AI Football Tips: Bundesliga round 16

Get ready for a thrilling Round 16 in the Bundesliga! This season is heating up, and the next round promises even more drama as teams battle it out for crucial points. The excitement builds as we look ahead to the final two fixtures of this intense weekend. First, get set for a clash of titans as Augsburg takes on Stuttgart, a match that could swing the momentum in either direction. The underdog will be looking to pull off a surprise upset, while the home team aims for victory to secure their place in the league’s upper echelon. Finally, the action shifts to Leipzig where RB Leipzig hosts Werder Bremen. This fixture has historically been filled with exciting moments and unexpected twists, and this encounter promises to be no different. Will either of these teams emerge victorious?
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Bundesliga round 16. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2025-01-10 Bundesliga Dortmund Leverkusen H 0
2025-01-11 Bundesliga Heidenheim Union Berlin H +0.25
2025-01-11 Bundesliga St. Pauli Eint Frankfurt H +0.5
2025-01-11 Bundesliga Mainz 05 Bochum H 1X2
2025-01-11 Bundesliga Freiburg Holstein Kiel H No bet
2025-01-11 Bundesliga Hoffenheim Wolfsburg H -0.25
2025-01-11 Bundesliga Gladbach Bayern Munich A No bet
2025-01-12 Bundesliga RB Leipzig Werder Bremen H 1X2
2025-01-12 Bundesliga Augsburg Stuttgart A 1X2

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team Home +2.5(%) Away +2.5 (%)
2025-01-10 Dortmund Leverkusen 62 57
2025-01-11 Heidenheim Union Berlin 71 38
2025-01-11 St. Pauli Eint Frankfurt 29 75
2025-01-11 Mainz 05 Bochum 38 50
2025-01-11 Freiburg Holstein Kiel 86 100
2025-01-11 Hoffenheim Wolfsburg 75 71
2025-01-11 Gladbach Bayern Munich 62 75
2025-01-12 RB Leipzig Werder Bremen 57 62
2025-01-12 Augsburg Stuttgart 62 86

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target
2025-01-10 Dortmund Leverkusen 75 86 1.24
2025-01-11 Heidenheim Union Berlin 29 38 3.03
2025-01-11 St. Pauli Eint Frankfurt 14 75 2.24
2025-01-11 Mainz 05 Bochum 62 62 1.60
2025-01-11 Freiburg Holstein Kiel 71 100 1.17
2025-01-11 Hoffenheim Wolfsburg 88 71 1.26
2025-01-11 Gladbach Bayern Munich 75 62 1.45
2025-01-12 RB Leipzig Werder Bremen 43 62 1.90
2025-01-12 Augsburg Stuttgart 62 71 1.49

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2025-01-10 Dortmund Leverkusen 3.40
2025-01-11 Heidenheim Union Berlin 2.62
2025-01-11 St. Pauli Eint Frankfurt 2.60
2025-01-11 Mainz 05 Bochum 3.00
2025-01-11 Freiburg Holstein Kiel 3.64
2025-01-11 Hoffenheim Wolfsburg 4.19
2025-01-11 Gladbach Bayern Munich 3.94
2025-01-12 RB Leipzig Werder Bremen 3.10
2025-01-12 Augsburg Stuttgart 3.09

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Bayern Munich 3.14 0.57 3.12 1.12
Leverkusen 2.75 1.62 2.14 1.14
Eint Frankfurt 2.71 1.57 2.00 1.50
Wolfsburg 1.75 2.25 2.57 1.43
Stuttgart 2.25 1.50 1.57 1.86
Dortmund 2.50 1.00 1.14 2.00
Mainz 05 1.25 1.25 2.57 1.43
Werder Bremen 1.43 1.71 2.00 1.62
Gladbach 2.25 1.38 1.00 1.29
RB Leipzig 1.57 1.00 1.62 1.62
Freiburg 2.00 1.29 0.88 1.88
Hoffenheim 2.00 2.38 0.57 1.29
Holstein Kiel 1.12 2.50 1.43 2.57
Heidenheim 0.86 2.00 1.50 2.38
Augsburg 1.50 1.25 0.71 3.14
Union Berlin 1.14 0.86 0.75 1.62
Bochum 0.86 2.00 0.88 2.62
St. Pauli 0.43 1.29 1.12 1.25

No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2025-01-10 Dortmund Leverkusen 3.00 2.10
2025-01-11 Heidenheim Union Berlin 2.40 1.95
2025-01-11 St. Pauli Eint Frankfurt 2.10 3.30
2025-01-11 Mainz 05 Bochum 2.20 3.50
2025-01-11 Freiburg Holstein Kiel 2.50 2.90
2025-01-11 Hoffenheim Wolfsburg 3.35 3.20
2025-01-11 Gladbach Bayern Munich 3.40 2.80
2025-01-12 RB Leipzig Werder Bremen 2.30 2.55
2025-01-12 Augsburg Stuttgart 1.80 3.40