The intensity of South American football is on full display as the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A enters a pivotal Round 28 over the weekend of September 19–20. As the grueling 2026 campaign marches into its decisive final stretch, the battles at both ends of the table are reaching a boiling point, with title contenders looking to create separation and relegation-threatened clubs fighting desperately for survival in Brazil’s top flight.
The weekend’s blockbuster schedule is packed with traditional heavyweights, beginning on Saturday as Atlético Mineiro clashes with Chapecoense and Mirassol takes on Santos. The Sunday slate brings a barrage of massive encounters, headlined by a colossal duel between Grêmio and Palmeiras, alongside a tense showdown pitting Corinthians against Fluminense. In other critical matchups, São Paulo hosts Internacional while Flamengo meets Red Bull Bragantino. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every encounter across this thrilling Brasileirão round.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Campeonato Brasileiro round 28. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético Mineiro | Chapecoense | H | No bet |
| 2026-09-19 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Mirassol | Botafogo | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-19 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Remo | Santos | H | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco da Gama | Coritiba | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo | Internacional | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio | Palmeiras | H | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Corinthians | Fluminense | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória | Cruzeiro | A | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-20 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo | Bragantino | H | No bet |
| 2026-09-20 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético PR | Bahia | H | 1X2 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Atlético Mineiro | Chapecoense | 67 | 62 | 1.75 | 2.34 |
| 2026-09-19 | Mirassol | Botafogo | 79 | 69 | 1.68 | 2.46 |
| 2026-09-19 | Remo | Santos | 62 | 75 | 1.68 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-19 | Vasco da Gama | Coritiba | 62 | 46 | 1.57 | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-20 | São Paulo | Internacional | 58 | 62 | 2.30 | 1.77 |
| 2026-09-20 | Grêmio | Palmeiras | 69 | 57 | 1.71 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-20 | Corinthians | Fluminense | 36 | 77 | 2.08 | 1.93 |
| 2026-09-20 | Vitória | Cruzeiro | 15 | 69 | 1.89 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-20 | Flamengo | Bragantino | 38 | 54 | 2.15 | 1.87 |
| 2026-09-20 | Atlético PR | Bahia | 54 | 62 | 1.38 | 3.63 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético Mineiro | Chapecoense | 1.63 | 2.59 |
| 2026-09-19 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Mirassol | Botafogo | 2.25 | 1.80 |
| 2026-09-19 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Remo | Santos | 1.71 | 2.41 |
| 2026-09-19 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco da Gama | Coritiba | 1.95 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-20 | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo | Internacional | 2.02 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio | Palmeiras | 1.52 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-20 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Corinthians | Fluminense | 2.78 | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-20 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória | Cruzeiro | 5.51 | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-20 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo | Bragantino | 2.95 | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético PR | Bahia | 1.35 | 3.85 |
First Half Goals
The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.
| Home Team | Away Team | HT Avg | O 0.5 FH | U 0.5 FH | O 1.5 FH | U 1.5 FH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Mineiro | Chapecoense | 0.92 | 1.66 | 2.51 | 4.25 | 1.31 |
| Mirassol | Botafogo | 1.40 | 1.33 | 4.05 | 2.46 | 1.69 |
| Remo | Santos | 1.39 | 1.33 | 4.00 | 2.48 | 1.68 |
| Vasco da Gama | Coritiba | 1.02 | 1.56 | 2.79 | 3.66 | 1.38 |
| São Paulo | Internacional | 0.99 | 1.59 | 2.70 | 3.83 | 1.35 |
| Grêmio | Palmeiras | 1.13 | 1.47 | 3.11 | 3.19 | 1.46 |
| Corinthians | Fluminense | 1.06 | 1.53 | 2.89 | 3.49 | 1.40 |
| Vitória | Cruzeiro | 1.02 | 1.56 | 2.79 | 3.66 | 1.38 |
| Flamengo | Bragantino | 0.75 | 1.90 | 2.11 | 5.79 | 1.21 |
| Atlético PR | Bahia | 1.37 | 1.34 | 3.94 | 2.51 | 1.66 |
Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)
The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.
| Home Team | Away Team | EG Home (%) | EG Away (%) | Poisson ≥1 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Mineiro | Chapecoense | 23.1 | 19.2 | 15.6 |
| Mirassol | Botafogo | 22.2 | 44.4 | 31.4 |
| Remo | Santos | 25.9 | 19.2 | 17.3 |
| Vasco da Gama | Coritiba | 19.2 | 22.2 | 15.0 |
| São Paulo | Internacional | 19.2 | 22.2 | 15.0 |
| Grêmio | Palmeiras | 14.8 | 29.6 | 15.4 |
| Corinthians | Fluminense | 25.9 | 22.2 | 19.7 |
| Vitória | Cruzeiro | 14.8 | 37.0 | 18.9 |
| Flamengo | Bragantino | 44.4 | 19.2 | 27.8 |
| Atlético PR | Bahia | 48.1 | 29.6 | 42.0 |
Corners Over/Under 9.5
The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.
| Home Team | Away Team | Corner Avg | +9.5 odds | -9.5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Mineiro | Chapecoense | 9.18 | 2.30 | 1.77 |
| Mirassol | Botafogo | 9.82 | 1.95 | 2.05 |
| Remo | Santos | 11.84 | 1.38 | 3.64 |
| Vasco da Gama | Coritiba | 8.36 | 2.99 | 1.50 |
| São Paulo | Internacional | 8.85 | 2.54 | 1.65 |
| Grêmio | Palmeiras | 11.48 | 1.44 | 3.25 |
| Corinthians | Fluminense | 7.75 | 3.80 | 1.36 |
| Vitória | Cruzeiro | 10.36 | 1.74 | 2.35 |
| Flamengo | Bragantino | 11.23 | 1.50 | 3.01 |
| Atlético PR | Bahia | 13.06 | 1.22 | 5.54 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | 2.00 | 0.69 | 1.93 | 0.93 |
| Palmeiras | 1.77 | 0.69 | 1.71 | 0.86 |
| Bahia | 1.57 | 1.00 | 1.54 | 1.46 |
| Fluminense | 1.71 | 1.00 | 1.31 | 1.62 |
| Botafogo | 1.71 | 1.43 | 1.31 | 1.77 |
| Atlético PR | 1.77 | 0.77 | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| Santos | 1.43 | 1.29 | 1.58 | 1.75 |
| Cruzeiro | 1.71 | 1.14 | 1.15 | 1.77 |
| Coritiba | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.38 | 1.46 |
| Atlético Mineiro | 1.83 | 1.25 | 0.93 | 1.14 |
| Bragantino | 1.46 | 1.08 | 1.00 | 1.15 |
| São Paulo | 1.67 | 0.83 | 0.79 | 1.43 |
| Mirassol | 1.36 | 1.50 | 0.92 | 1.62 |
| Remo | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Vasco da Gama | 1.23 | 1.38 | 1.00 | 1.77 |
| Grêmio | 1.69 | 1.23 | 0.57 | 1.57 |
| Internacional | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.08 | 1.46 |
| Chapecoense | 1.38 | 2.23 | 0.77 | 1.77 |
| Corinthians | 1.00 | 0.93 | 1.08 | 1.23 |
| Vitória | 1.31 | 0.69 | 0.71 | 2.14 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético Mineiro | Chapecoense | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Mirassol | Botafogo | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Remo | Santos | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-09-19 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vasco da Gama | Coritiba | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Campeonato Brasileiro | São Paulo | Internacional | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Grêmio | Palmeiras | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Corinthians | Fluminense | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória | Cruzeiro | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Flamengo | Bragantino | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Atlético PR | Bahia | 2 | 2 |


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