AI Football Tips: La Liga round 23

Get ready for a thrilling round 23 in La Liga! The intensity is building as we approach another crucial stage of the season, where every point counts. This league has a rich history, known for its passionate fans and unpredictable twists, and this round promises to be no different. The opening fixture sees Mallorca welcoming Osasuna to their home turf. This clash could set the tone for the entire round, with both teams hungry for a win. Will Mallorca’s home advantage hold sway? Will Osasuna’s attacking prowess be enough to overcome the challenge? Closing out this exciting round is an intriguing matchup: Real Sociedad and Espanyol facing off in what promises to be a tense encounter. With two teams looking to make their mark, this final fixture could be one of the most thrilling moments of the round! Get ready for some drama as La Liga continues to deliver its captivating brand of football.
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for La Liga round 23. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2025-02-07 La Liga Rayo Vallecano Valladolid H No bet
2025-02-08 La Liga Celta Vigo Betis H -0.25
2025-02-08 La Liga Athletic Club Girona H 1X2
2025-02-08 La Liga Las Palmas Villarreal A 1X2
2025-02-08 La Liga Real Madrid Atlético Madrid H 1X2
2025-02-09 La Liga Alavés Getafe H -0.25
2025-02-09 La Liga Valencia Leganés H 1X2
2025-02-09 La Liga Real Sociedad Espanyol H 1X2
2025-02-09 La Liga Sevilla Barcelona A 1X2
2025-02-10 La Liga Mallorca Osasuna H 1X2

The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team Home +2.5(%) Away +2.5 (%) Target odds +2.5
2025-02-07 Rayo Vallecano Valladolid 70 82 1.32
2025-02-08 Celta Vigo Betis 55 27 2.44
2025-02-08 Athletic Club Girona 27 36 3.14
2025-02-08 Las Palmas Villarreal 45 55 2.00
2025-02-08 Real Madrid Atlético Madrid 70 30 2.00
2025-02-09 Alavés Getafe 30 30 3.33
2025-02-09 Valencia Leganés 55 18 2.75
2025-02-09 Real Sociedad Espanyol 36 40 2.62
2025-02-09 Sevilla Barcelona 18 83 1.97
2025-02-10 Mallorca Osasuna 36 30 3.01

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target
2025-02-07 Rayo Vallecano Valladolid 90 55 1.38
2025-02-08 Celta Vigo Betis 64 45 1.83
2025-02-08 Athletic Club Girona 55 45 2.00
2025-02-08 Las Palmas Villarreal 73 73 1.37
2025-02-08 Real Madrid Atlético Madrid 40 40 2.50
2025-02-09 Alavés Getafe 50 40 2.22
2025-02-09 Valencia Leganés 64 64 1.57
2025-02-09 Real Sociedad Espanyol 27 50 2.59
2025-02-09 Sevilla Barcelona 45 75 1.66
2025-02-10 Mallorca Osasuna 45 40 2.34

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg. +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2025-02-07 Rayo Vallecano Valladolid 3.37 1.53 2.89
2025-02-08 Celta Vigo Betis 2.37 2.37 1.73
2025-02-08 Athletic Club Girona 2.13 2.79 1.56
2025-02-08 Las Palmas Villarreal 2.78 1.90 2.11
2025-02-08 Real Madrid Atlético Madrid 2.95 1.77 2.30
2025-02-09 Alavés Getafe 2.00 3.09 1.48
2025-02-09 Valencia Leganés 2.46 2.24 1.80
2025-02-09 Real Sociedad Espanyol 2.25 2.56 1.64
2025-02-09 Sevilla Barcelona 2.87 1.83 2.21
2025-02-10 Mallorca Osasuna 2.00 3.09 1.48

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Barcelona 2.80 0.90 2.67 1.25
Real Madrid 2.80 1.00 1.83 0.92
Villarreal 2.45 1.64 1.55 1.36
Atlético Madrid 1.92 0.58 1.40 0.70
Athletic Club 1.45 0.64 1.55 1.18
Celta Vigo 1.64 1.00 1.18 2.18
Girona 1.91 1.45 0.91 1.27
Osasuna 1.75 1.33 0.60 1.50
Las Palmas 1.27 1.36 1.18 1.91
Rayo Vallecano 1.60 1.50 0.83 0.75
Alavés 1.00 1.10 1.25 1.92
Betis 1.45 1.27 0.82 1.27
Sevilla 0.91 0.91 1.27 1.82
Valencia 1.45 1.27 0.55 2.09
Espanyol 1.33 1.08 0.50 2.00
Mallorca 0.82 1.09 0.91 1.45
Leganés 0.82 1.45 0.91 1.27
Real Sociedad 0.91 1.09 0.73 0.64
Getafe 0.75 0.50 0.80 1.10
Valladolid 0.64 1.36 0.73 2.91

No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2025-02-07 Rayo Vallecano Valladolid 2.5 2.60
2025-02-08 Celta Vigo Betis 2.1 2.20
2025-02-08 Athletic Club Girona 2.2 1.90
2025-02-08 Las Palmas Villarreal 2.8 2.60
2025-02-08 Real Madrid Atlético Madrid 3.0 1.55
2025-02-09 Alavés Getafe 1.7 2.30
2025-02-09 Valencia Leganés 2.2 2.30
2025-02-09 Real Sociedad Espanyol 2.1 2.20
2025-02-09 Sevilla Barcelona 1.9 3.50
2025-02-10 Mallorca Osasuna 1.5 1.75