In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for EFL Championship round 28. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-21 | EFL Championship | Blackburn | Coventry City | H | 0 |
| 2025-01-21 | EFL Championship | Derby County | Sunderland | H | +0.5 |
| 2025-01-21 | EFL Championship | Hull City | QPR | H | 1X2 |
| 2025-01-21 | EFL Championship | Oxford United | Luton Town | H | 0 |
| 2025-01-21 | EFL Championship | Middlesbrough | West Brom | H | 1X2 |
| 2025-01-21 | EFL Championship | Watford | Preston | H | 1X2 |
| 2025-01-21 | EFL Championship | Swansea City | Sheffield Utd | H | 0 |
| 2025-01-21 | EFL Championship | Millwall | Cardiff City | H | 1X2 |
| 2025-01-22 | EFL Championship | Sheffield Weds | Bristol City | H | -0.25 |
| 2025-01-22 | EFL Championship | Leeds United | Norwich City | H | No bet |
| 2025-01-22 | EFL Championship | Portsmouth | Stoke City | H | -0.25 |
| 2025-01-22 | EFL Championship | Plymouth Argyle | Burnley | A | 1X2 |
The table below shows the percentage of matches with over 2.5 goal for the home team at home, and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Home +2.5(%) | Away +2.5 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-21 | Blackburn | Coventry City | 36 | 36 |
| 2025-01-21 | Derby County | Sunderland | 46 | 43 |
| 2025-01-21 | Hull City | QPR | 29 | 23 |
| 2025-01-21 | Oxford United | Luton Town | 36 | 54 |
| 2025-01-21 | Middlesbrough | West Brom | 36 | 50 |
| 2025-01-21 | Watford | Preston | 62 | 54 |
| 2025-01-21 | Swansea City | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 36 |
| 2025-01-21 | Millwall | Cardiff City | 21 | 46 |
| 2025-01-22 | Sheffield Weds | Bristol City | 36 | 43 |
| 2025-01-22 | Leeds United | Norwich City | 57 | 43 |
| 2025-01-22 | Portsmouth | Stoke City | 67 | 23 |
| 2025-01-22 | Plymouth Argyle | Burnley | 62 | 14 |
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-21 | Blackburn | Coventry City | 21 | 50 | 2.80 |
| 2025-01-21 | Derby County | Sunderland | 46 | 50 | 2.08 |
| 2025-01-21 | Hull City | QPR | 57 | 38 | 2.09 |
| 2025-01-21 | Oxford United | Luton Town | 57 | 46 | 1.94 |
| 2025-01-21 | Middlesbrough | West Brom | 43 | 79 | 1.65 |
| 2025-01-21 | Watford | Preston | 62 | 62 | 1.62 |
| 2025-01-21 | Swansea City | Sheffield Utd | 54 | 43 | 2.07 |
| 2025-01-21 | Millwall | Cardiff City | 29 | 69 | 2.04 |
| 2025-01-22 | Sheffield Weds | Bristol City | 50 | 43 | 2.15 |
| 2025-01-22 | Leeds United | Norwich City | 29 | 43 | 2.80 |
| 2025-01-22 | Portsmouth | Stoke City | 50 | 31 | 2.48 |
| 2025-01-22 | Plymouth Argyle | Burnley | 77 | 21 | 2.03 |
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Goal Avg. | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-21 | Blackburn | Coventry City | 2.28 | 2.51 | 1.66 |
| 2025-01-21 | Derby County | Sunderland | 2.34 | 2.41 | 1.71 |
| 2025-01-21 | Hull City | QPR | 2.10 | 2.85 | 1.54 |
| 2025-01-21 | Oxford United | Luton Town | 2.74 | 1.94 | 2.07 |
| 2025-01-21 | Middlesbrough | West Brom | 2.46 | 2.24 | 1.80 |
| 2025-01-21 | Watford | Preston | 2.42 | 2.30 | 1.77 |
| 2025-01-21 | Swansea City | Sheffield Utd | 2.42 | 2.30 | 1.77 |
| 2025-01-21 | Millwall | Cardiff City | 2.28 | 2.51 | 1.66 |
| 2025-01-22 | Sheffield Weds | Bristol City | 2.75 | 1.93 | 2.08 |
| 2025-01-22 | Leeds United | Norwich City | 2.61 | 2.07 | 1.94 |
| 2025-01-22 | Portsmouth | Stoke City | 2.17 | 2.71 | 1.59 |
| 2025-01-22 | Plymouth Argyle | Burnley | 2.37 | 2.37 | 1.73 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | 2.36 | 0.50 | 1.38 | 0.92 |
| Middlesbrough | 1.43 | 1.07 | 1.85 | 1.46 |
| Norwich City | 2.38 | 1.38 | 0.86 | 1.50 |
| Sunderland | 1.69 | 0.62 | 1.21 | 1.00 |
| Watford | 1.46 | 0.77 | 1.36 | 1.93 |
| Sheffield Weds | 1.57 | 1.43 | 1.23 | 1.77 |
| Sheffield Utd | 1.46 | 0.38 | 1.36 | 0.86 |
| Coventry City | 1.77 | 1.23 | 0.86 | 1.50 |
| Portsmouth | 1.58 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 2.36 |
| West Brom | 1.08 | 0.54 | 1.36 | 1.07 |
| Bristol City | 1.46 | 0.77 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Blackburn | 1.43 | 0.79 | 0.85 | 1.00 |
| Derby County | 1.46 | 1.00 | 0.86 | 1.71 |
| Burnley | 1.15 | 0.31 | 1.14 | 0.36 |
| QPR | 1.43 | 1.36 | 0.77 | 1.15 |
| Swansea City | 1.54 | 1.08 | 0.71 | 1.36 |
| Oxford United | 1.43 | 1.21 | 0.77 | 1.85 |
| Cardiff City | 1.14 | 1.29 | 1.00 | 1.77 |
| Preston | 1.14 | 0.86 | 0.92 | 1.69 |
| Luton Town | 1.29 | 1.14 | 0.69 | 2.15 |
| Hull City | 1.00 | 1.29 | 0.92 | 1.38 |
| Plymouth Argyle | 1.69 | 1.54 | 0.21 | 2.50 |
| Stoke City | 1.29 | 1.21 | 0.54 | 1.23 |
| Millwall | 1.00 | 0.79 | 0.83 | 1.08 |
No football stats for betting is complete without the famous xGoal. Haven’t heard of xGoals? Here’s the gist: xGoals measure the quality of chances a team creates. Think of every shot as a lottery ticket; some are a sure shot like a penalty kick, others are more like trying to score from the halfway line with your eyes closed. xGoals assigns a probability to each shot based on factors like distance, angle, and whether the goalkeeper was busy tying his shoelaces. So, when you see a team with an xG of 2.5, it means that, based on the quality of their chances, they were “expected” to score 2.5 goals
The median goal provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance regarding Xgoal at home or away, respectively.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Median Home | Median Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-21 | Blackburn | Coventry City | 2.35 | 2.00 |
| 2025-01-21 | Derby County | Sunderland | 2.50 | 2.30 |
| 2025-01-21 | Hull City | QPR | 2.25 | 1.90 |
| 2025-01-21 | Oxford United | Luton Town | 1.95 | 2.50 |
| 2025-01-21 | Middlesbrough | West Brom | 2.10 | 1.95 |
| 2025-01-21 | Watford | Preston | 2.90 | 2.30 |
| 2025-01-21 | Swansea City | Sheffield Utd | 2.50 | 2.05 |
| 2025-01-21 | Millwall | Cardiff City | 1.70 | 2.20 |
| 2025-01-22 | Sheffield Weds | Bristol City | 2.75 | 2.35 |
| 2025-01-22 | Leeds United | Norwich City | 2.30 | 1.70 |
| 2025-01-22 | Portsmouth | Stoke City | 2.05 | 3.00 |
| 2025-01-22 | Plymouth Argyle | Burnley | 2.80 | 1.60 |