserien | KFUM | Vålerenga | A | -0.25 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Brann | Viking | 82 | 64 | 1.49 | 3.06 |
| 2026-10-10 | FK Bodo – Glimt | Kristiansund | 30 | 55 | 1.58 | 2.72 |
| 2026-10-10 | Rosenborg | Sandefjord | 55 | 70 | 1.56 | 2.80 |
| 2026-10-11 | Fredrikstad | Tromsø | 70 | 60 | 1.51 | 2.97 |
| 2026-10-11 | Aalesund | Sarpsborg 08 | 91 | 55 | 1.65 | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | Start | HamKam | 50 | 55 | 1.60 | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-11 | Lillestrøm | Molde | 60 | 80 | 1.32 | 4.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | KFUM | Vålerenga | 45 | 50 | 1.52 | 2.94 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Eliteserien | Brann | Viking | 1.41 | 3.42 |
| 2026-10-10 | Eliteserien | FK Bodo – Glimt | Kristiansund | 1.12 | 9.45 |
| 2026-10-10 | Eliteserien | Rosenborg | Sandefjord | 1.17 | 6.77 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eliteserien | Fredrikstad | Tromsø | 1.51 | 2.96 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eliteserien | Aalesund | Sarpsborg 08 | 1.36 | 3.76 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eliteserien | Start | HamKam | 1.66 | 2.51 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eliteserien | Lillestrøm | Molde | 1.54 | 2.84 |
| 2026-10-12 | Eliteserien | KFUM | Vålerenga | 1.41 | 3.43 |
First Half Goals
The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.
| Home Team | Away Team | HT Avg | O 0.5 FH | U 0.5 FH | O 1.5 FH | U 1.5 FH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brann | Viking | 1.48 | 1.30 | 4.39 | 2.30 | 1.77 |
| FK Bodo – Glimt | Kristiansund | 1.57 | 1.26 | 4.80 | 2.15 | 1.87 |
| Rosenborg | Sandefjord | 1.71 | 1.22 | 5.54 | 1.96 | 2.04 |
| Fredrikstad | Tromsø | 1.21 | 1.42 | 3.37 | 2.92 | 1.52 |
| Aalesund | Sarpsborg 08 | 1.91 | 1.17 | 6.74 | 1.76 | 2.32 |
| Start | HamKam | 1.47 | 1.30 | 4.37 | 2.31 | 1.77 |
| Lillestrøm | Molde | 2.04 | 1.15 | 7.66 | 1.66 | 2.52 |
| KFUM | Vålerenga | 1.81 | 1.20 | 6.09 | 1.86 | 2.17 |
Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)
The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.
| Home Team | Away Team | EG Home (%) | EG Away (%) | Poisson ≥1 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brann | Viking | 42.9 | 61.9 | 49.6 |
| FK Bodo – Glimt | Kristiansund | 14.3 | 38.1 | 13.1 |
| Rosenborg | Sandefjord | 52.4 | 33.3 | 36.3 |
| Fredrikstad | Tromsø | 33.3 | 33.3 | 25.0 |
| Aalesund | Sarpsborg 08 | 52.4 | 19.0 | 22.7 |
| Start | HamKam | 33.3 | 23.8 | 18.5 |
| Lillestrøm | Molde | 42.9 | 47.6 | 41.0 |
| KFUM | Vålerenga | 47.6 | 42.9 | 41.0 |
Corners Over/Under 9.5
The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.
| Home Team | Away Team | Corner Avg | +9.5 odds | -9.5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brann | Viking | 11.39 | 1.46 | 3.16 |
| FK Bodo – Glimt | Kristiansund | 11.29 | 1.48 | 3.06 |
| Rosenborg | Sandefjord | 11.17 | 1.51 | 2.95 |
| Fredrikstad | Tromsø | 8.91 | 2.49 | 1.67 |
| Aalesund | Sarpsborg 08 | 11.66 | 1.41 | 3.43 |
| Start | HamKam | 9.73 | 1.99 | 2.01 |
| Lillestrøm | Molde | 9.81 | 1.96 | 2.05 |
| KFUM | Vålerenga | 11.30 | 1.48 | 3.07 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking | 3.80 | 1.00 | 1.45 | 0.91 |
| FK Bodo – Glimt | 3.10 | 0.60 | 2.00 | 1.18 |
| Molde | 2.18 | 1.18 | 2.00 | 1.90 |
| Tromsø | 1.91 | 0.82 | 1.90 | 2.00 |
| Brann | 1.82 | 1.45 | 1.90 | 1.60 |
| Rosenborg | 2.45 | 1.18 | 1.20 | 1.70 |
| Vålerenga | 1.82 | 1.73 | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Aalesund | 2.00 | 2.36 | 1.10 | 2.00 |
| HamKam | 1.70 | 1.90 | 1.09 | 2.27 |
| Lillestrøm | 1.70 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.27 |
| Fredrikstad | 1.30 | 1.10 | 1.09 | 1.91 |
| KFUM | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Sarpsborg 08 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.09 | 1.55 |
| Start | 1.20 | 1.50 | 0.91 | 2.64 |
| Kristiansund | 1.30 | 1.40 | 0.73 | 2.36 |
| Sandefjord | 0.91 | 0.91 | 1.10 | 1.70 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score | Score Prob (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Eliteserien | Brann | Viking | 1 | 1 | 9.9 |
| 2026-10-10 | Eliteserien | FK Bodo – Glimt | Kristiansund | 1 | 2 | 9.2 |
| 2026-10-10 | Eliteserien | Rosenborg | Sandefjord | 1 | 1 | 10.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eliteserien | Fredrikstad | Tromsø | 1 | 1 | 14.3 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eliteserien | Aalesund | Sarpsborg 08 | 1 | 1 | 9.6 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eliteserien | Start | HamKam | 1 | 1 | 14.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eliteserien | Lillestrøm | Molde | 1 | 1 | 11.6 |
| 2026-10-12 | Eliteserien | KFUM | Vålerenga | 1 | 1 | 11.6 |


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