AI Football Tips: Ligue 1 round 17

Get ready for a thrilling round of Ligue 1 action as we delve into the heart of the French top-flight! This season promises an electrifying clash of titans as teams battle it out for supremacy. The excitement builds as we anticipate the showdown between **Reims** and **Nice** on **January 11th**. Will Nice’s attacking prowess be enough to overcome Reims’s home advantage? Stay tuned to find out! As we reach the final curtain call, the clash of titans will conclude with **Paris S-G** hosting **Saint-Étienne** on **January 12th**. With both teams aiming for victory, this match promises an unforgettable finale to a thrilling round. Who will emerge victorious in these captivating encounters? The drama unfolds on the pitch!
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Ligue 1 round 17. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2025-01-10 Ligue 1 Nantes Monaco H +0.5
2025-01-10 Ligue 1 Auxerre Lille A 1X2
2025-01-11 Ligue 1 Brest Lyon A -0.25
2025-01-11 Ligue 1 Reims Nice H 0
2025-01-11 Ligue 1 Rennes Marseille H 0
2025-01-12 Ligue 1 Le Havre Lens A 1X2
2025-01-12 Ligue 1 Montpellier Angers H 1X2
2025-01-12 Ligue 1 Toulouse Strasbourg H 1X2
2025-01-12 Ligue 1 Paris S-G Saint-Étienne H No bet

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team Home +2.5(%) Away +2.5 (%)
2025-01-10 Nantes Monaco 43 71
2025-01-10 Auxerre Lille 75 38
2025-01-11 Brest Lyon 50 62
2025-01-11 Reims Nice 38 50
2025-01-11 Rennes Marseille 50 75
2025-01-12 Le Havre Lens 75 25
2025-01-12 Montpellier Angers 88 0
2025-01-12 Toulouse Strasbourg 38 75
2025-01-12 Paris S-G Saint-Étienne 75 75

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target
2025-01-10 Nantes Monaco 57 57 1.75
2025-01-10 Auxerre Lille 38 38 2.67
2025-01-11 Brest Lyon 50 50 2.00
2025-01-11 Reims Nice 62 62 1.60
2025-01-11 Rennes Marseille 25 62 2.29
2025-01-12 Le Havre Lens 25 50 2.67
2025-01-12 Montpellier Angers 75 38 1.78
2025-01-12 Toulouse Strasbourg 50 75 1.60
2025-01-12 Paris S-G Saint-Étienne 62 38 2.00

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2025-01-10 Nantes Monaco 2.50
2025-01-10 Auxerre Lille 2.44
2025-01-11 Brest Lyon 2.94
2025-01-11 Reims Nice 2.62
2025-01-11 Rennes Marseille 3.18
2025-01-12 Le Havre Lens 2.62
2025-01-12 Montpellier Angers 2.75
2025-01-12 Toulouse Strasbourg 3.12
2025-01-12 Paris S-G Saint-Étienne 3.88

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Paris S-G 3.00 0.75 2.50 1.00
Marseille 1.75 1.50 2.88 0.88
Nice 2.62 1.12 1.25 1.50
Strasbourg 1.75 1.12 1.75 2.38
Lyon 2.00 1.38 1.50 1.12
Lille 1.75 1.25 1.50 0.75
Monaco 1.56 1.11 1.71 0.86
Brest 2.12 1.12 0.88 2.50
Auxerre 1.75 0.88 1.25 2.38
Rennes 2.00 0.62 0.75 2.25
Reims 1.12 1.38 1.50 1.25
Lens 1.00 1.00 1.38 0.88
Toulouse 1.25 0.88 1.00 1.25
Nantes 1.14 1.29 1.11 1.78
Angers 1.38 2.25 0.62 1.00
Saint-Étienne 1.25 1.00 0.62 3.38
Montpellier 1.50 2.38 0.38 2.50
Le Havre 0.62 2.38 0.88 1.88

No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2025-01-10 Nantes Monaco 2.30 2.00
2025-01-10 Auxerre Lille 2.20 2.95
2025-01-11 Brest Lyon 2.55 2.60
2025-01-11 Reims Nice 2.45 3.00
2025-01-11 Rennes Marseille 1.85 2.50
2025-01-12 Le Havre Lens 3.00 2.10
2025-01-12 Montpellier Angers 2.80 1.75
2025-01-12 Toulouse Strasbourg 1.85 3.50
2025-01-12 Paris S-G Saint-Étienne 4.10 2.90