The thrilling attacking football of the Netherlands returns to the spotlight as the Eredivisie gears up for a blockbuster weekend of fixtures from October 9–11. As the autumn calendar takes hold, the race for the Dutch championship is rapidly intensifying. The league’s traditional giants are fighting desperately to assert their dominance and secure vital European qualification spots, while ambitious challengers look to disrupt the traditional hierarchy in one of Europe’s most entertaining top flights.
The weekend begins with a Friday night showcase in Eindhoven, where heavyweights PSV Eindhoven take on SC Heerenveen under the lights. However, Saturday holds the undisputed match of the round as Feyenoord squares off against AZ Alkmaar at De Kuip in a colossal clash that could reshape the top of the table. The heavy-hitting Saturday schedule also features Ajax looking to secure crucial points against NEC Nijmegen at the Johan Cruyff Arena, alongside an intriguing battle between Fortuna Sittard and FC Twente. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every unpredictable encounter across this gripping Eredivisie matchday.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Eredivisie round 8. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Eredivisie | PSV | Heerenveen | H | No bet |
| 2026-10-10 | Eredivisie | Go Ahead Eagles | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-10 | Eredivisie | Feyenoord | AZ | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-10 | Eredivisie | Fortuna Sittard | Twente | A | No bet |
| 2026-10-10 | Eredivisie | Ajax | NEC | H | No bet |
| 2026-10-11 | Eredivisie | Utrecht | Willem II | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eredivisie | Telstar | ADO Den Haag | A | +0.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle | Cambuur | A | +0.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eredivisie | Excelsior | Groningen | H | 0 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | PSV | Heerenveen | 100 | 67 | 1.45 | 3.21 |
| 2026-10-10 | Go Ahead Eagles | Sparta Rotterdam | 100 | 100 | 1.56 | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-10 | Feyenoord | AZ | 67 | 67 | 1.23 | 5.27 |
| 2026-10-10 | Fortuna Sittard | Twente | 67 | 67 | 1.31 | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | Ajax | NEC | 100 | 67 | 1.35 | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-11 | Utrecht | Willem II | 100 | 100 | 1.55 | 2.83 |
| 2026-10-11 | Telstar | ADO Den Haag | 67 | 50 | 1.32 | 4.17 |
| 2026-10-11 | PEC Zwolle | Cambuur | 33 | 100 | 1.26 | 4.84 |
| 2026-10-11 | Excelsior | Groningen | 100 | 100 | 1.44 | 3.29 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Eredivisie | PSV | Heerenveen | 1.79 | 2.27 |
| 2026-10-10 | Eredivisie | Go Ahead Eagles | Sparta Rotterdam | 2.04 | 1.96 |
| 2026-10-10 | Eredivisie | Feyenoord | AZ | 1.20 | 5.89 |
| 2026-10-10 | Eredivisie | Fortuna Sittard | Twente | 1.14 | 8.15 |
| 2026-10-10 | Eredivisie | Ajax | NEC | 1.63 | 2.59 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eredivisie | Utrecht | Willem II | 1.50 | 2.98 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eredivisie | Telstar | ADO Den Haag | 1.26 | 4.89 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle | Cambuur | 1.15 | 7.54 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eredivisie | Excelsior | Groningen | 1.25 | 4.96 |
First Half Goals
The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.
| Home Team | Away Team | HT Avg | O 0.5 FH | U 0.5 FH | O 1.5 FH | U 1.5 FH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV | Heerenveen | 1.94 | 1.17 | 6.95 | 1.73 | 2.37 |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Sparta Rotterdam | 1.64 | 1.24 | 5.18 | 2.04 | 1.96 |
| Feyenoord | AZ | 1.97 | 1.16 | 7.15 | 1.71 | 2.41 |
| Fortuna Sittard | Twente | 1.69 | 1.23 | 5.44 | 1.98 | 2.02 |
| Ajax | NEC | 2.20 | 1.12 | 9.01 | 1.55 | 2.82 |
| Utrecht | Willem II | 1.41 | 1.32 | 4.09 | 2.43 | 1.70 |
| Telstar | ADO Den Haag | 0.90 | 1.68 | 2.47 | 4.37 | 1.30 |
| PEC Zwolle | Cambuur | 1.59 | 1.26 | 4.92 | 2.12 | 1.90 |
| Excelsior | Groningen | 1.56 | 1.27 | 4.77 | 2.16 | 1.86 |
Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)
The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.
| Home Team | Away Team | EG Home (%) | EG Away (%) | Poisson ≥1 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV | Heerenveen | 85.7 | 28.6 | 48.9 |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Sparta Rotterdam | 42.9 | 28.6 | 28.5 |
| Feyenoord | AZ | 28.6 | 28.6 | 20.0 |
| Fortuna Sittard | Twente | 28.6 | 28.6 | 20.0 |
| Ajax | NEC | 28.6 | 57.1 | 36.1 |
| Utrecht | Willem II | 42.9 | 28.6 | 28.5 |
| Telstar | ADO Den Haag | 28.6 | 28.6 | 20.0 |
| PEC Zwolle | Cambuur | 14.3 | 14.3 | 5.4 |
| Excelsior | Groningen | 42.9 | 71.4 | 56.8 |
Corners Over/Under 9.5
The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.
| Home Team | Away Team | Corner Avg | +9.5 odds | -9.5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV | Heerenveen | 11.50 | 1.44 | 3.27 |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Sparta Rotterdam | 10.28 | 1.77 | 2.30 |
| Feyenoord | AZ | 10.43 | 1.72 | 2.39 |
| Fortuna Sittard | Twente | 12.34 | 1.30 | 4.29 |
| Ajax | NEC | 8.79 | 2.59 | 1.63 |
| Utrecht | Willem II | 11.56 | 1.43 | 3.34 |
| Telstar | ADO Den Haag | 10.94 | 1.57 | 2.76 |
| PEC Zwolle | Cambuur | 11.34 | 1.47 | 3.11 |
| Excelsior | Groningen | 9.38 | 2.18 | 1.85 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord | 3.00 | 1.33 | 4.00 | 0.75 |
| PSV | 3.67 | 1.33 | 3.25 | 1.50 |
| Ajax | 2.50 | 2.00 | 3.67 | 0.33 |
| AZ | 2.25 | 0.75 | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Go Ahead Eagles | 2.67 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.75 |
| Twente | 2.25 | 0.75 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Excelsior | 1.33 | 1.67 | 2.75 | 1.00 |
| Groningen | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.33 | 2.67 | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| NEC | 1.25 | 2.00 | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| Heerenveen | 0.75 | 1.25 | 2.67 | 1.33 |
| Utrecht | 1.67 | 4.33 | 1.50 | 2.75 |
| Cambuur | 1.50 | 3.25 | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.25 | 2.50 | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| ADO Den Haag | 1.33 | 2.67 | 0.75 | 2.25 |
| PEC Zwolle | 0.33 | 4.00 | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Willem II | 0.75 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 3.33 |
| Telstar | 1.00 | 3.00 | 0.50 | 0.75 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score | Score Prob (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Eredivisie | PSV | Heerenveen | 1 | 1 | 14.4 |
| 2026-10-10 | Eredivisie | Go Ahead Eagles | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 1 | 12.3 |
| 2026-10-10 | Eredivisie | Feyenoord | AZ | 1 | 1 | 8.5 |
| 2026-10-10 | Eredivisie | Fortuna Sittard | Twente | 1 | 2 | 8.1 |
| 2026-10-10 | Eredivisie | Ajax | NEC | 1 | 1 | 12.3 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eredivisie | Utrecht | Willem II | 1 | 1 | 10.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eredivisie | Telstar | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 2 | 8.6 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle | Cambuur | 1 | 3 | 7.3 |
| 2026-10-11 | Eredivisie | Excelsior | Groningen | 1 | 2 | 9.3 |


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