AI Football Tips: Allsvenskan round 23

The race for the Lennart Johansson Trophy reaches a fever pitch as Sweden’s top flight, the Allsvenskan, heads into a highly anticipated weekend of fixtures from October 9–11. With the chilling autumn winds sweeping across the stadiums and the 2026 season rapidly approaching its conclusion, the tension is palpable. The battle for the championship, European qualification spots, and survival from the dreaded drop is intensifying, meaning every single point won or lost could define a club’s entire campaign.

Saturday’s action-packed slate promises tremendous drama, highlighted by a massive capital clash as heavyweights AIK welcome IF Brommapojkarna to the Friends Arena in a vital test of local pride. The compelling schedule continues as the historic GAIS looks to defend home turf against a resolute IK Sirius side, while Mjällby AIF squares off against Degerfors IF in an unpredictable early evening battle at Strandvallen. With the margins razor-thin in these final rounds, expect fierce, uncompromising football. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every crucial encounter across this gripping Allsvenskan weekend.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Allsvenskan round 23. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2026-10-09 Allsvenskan IFK Göteborg Västerås SK H 1X2
2026-10-10 Allsvenskan AIK Brommapojkarna H 1X2
2026-10-10 Allsvenskan GAIS Sirius H 0
2026-10-10 Allsvenskan Mjällby Degerfors H 1X2
2026-10-11 Allsvenskan Hammarby Djurgården H 1X2
2026-10-11 Allsvenskan Häcken Örgryte H No bet
2026-10-12 Allsvenskan Elfsborg Halmstad H No bet
2026-10-12 Allsvenskan Malmö FF Kalmar H 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-09 IFK Göteborg Västerås SK 64 55 1.70 2.44
2026-10-10 AIK Brommapojkarna 50 73 1.61 2.63
2026-10-10 GAIS Sirius 18 64 2.24 1.81
2026-10-10 Mjällby Degerfors 27 36 2.30 1.77
2026-10-11 Hammarby Djurgården 45 30 1.78 2.28
2026-10-11 Häcken Örgryte 82 27 1.86 2.16
2026-10-12 Elfsborg Halmstad 55 55 2.06 1.95
2026-10-12 Malmö FF Kalmar 73 36 2.45 1.69

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-09 Allsvenskan IFK Göteborg Västerås SK 1.97 2.03
2026-10-10 Allsvenskan AIK Brommapojkarna 2.05 1.95
2026-10-10 Allsvenskan GAIS Sirius 1.69 2.44
2026-10-10 Allsvenskan Mjällby Degerfors 2.18 1.85
2026-10-11 Allsvenskan Hammarby Djurgården 1.42 3.36
2026-10-11 Allsvenskan Häcken Örgryte 1.84 2.20
2026-10-12 Allsvenskan Elfsborg Halmstad 1.88 2.14
2026-10-12 Allsvenskan Malmö FF Kalmar 2.21 1.83

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
IFK Göteborg Västerås SK 1.27 1.39 3.56 2.76 1.57
AIK Brommapojkarna 2.38 1.10 10.83 1.45 3.20
GAIS Sirius 0.86 1.73 2.37 4.66 1.27
Mjällby Degerfors 0.76 1.89 2.13 5.71 1.21
Hammarby Djurgården 1.37 1.34 3.93 2.52 1.66
Häcken Örgryte 1.32 1.36 3.75 2.63 1.61
Elfsborg Halmstad 0.89 1.69 2.44 4.45 1.29
Malmö FF Kalmar 1.16 1.46 3.18 3.11 1.47

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
IFK Göteborg Västerås SK 22.7 50.0 26.8
AIK Brommapojkarna 31.8 27.3 21.2
GAIS Sirius 22.7 50.0 26.8
Mjällby Degerfors 40.9 31.8 30.1
Hammarby Djurgården 50.0 40.9 43.0
Häcken Örgryte 36.4 36.4 30.5
Elfsborg Halmstad 27.3 18.2 12.7
Malmö FF Kalmar 45.5 50.0 46.5

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
IFK Göteborg Västerås SK 11.70 1.40 3.48
AIK Brommapojkarna 10.40 1.73 2.38
GAIS Sirius 10.88 1.58 2.72
Mjällby Degerfors 9.20 2.29 1.78
Hammarby Djurgården 9.46 2.13 1.88
Häcken Örgryte 10.69 1.64 2.57
Elfsborg Halmstad 12.03 1.35 3.88
Malmö FF Kalmar 9.59 2.07 1.94

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Sirius 2.27 1.36 2.45 1.18
Hammarby 3.09 0.55 1.36 1.27
Djurgården 2.50 1.17 1.70 0.70
Häcken 1.64 1.64 1.91 1.09
Malmö FF 2.18 1.82 1.18 1.18
Västerås SK 1.55 1.18 1.55 2.00
AIK 1.20 1.90 1.58 1.25
Elfsborg 1.55 0.82 1.27 1.18
IFK Göteborg 1.36 1.18 1.45 2.55
Brommapojkarna 1.36 1.18 1.36 2.09
GAIS 1.45 0.36 1.09 1.45
Mjällby 1.00 1.64 1.45 1.82
Örgryte 1.55 1.82 0.73 2.64
Kalmar 1.27 1.55 0.64 1.73
Degerfors 1.00 1.36 0.73 1.73
Halmstad 0.82 1.64 0.64 2.00

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-09 Allsvenskan IFK Göteborg Västerås SK 1 1 13.1
2026-10-10 Allsvenskan AIK Brommapojkarna 1 1 14.2
2026-10-10 Allsvenskan GAIS Sirius 1 1 13.5
2026-10-10 Allsvenskan Mjällby Degerfors 1 1 13.9
2026-10-11 Allsvenskan Hammarby Djurgården 1 1 9.3
2026-10-11 Allsvenskan Häcken Örgryte 1 1 14.5
2026-10-12 Allsvenskan Elfsborg Halmstad 1 1 14.2
2026-10-12 Allsvenskan Malmö FF Kalmar 1 1 12.9


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