AI Football Tips: Allsvenskan round 26

The Swedish Allsvenskan charges straight into a decisive midweek slate with Round 28 taking place from Tuesday, October 27 to Thursday, October 29. With just three rounds remaining in the 2026 season, the race for the championship crown, European qualification, and survival at the bottom of the table has reached boiling point. Under the autumn floodlights, every single point carries season-defining consequences.

The midweek action ignites on Tuesday evening at Strawberry Arena where AIK locks horns with IF Elfsborg in a high-stakes showdown. Wednesday night delivers four pivotal clashes, headlined by classic rivals IFK Göteborg hosting Djurgårdens IF at Gamla Ullevi and title contenders Malmö FF traveling to face Halmstads BK, alongside IF Brommapojkarna meeting BK Häcken and Degerfors IF battling Västerås SK. The round wraps up on Thursday evening as Hammarby IF welcomes IK Sirius, Kalmar FF takes on GAIS, and Örgryte IS faces Mjällby AIF. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every upcoming midweek match in the Allsvenskan.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Allsvenskan round 26. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team P(H) P(D) P(A) Prediction Asian
2026-10-27 Allsvenskan AIK Elfsborg 0.3130 0.3329 0.3541 A -0.25
2026-10-28 Allsvenskan Brommapojkarna Häcken 0.2428 0.3242 0.4330 A 1X2
2026-10-28 Allsvenskan Degerfors Västerås SK 0.3391 0.3333 0.3276 H -0.25
2026-10-28 Allsvenskan IFK Göteborg Djurgården 0.4713 0.3163 0.2123 H +0.25
2026-10-28 Allsvenskan Halmstad Malmö FF 0.1618 0.2961 0.5421 A 1X2
2026-10-29 Allsvenskan Hammarby Sirius 0.7933 0.1702 0.0365 H 1X2
2026-10-29 Allsvenskan Kalmar GAIS 0.3639 0.3324 0.3037 H -0.25
2026-10-29 Allsvenskan Örgryte Mjällby 0.2772 0.3300 0.3928 A 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-27 AIK Elfsborg 58 75 1.47 3.14
2026-10-28 Brommapojkarna Häcken 67 33 2.59 1.63
2026-10-28 Degerfors Västerås SK 42 50 2.44 1.69
2026-10-28 IFK Göteborg Djurgården 58 25 1.97 2.04
2026-10-28 Halmstad Malmö FF 42 42 2.81 1.55
2026-10-29 Hammarby Sirius 42 58 2.41 1.71
2026-10-29 Kalmar GAIS 42 50 2.58 1.63
2026-10-29 Örgryte Mjällby 92 67 1.57 2.75

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-27 Allsvenskan AIK Elfsborg 1.97 2.03
2026-10-28 Allsvenskan Brommapojkarna Häcken 2.37 1.73
2026-10-28 Allsvenskan Degerfors Västerås SK 2.59 1.63
2026-10-28 Allsvenskan IFK Göteborg Djurgården 3.33 1.43
2026-10-28 Allsvenskan Halmstad Malmö FF 3.95 1.34
2026-10-29 Allsvenskan Hammarby Sirius 1.94 2.06
2026-10-29 Allsvenskan Kalmar GAIS 2.74 1.57
2026-10-29 Allsvenskan Örgryte Mjällby 1.76 2.31

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
AIK Elfsborg 1.63 1.24 5.12 2.06 1.95
Brommapojkarna Häcken 0.86 1.73 2.37 4.66 1.27
Degerfors Västerås SK 1.67 1.23 5.30 2.01 1.99
IFK Göteborg Djurgården 0.88 1.71 2.41 4.55 1.28
Halmstad Malmö FF 0.71 1.98 2.02 6.35 1.19
Hammarby Sirius 1.52 1.28 4.59 2.22 1.82
Kalmar GAIS 1.44 1.31 4.23 2.36 1.73
Örgryte Mjällby 1.89 1.18 6.61 1.78 2.29

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
AIK Elfsborg 28.0 28.0 19.8
Brommapojkarna Häcken 28.0 40.0 27.1
Degerfors Västerås SK 36.0 48.0 38.5
IFK Göteborg Djurgården 24.0 44.0 25.7
Halmstad Malmö FF 20.0 40.0 20.2
Hammarby Sirius 44.0 44.0 42.0
Kalmar GAIS 48.0 20.0 23.7
Örgryte Mjällby 40.0 36.0 33.3

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
AIK Elfsborg 9.64 2.04 1.96
Brommapojkarna Häcken 10.83 1.59 2.68
Degerfors Västerås SK 9.47 2.13 1.89
IFK Göteborg Djurgården 10.76 1.62 2.62
Halmstad Malmö FF 10.58 1.67 2.50
Hammarby Sirius 10.46 1.70 2.42
Kalmar GAIS 8.78 2.59 1.63
Örgryte Mjällby 9.98 1.89 2.13

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Sirius 2.15 1.46 2.33 1.08
Djurgården 2.46 1.23 1.67 0.58
Hammarby 2.83 0.58 1.38 1.08
Häcken 1.92 1.38 1.83 1.00
AIK 1.58 2.25 1.62 1.23
Brommapojkarna 1.25 1.25 1.85 2.15
Malmö FF 1.92 1.62 1.08 1.08
Elfsborg 1.62 0.69 1.33 1.25
Västerås SK 1.46 1.15 1.42 1.92
IFK Göteborg 1.33 1.08 1.46 2.38
GAIS 1.31 0.46 1.17 1.67
Örgryte 1.75 1.83 0.77 2.62
Mjällby 0.92 1.62 1.33 1.75
Kalmar 1.17 1.67 0.69 1.62
Degerfors 1.00 1.42 0.69 1.85
Halmstad 0.75 1.58 0.69 2.08

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-27 Allsvenskan AIK Elfsborg 1 1 10.4
2026-10-28 Allsvenskan Brommapojkarna Häcken 1 1 12.8
2026-10-28 Allsvenskan Degerfors Västerås SK 1 1 13.7
2026-10-28 Allsvenskan IFK Göteborg Djurgården 1 1 12.8
2026-10-28 Allsvenskan Halmstad Malmö FF 1 1 14.3
2026-10-29 Allsvenskan Hammarby Sirius 0 1 14.4
2026-10-29 Allsvenskan Kalmar GAIS 1 1 13.4
2026-10-29 Allsvenskan Örgryte Mjällby 1 1 11.0


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