AI Football Tips: Campeonato Brasileiro round 28

The intensity of South American football is on full display as the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A enters a pivotal Round 28 over the weekend of September 19–20. As the grueling 2026 campaign marches into its decisive final stretch, the battles at both ends of the table are reaching a boiling point, with title contenders looking to create separation and relegation-threatened clubs fighting desperately for survival in Brazil’s top flight.

The weekend’s blockbuster schedule is packed with traditional heavyweights, beginning on Saturday as Atlético Mineiro clashes with Chapecoense and Mirassol takes on Santos. The Sunday slate brings a barrage of massive encounters, headlined by a colossal duel between Grêmio and Palmeiras, alongside a tense showdown pitting Corinthians against Fluminense. In other critical matchups, São Paulo hosts Internacional while Flamengo meets Red Bull Bragantino. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every encounter across this thrilling Brasileirão round.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Campeonato Brasileiro round 28. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2026-09-19 Campeonato Brasileiro Atlético Mineiro Chapecoense H No bet
2026-09-19 Campeonato Brasileiro Mirassol Botafogo H 1X2
2026-09-19 Campeonato Brasileiro Remo Santos H 0
2026-09-19 Campeonato Brasileiro Vasco da Gama Coritiba H 1X2
2026-09-20 Campeonato Brasileiro São Paulo Internacional H 1X2
2026-09-20 Campeonato Brasileiro Grêmio Palmeiras H +0.5
2026-09-20 Campeonato Brasileiro Corinthians Fluminense H 1X2
2026-09-20 Campeonato Brasileiro Vitória Cruzeiro A -0.25
2026-09-20 Campeonato Brasileiro Flamengo Bragantino H No bet
2026-09-20 Campeonato Brasileiro Atlético PR Bahia H 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-09-19 Atlético Mineiro Chapecoense 67 62 1.75 2.34
2026-09-19 Mirassol Botafogo 79 69 1.68 2.46
2026-09-19 Remo Santos 62 75 1.68 2.48
2026-09-19 Vasco da Gama Coritiba 62 46 1.57 2.75
2026-09-20 São Paulo Internacional 58 62 2.30 1.77
2026-09-20 Grêmio Palmeiras 69 57 1.71 2.42
2026-09-20 Corinthians Fluminense 36 77 2.08 1.93
2026-09-20 Vitória Cruzeiro 15 69 1.89 2.12
2026-09-20 Flamengo Bragantino 38 54 2.15 1.87
2026-09-20 Atlético PR Bahia 54 62 1.38 3.63

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-09-19 Campeonato Brasileiro Atlético Mineiro Chapecoense 1.63 2.59
2026-09-19 Campeonato Brasileiro Mirassol Botafogo 2.25 1.80
2026-09-19 Campeonato Brasileiro Remo Santos 1.71 2.41
2026-09-19 Campeonato Brasileiro Vasco da Gama Coritiba 1.95 2.05
2026-09-20 Campeonato Brasileiro São Paulo Internacional 2.02 1.98
2026-09-20 Campeonato Brasileiro Grêmio Palmeiras 1.52 2.92
2026-09-20 Campeonato Brasileiro Corinthians Fluminense 2.78 1.56
2026-09-20 Campeonato Brasileiro Vitória Cruzeiro 5.51 1.22
2026-09-20 Campeonato Brasileiro Flamengo Bragantino 2.95 1.51
2026-09-20 Campeonato Brasileiro Atlético PR Bahia 1.35 3.85

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Atlético Mineiro Chapecoense 0.92 1.66 2.51 4.25 1.31
Mirassol Botafogo 1.40 1.33 4.05 2.46 1.69
Remo Santos 1.39 1.33 4.00 2.48 1.68
Vasco da Gama Coritiba 1.02 1.56 2.79 3.66 1.38
São Paulo Internacional 0.99 1.59 2.70 3.83 1.35
Grêmio Palmeiras 1.13 1.47 3.11 3.19 1.46
Corinthians Fluminense 1.06 1.53 2.89 3.49 1.40
Vitória Cruzeiro 1.02 1.56 2.79 3.66 1.38
Flamengo Bragantino 0.75 1.90 2.11 5.79 1.21
Atlético PR Bahia 1.37 1.34 3.94 2.51 1.66

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Atlético Mineiro Chapecoense 23.1 19.2 15.6
Mirassol Botafogo 22.2 44.4 31.4
Remo Santos 25.9 19.2 17.3
Vasco da Gama Coritiba 19.2 22.2 15.0
São Paulo Internacional 19.2 22.2 15.0
Grêmio Palmeiras 14.8 29.6 15.4
Corinthians Fluminense 25.9 22.2 19.7
Vitória Cruzeiro 14.8 37.0 18.9
Flamengo Bragantino 44.4 19.2 27.8
Atlético PR Bahia 48.1 29.6 42.0

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Atlético Mineiro Chapecoense 9.18 2.30 1.77
Mirassol Botafogo 9.82 1.95 2.05
Remo Santos 11.84 1.38 3.64
Vasco da Gama Coritiba 8.36 2.99 1.50
São Paulo Internacional 8.85 2.54 1.65
Grêmio Palmeiras 11.48 1.44 3.25
Corinthians Fluminense 7.75 3.80 1.36
Vitória Cruzeiro 10.36 1.74 2.35
Flamengo Bragantino 11.23 1.50 3.01
Atlético PR Bahia 13.06 1.22 5.54

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Flamengo 2.00 0.69 1.93 0.93
Palmeiras 1.77 0.69 1.71 0.86
Bahia 1.57 1.00 1.54 1.46
Fluminense 1.71 1.00 1.31 1.62
Botafogo 1.71 1.43 1.31 1.77
Atlético PR 1.77 0.77 1.29 1.50
Santos 1.43 1.29 1.58 1.75
Cruzeiro 1.71 1.14 1.15 1.77
Coritiba 1.36 1.36 1.38 1.46
Atlético Mineiro 1.83 1.25 0.93 1.14
Bragantino 1.46 1.08 1.00 1.15
São Paulo 1.67 0.83 0.79 1.43
Mirassol 1.36 1.50 0.92 1.62
Remo 1.31 1.31 1.00 2.00
Vasco da Gama 1.23 1.38 1.00 1.77
Grêmio 1.69 1.23 0.57 1.57
Internacional 1.14 1.14 1.08 1.46
Chapecoense 1.38 2.23 0.77 1.77
Corinthians 1.00 0.93 1.08 1.23
Vitória 1.31 0.69 0.71 2.14

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score
2026-09-19 Campeonato Brasileiro Atlético Mineiro Chapecoense 2 1
2026-09-19 Campeonato Brasileiro Mirassol Botafogo 2 1
2026-09-19 Campeonato Brasileiro Remo Santos 1 2
2026-09-19 Campeonato Brasileiro Vasco da Gama Coritiba 2 1
2026-09-20 Campeonato Brasileiro São Paulo Internacional 2 1
2026-09-20 Campeonato Brasileiro Grêmio Palmeiras 1 2
2026-09-20 Campeonato Brasileiro Corinthians Fluminense 1 1
2026-09-20 Campeonato Brasileiro Vitória Cruzeiro 1 1
2026-09-20 Campeonato Brasileiro Flamengo Bragantino 2 1
2026-09-20 Campeonato Brasileiro Atlético PR Bahia 2 2


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