AI Football Tips: Eredivisie round 11

The Dutch Eredivisie prepares for an exhilarating round of upcoming league fixtures across October 31 and November 1, right after midweek KNVB Beker cup action. As the autumn campaign gathers momentum in the Netherlands, the battle at the top of the standings and the race for European places are heating up rapidly. Expansive attacking play, high pressing, and dynamic wing transitions promise thrilling action across the country.

Saturday evening’s marquee clash takes center stage at the Johan Cruyff Arena, where AFC Ajax locks horns with northern rivals AZ Alkmaar in a blockbuster Noord-Holland showdown. Title contenders will look to capitalize across Saturday’s slate as PSV Eindhoven hosts Willem II at the Philips Stadion, Feyenoord welcomes Fortuna Sittard to De Kuip, and SC Heerenveen battles NEC Nijmegen. Sunday’s schedule delivers further intrigue as FC Twente visits Excelsior, FC Utrecht travels to face Telstar, and FC Groningen meets Sparta Rotterdam. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every upcoming Eredivisie match.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Eredivisie round 11. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team P(H) P(D) P(A) Prediction Asian
2026-10-31 Eredivisie Feyenoord Fortuna Sittard 0.9399 0.0567 0.0034 H No bet
2026-10-31 Eredivisie Heerenveen NEC 0.4194 0.3265 0.2542 H 1X2
2026-10-31 Eredivisie PSV Willem II 0.9530 0.0449 0.0021 H No bet
2026-10-31 Eredivisie Ajax AZ 0.6688 0.2429 0.0883 H 1X2
2026-10-31 Eredivisie Cambuur Go Ahead Eagles 0.5007 0.3088 0.1905 H 0
2026-11-01 Eredivisie PEC Zwolle ADO Den Haag 0.5038 0.3080 0.1882 H -0.25
2026-11-01 Eredivisie Excelsior Twente 0.1149 0.2666 0.6185 A 1X2
2026-11-01 Eredivisie Telstar Utrecht 0.5016 0.3086 0.1898 H 0
2026-11-01 Eredivisie Groningen Sparta Rotterdam 0.6245 0.2640 0.1116 H 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-31 Feyenoord Fortuna Sittard 50 80 1.78 2.29
2026-10-31 Heerenveen NEC 20 75 1.53 2.90
2026-10-31 PSV Willem II 80 100 1.52 2.91
2026-10-31 Ajax AZ 100 60 1.34 3.98
2026-10-31 Cambuur Go Ahead Eagles 60 100 1.21 5.70
2026-11-01 PEC Zwolle ADO Den Haag 40 60 1.28 4.61
2026-11-01 Excelsior Twente 100 60 1.45 3.23
2026-11-01 Telstar Utrecht 80 80 1.21 5.78
2026-11-01 Groningen Sparta Rotterdam 80 100 1.30 4.33

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-31 Eredivisie Feyenoord Fortuna Sittard 1.95 2.05
2026-10-31 Eredivisie Heerenveen NEC 1.61 2.63
2026-10-31 Eredivisie PSV Willem II 6.45 1.18
2026-10-31 Eredivisie Ajax AZ 1.43 3.33
2026-10-31 Eredivisie Cambuur Go Ahead Eagles 2.09 1.92
2026-11-01 Eredivisie PEC Zwolle ADO Den Haag 1.21 5.87
2026-11-01 Eredivisie Excelsior Twente 1.15 7.52
2026-11-01 Eredivisie Telstar Utrecht 1.45 3.20
2026-11-01 Eredivisie Groningen Sparta Rotterdam 2.12 1.89

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Feyenoord Fortuna Sittard 1.53 1.28 4.60 2.22 1.82
Heerenveen NEC 1.41 1.32 4.09 2.43 1.70
PSV Willem II 1.69 1.23 5.41 1.99 2.01
Ajax AZ 2.27 1.12 9.64 1.51 2.95
Cambuur Go Ahead Eagles 2.10 1.14 8.14 1.61 2.63
PEC Zwolle ADO Den Haag 1.36 1.34 3.90 2.53 1.65
Excelsior Twente 1.59 1.26 4.90 2.12 1.89
Telstar Utrecht 2.15 1.13 8.61 1.58 2.73
Groningen Sparta Rotterdam 1.99 1.16 7.29 1.69 2.44

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Feyenoord Fortuna Sittard 40.0 30.0 27.2
Heerenveen NEC 30.0 60.0 37.9
PSV Willem II 60.0 30.0 37.9
Ajax AZ 30.0 40.0 27.2
Cambuur Go Ahead Eagles 30.0 40.0 27.2
PEC Zwolle ADO Den Haag 10.0 30.0 7.6
Excelsior Twente 50.0 30.0 32.8
Telstar Utrecht 50.0 30.0 32.8
Groningen Sparta Rotterdam 70.0 20.0 31.0

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Feyenoord Fortuna Sittard 10.13 1.82 2.22
Heerenveen NEC 9.19 2.30 1.77
PSV Willem II 10.95 1.56 2.77
Ajax AZ 9.55 2.09 1.92
Cambuur Go Ahead Eagles 10.92 1.57 2.75
PEC Zwolle ADO Den Haag 10.84 1.59 2.69
Excelsior Twente 10.00 1.88 2.14
Telstar Utrecht 9.29 2.23 1.81
Groningen Sparta Rotterdam 12.07 1.34 3.92

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Feyenoord 2.75 1.00 3.50 1.17
Ajax 2.20 1.80 3.60 0.80
PSV 2.80 1.00 2.80 1.60
Groningen 2.20 2.20 2.60 2.00
Go Ahead Eagles 2.80 1.60 1.80 3.00
AZ 1.80 1.00 2.20 1.40
Twente 2.00 1.00 1.80 1.00
Cambuur 1.60 3.00 2.20 1.40
Heerenveen 1.40 1.00 2.20 1.60
Fortuna Sittard 1.20 1.80 2.20 1.60
NEC 1.50 2.00 2.00 1.50
Utrecht 1.80 3.00 1.60 2.40
Sparta Rotterdam 1.50 2.33 2.00 2.50
Excelsior 1.25 2.50 1.83 1.50
ADO Den Haag 1.60 2.40 1.00 2.20
Telstar 1.60 3.00 0.80 1.20
PEC Zwolle 1.00 2.80 1.20 1.80
Willem II 0.80 3.20 1.20 3.20

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-31 Eredivisie Feyenoord Fortuna Sittard 1 1 12.6
2026-10-31 Eredivisie Heerenveen NEC 1 2 9.6
2026-10-31 Eredivisie PSV Willem II 0 1 24.0
2026-10-31 Eredivisie Ajax AZ 1 1 8.5
2026-10-31 Eredivisie Cambuur Go Ahead Eagles 1 1 11.4
2026-11-01 Eredivisie PEC Zwolle ADO Den Haag 1 2 7.4
2026-11-01 Eredivisie Excelsior Twente 1 2 7.5
2026-11-01 Eredivisie Telstar Utrecht 1 1 10.5
2026-11-01 Eredivisie Groningen Sparta Rotterdam 1 1 13.8


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