English Football

AI Football Tips: EFL Championship round 8

The English second tier braces for an explosive weekend of football as the EFL Championship delivers a slate of highly anticipated matchups from September 18–20. With the early-season standings beginning to take shape, every point is crucial for clubs chasing Premier League promotion dreams, fighting for playoff positions, or scrambling to avoid a dreaded relegation battle in one of Europe’s most competitive leagues.

The action kicks off under the Friday night lights with Bristol City hosting Watford, setting the stage for a spectacular Saturday headlined by a fierce London derby between Millwall and West Ham United. The Saturday slate also features compelling clashes like Stoke City against Sheffield United and the rising Wrexham welcoming Southampton. Sunday brings even more drama with the iconic Black Country Derby between Wolverhampton Wanderers and West Bromwich Albion, alongside Norwich City taking on Bolton Wanderers. Dive into our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and comprehensive data analytics for every encounter across this unmissable Championship weekend.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for EFL Championship round 8. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2026-09-18 EFL Championship Bristol City Watford H 1X2
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Cardiff City Charlton Athletic H 1X2
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Millwall West Ham United H +0.5
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Stoke City Sheffield United H -0.25
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Birmingham City Middlesbrough H 0
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Portsmouth Blackburn Rovers H 1X2
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Burnley Derby County H 1X2
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Lincoln City Swansea City H 0
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Queens Park Rangers Preston North End H 1X2
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Wrexham Southampton H 0
2026-09-20 EFL Championship Wolverhampton Wanderers West Bromwich Albion H 1X2
2026-09-20 EFL Championship Norwich City Bolton Wanderers H 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-09-18 Bristol City Watford 33 33 3.09 1.48
2026-09-19 Cardiff City Charlton Athletic 100 67 1.43 3.32
2026-09-19 Millwall West Ham United 0 100 1.63 2.59
2026-09-19 Stoke City Sheffield United 33 67 3.54 1.39
2026-09-19 Birmingham City Middlesbrough 100 67 2.12 1.89
2026-09-19 Portsmouth Blackburn Rovers 33 67 2.78 1.56
2026-09-19 Burnley Derby County 100 33 1.47 3.12
2026-09-19 Lincoln City Swansea City 67 67 2.11 1.90
2026-09-19 Queens Park Rangers Preston North End 33 67 2.76 1.57
2026-09-19 Wrexham Southampton 100 100 1.92 2.08
2026-09-20 Wolverhampton Wanderers West Bromwich Albion 100 67 1.90 2.12
2026-09-20 Norwich City Bolton Wanderers 100 33 1.81 2.23

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-09-18 EFL Championship Bristol City Watford 61.29 1.02
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Cardiff City Charlton Athletic 1.61 2.63
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Millwall West Ham United 1.61 2.63
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Stoke City Sheffield United 16.40 1.06
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Birmingham City Middlesbrough 5.03 1.25
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Portsmouth Blackburn Rovers 16.85 1.06
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Burnley Derby County 1.22 5.46
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Lincoln City Swansea City 1.20 6.08
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Queens Park Rangers Preston North End 17.05 1.06
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Wrexham Southampton 2.25 1.80
2026-09-20 EFL Championship Wolverhampton Wanderers West Bromwich Albion 2.91 1.52
2026-09-20 EFL Championship Norwich City Bolton Wanderers 1.29 4.43

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Bristol City Watford 0.75 1.90 2.11 5.80 1.21
Cardiff City Charlton Athletic 1.82 1.19 6.16 1.84 2.19
Millwall West Ham United 1.53 1.28 4.60 2.22 1.82
Stoke City Sheffield United 3.28 1.04 26.63 1.19 6.22
Birmingham City Middlesbrough 1.94 1.17 6.97 1.73 2.37
Portsmouth Blackburn Rovers 1.53 1.28 4.60 2.22 1.82
Burnley Derby County 0.65 2.10 1.91 7.26 1.16
Lincoln City Swansea City 1.90 1.18 6.65 1.77 2.30
Queens Park Rangers Preston North End 0.45 2.74 1.58 13.03 1.08
Wrexham Southampton 1.26 1.39 3.54 2.78 1.56
Wolverhampton Wanderers West Bromwich Albion 0.49 2.60 1.62 11.65 1.09
Norwich City Bolton Wanderers 1.63 1.24 5.08 2.07 1.94

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Bristol City Watford 14.3 57.1 17.6
Cardiff City Charlton Athletic 28.6 28.6 17.6
Millwall West Ham United 28.6 57.1 32.1
Stoke City Sheffield United 71.4 42.9 51.6
Birmingham City Middlesbrough 28.6 57.1 32.1
Portsmouth Blackburn Rovers 33.3 28.6 20.2
Burnley Derby County 57.1 28.6 32.1
Lincoln City Swansea City 28.6 71.4 38.4
Queens Park Rangers Preston North End 14.3 71.4 21.5
Wrexham Southampton 42.9 57.1 44.1
Wolverhampton Wanderers West Bromwich Albion 50.0 14.3 15.6
Norwich City Bolton Wanderers 57.1 42.9 44.1

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Bristol City Watford 10.78 1.61 2.64
Cardiff City Charlton Athletic 16.70 1.04 25.22
Millwall West Ham United 7.43 4.40 1.29
Stoke City Sheffield United 6.76 6.24 1.19
Birmingham City Middlesbrough 11.61 1.42 3.39
Portsmouth Blackburn Rovers 13.25 1.20 5.93
Burnley Derby County 8.72 2.65 1.61
Lincoln City Swansea City 12.19 1.32 4.09
Queens Park Rangers Preston North End 7.26 4.78 1.26
Wrexham Southampton 8.21 3.16 1.46
Wolverhampton Wanderers West Bromwich Albion 10.91 1.57 2.74
Norwich City Bolton Wanderers 12.18 1.33 4.07

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
West Ham United 3.50 1.00 2.00 1.67
Southampton 3.75 1.00 1.00 1.33
Wolverhampton Wanderers 3.00 1.50 2.00 1.75
Middlesbrough 2.75 1.75 1.00 1.00
Millwall 2.33 1.00 1.50 2.50
Norwich City 2.33 1.33 1.50 2.25
Swansea City 1.25 0.25 2.00 1.33
Stoke City 2.00 0.67 1.25 2.25
Birmingham City 1.67 1.67 1.25 1.00
Blackburn Rovers 1.75 1.50 1.00 1.33
Bristol City 0.67 1.33 2.00 2.00
West Bromwich Albion 1.50 0.75 1.33 1.33
Portsmouth 1.00 1.67 1.33 1.00
Queens Park Rangers 0.67 0.67 1.50 0.75
Sheffield United 1.00 1.50 1.33 1.00
Burnley 1.33 1.67 1.00 2.75
Watford 1.50 1.25 0.33 1.33
Cardiff City 1.33 1.33 0.75 1.75
Bolton Wanderers 1.25 1.25 0.67 2.33
Wrexham 1.00 1.33 1.00 1.75
Preston North End 1.00 2.00 0.67 1.67
Lincoln City 0.67 1.33 1.00 0.50
Derby County 0.75 2.00 1.00 1.67
Charlton Athletic 0.75 0.25 1.00 2.00

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score
2026-09-18 EFL Championship Bristol City Watford 1 1
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Cardiff City Charlton Athletic 3 1
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Millwall West Ham United 2 1
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Stoke City Sheffield United 1 1
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Birmingham City Middlesbrough 1 1
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Portsmouth Blackburn Rovers 1 1
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Burnley Derby County 2 2
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Lincoln City Swansea City 1 3
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Queens Park Rangers Preston North End 1 1
2026-09-19 EFL Championship Wrexham Southampton 1 2
2026-09-20 EFL Championship Wolverhampton Wanderers West Bromwich Albion 1 1
2026-09-20 EFL Championship Norwich City Bolton Wanderers 3 1


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