English Football

AI Football Tips: Premier League round 5

Matchday 5 in the Premier League marks a pivotal moment for teams as they approach the midpoint of the season. With every game bringing new challenges and opportunities, fans and pundits alike are eagerly anticipating another thrilling round of action in England’s top-tier football competition.
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Premier League round 5.

Date Home Team Away Team Prediction
2024-09-21 West Ham Chelsea 1
2024-09-21 Aston Villa Wolves 1
2024-09-21 Liverpool Bournemouth 1
2024-09-21 Tottenham Brentford 1
2024-09-21 Leicester City Everton 1
2024-09-21 Fulham Newcastle Utd 1
2024-09-21 Southampton Ipswich Town 1
2024-09-21 Crystal Palace Manchester Utd 1
2024-09-22 Brighton Nott’ham Forest 1
2024-09-22 Manchester City Arsenal 1

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2024-09-21 West Ham Chelsea 3.50
2024-09-21 Aston Villa Wolves 2.12
2024-09-21 Liverpool Bournemouth 2.75
2024-09-21 Tottenham Brentford 2.72
2024-09-21 Leicester City Everton 2.60
2024-09-21 Fulham Newcastle Utd 2.80
2024-09-21 Southampton Ipswich Town 2.88
2024-09-21 Crystal Palace Manchester Utd 3.40
2024-09-22 Brighton Nott’ham Forest 2.25
2024-09-22 Manchester City Arsenal 2.55

The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2024-09-21 West Ham Chelsea 4.00 3.00
2024-09-21 Aston Villa Wolves 2.55 1.70
2024-09-21 Liverpool Bournemouth 2.15 3.35
2024-09-21 Tottenham Brentford 2.40 3.05
2024-09-21 Leicester City Everton 2.00 3.20
2024-09-21 Fulham Newcastle Utd 2.35 3.25
2024-09-21 Southampton Ipswich Town 3.00 2.75
2024-09-21 Crystal Palace Manchester Utd 3.20 3.60
2024-09-22 Brighton Nott’ham Forest 2.70 1.80
2024-09-22 Manchester City Arsenal 3.35 1.75

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Manchester City 2.70 0.65 1.90 0.85
Liverpool 1.70 0.45 2.20 0.95
Manchester Utd 1.90 1.10 2.00 1.60
Bournemouth 1.95 1.20 1.80 1.55
Brighton 1.85 0.85 1.55 1.30
Aston Villa 1.65 0.90 1.70 1.35
Brentford 2.20 1.35 0.75 2.30
Chelsea 1.70 0.65 1.20 1.80
Crystal Palace 1.90 1.30 0.85 2.00
Tottenham 1.55 0.85 1.20 1.40
West Ham 1.50 2.50 1.10 1.40
Newcastle Utd 1.05 1.50 1.55 1.70
Arsenal 1.65 1.10 0.80 0.95
Nott’ham Forest 1.15 0.95 1.30 0.50
Fulham 1.65 0.70 0.65 1.40
Southampton 0.60 2.40 1.65 1.55
Wolves 1.55 1.55 0.60 1.10
Everton 1.15 1.90 0.95 2.25
Leicester City 0.70 1.30 0.90 2.15
Ipswich Town 0.45 1.75 0.30 2.45