AI Football Tips: Argentina Primera Division

Matchday 45 in Argentina’s Primera División marks the final round of fixtures in the 2021 season. This edition of the league, which celebrates its 93rd anniversary this year, will determine the champions and the teams to be relegated from the top flight. The intensity is heightened as every point earned could significantly impact a team’s position.
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Argentina Primera Division round 45.

Date Home Team Away Team Prediction
2024-09-20 Gimnasia–LP Deportivo Riestra 1
2024-09-20 Unión Godoy Cruz 1
2024-09-21 Boca Juniors River Plate 2
2024-09-21 Instituto Barracas Central 1
2024-09-21 Newell’s OB Tigre 1
2024-09-22 Defensa y Just San Lorenzo 1
2024-09-22 Independiente Arg Juniors 1
2024-09-22 Huracán Lanús 1
2024-09-22 Talleres Racing Club 1
2024-09-22 Atlé Tucumán Belgrano 1
2024-09-22 Platense Rosario Central 1
2024-09-23 Sarmiento Cen. Córdoba–SdE 1
2024-09-24 Banfield Independiente Rivadavia 1
2024-09-24 Vélez Sarsfield Estudiantes 1

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2024-09-20 Gimnasia–LP Deportivo Riestra 2.28
2024-09-20 Unión Godoy Cruz 2.11
2024-09-21 Boca Juniors River Plate 2.47
2024-09-21 Instituto Barracas Central 2.16
2024-09-21 Newell’s OB Tigre 1.90
2024-09-22 Defensa y Just San Lorenzo 2.10
2024-09-22 Independiente Arg Juniors 1.98
2024-09-22 Huracán Lanús 2.00
2024-09-22 Talleres Racing Club 2.15
2024-09-22 Atlé Tucumán Belgrano 2.30
2024-09-22 Platense Rosario Central 2.19
2024-09-23 Sarmiento Cen. Córdoba–SdE 1.96
2024-09-24 Banfield Independiente Rivadavia 2.27
2024-09-24 Vélez Sarsfield Estudiantes 1.88

The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2024-09-20 Gimnasia–LP Deportivo Riestra 2.35 1.90
2024-09-20 Unión Godoy Cruz 1.85 2.00
2024-09-21 Boca Juniors River Plate 2.40 2.40
2024-09-21 Instituto Barracas Central 1.85 2.45
2024-09-21 Newell’s OB Tigre 1.50 1.90
2024-09-22 Defensa y Just San Lorenzo 2.30 1.30
2024-09-22 Independiente Arg Juniors 1.95 1.90
2024-09-22 Huracán Lanús 1.60 1.90
2024-09-22 Talleres Racing Club 1.60 1.85
2024-09-22 Atlé Tucumán Belgrano 2.15 1.90
2024-09-22 Platense Rosario Central 1.90 2.00
2024-09-23 Sarmiento Cen. Córdoba–SdE 1.75 1.70
2024-09-24 Banfield Independiente Rivadavia 2.00 1.95
2024-09-24 Vélez Sarsfield Estudiantes 1.70 1.65

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
River Plate 1.93 0.76 1.35 1.07
Racing Club 1.44 0.71 1.29 0.95
Vélez Sarsfield 1.32 0.61 1.36 1.15
Boca Juniors 1.55 0.98 1.00 1.17
Instituto 1.20 0.86 1.31 0.91
Talleres 1.27 0.79 1.20 1.13
Atlé Tucumán 1.39 0.87 1.03 1.45
Lanús 1.29 0.90 1.06 1.18
Godoy Cruz 1.25 0.91 1.06 1.00
Estudiantes 1.39 0.70 0.91 0.93
Unión 1.30 0.86 0.96 1.03
Belgrano 1.18 1.01 1.02 1.33
Gimnasia–LP 1.43 1.17 0.76 1.31
Arg Juniors 1.40 0.68 0.67 1.32
Banfield 1.38 1.13 0.78 1.41
Defensa y Just 1.28 1.06 0.83 1.41
Platense 1.22 0.78 0.75 1.09
Independiente 1.11 0.86 0.79 0.90
Huracán 0.86 0.91 1.04 1.17
Newell’s OB 0.97 0.75 0.89 1.19
Rosario Central 0.95 0.65 0.90 1.49
Barracas Central 0.97 1.49 0.87 1.40
San Lorenzo 0.88 0.89 0.93 0.92
Deportivo Riestra 1.19 1.15 0.55 1.40
Tigre 0.89 1.38 0.81 1.28
Cen. Córdoba–SdE 1.05 1.21 0.62 1.54
Independiente Rivadavia 0.94 1.19 0.74 1.29
Sarmiento 0.79 0.97 0.80 1.38