AI Football Tips: Campeonato Brasileiro round 21

On matchday 21 of Campeonato Brasileiro, Fortaleza and Criciúma face off with Fortaleza holding the record for the longest unbeaten home streak in the competition’s history in 1984 (W30). Meanwhile, Criciúma boasts an impressive 1-0 victory over Grêmio in the 2017 Copa Sudamericana. In another fixture, Cruzeiro takes on Atlético Mineiro with both teams having a rich rivalry known as “Mineirão,” where they hold each other’s respect and compete fiercely for supremacy. Lastly, Vasco da Gama meets Fluminense, with the former being the most successful club in Brazilian football history with 26 league titles.
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Campeonato Brasileiro round 21.

Date Home Team Away Team Prediction
2024-08-10 Fortaleza Criciúma 1
2024-08-10 Cuiabá Grêmio 1
2024-08-11 Cruzeiro Atlético Mineiro 1
2024-08-11 Corinthians Red Bull Bragantino 1
2024-08-11 Vasco da Gama Fluminense 1
2024-08-11 Juventude Botafogo (RJ) 1
2024-08-11 São Paulo Atl Goianiense 1
2024-08-11 Bahia Vitória 1
2024-08-11 Flamengo Palmeiras 1
2024-08-11 Internacional Ath Paranaense 1

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2024-08-10 Fortaleza Criciúma 2.42
2024-08-10 Cuiabá Grêmio 2.14
2024-08-11 Cruzeiro Atlético Mineiro 2.44
2024-08-11 Corinthians Red Bull Bragantino 2.20
2024-08-11 Vasco da Gama Fluminense 2.09
2024-08-11 Juventude Botafogo (RJ) 2.38
2024-08-11 São Paulo Atl Goianiense 2.14
2024-08-11 Bahia Vitória 2.08
2024-08-11 Flamengo Palmeiras 2.45
2024-08-11 Internacional Ath Paranaense 2.20

The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2024-08-10 Fortaleza Criciúma 2.30 2.40
2024-08-10 Cuiabá Grêmio 1.50 2.10
2024-08-11 Cruzeiro Atlético Mineiro 2.40 2.60
2024-08-11 Corinthians Red Bull Bragantino 2.00 2.15
2024-08-11 Vasco da Gama Fluminense 1.80 1.60
2024-08-11 Juventude Botafogo (RJ) 2.45 2.00
2024-08-11 São Paulo Atl Goianiense 1.70 2.10
2024-08-11 Bahia Vitória 1.90 1.65
2024-08-11 Flamengo Palmeiras 2.10 2.40
2024-08-11 Internacional Ath Paranaense 2.20 2.10

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Palmeiras 1.74 0.87 1.51 1.18
Flamengo 1.36 0.85 1.46 1.22
Bahia 1.43 0.81 1.34 1.32
Ath Paranaense 1.57 1.08 1.07 1.18
Botafogo (RJ) 1.28 0.99 1.30 1.12
Atlético Mineiro 1.22 1.20 1.27 1.12
Criciúma 1.22 1.37 1.23 1.31
Fortaleza 1.49 0.80 0.84 1.49
Internacional 1.29 0.86 1.12 0.81
São Paulo 1.15 0.88 1.14 0.72
Juventude 1.22 1.12 0.98 2.03
Atl Goianiense 1.26 1.17 0.94 1.32
Cruzeiro 1.51 0.97 0.68 1.26
Vitória 1.22 1.50 0.86 1.05
Cuiabá 0.98 1.13 1.08 1.26
Grêmio 1.13 0.96 0.89 1.28
Corinthians 1.14 0.98 0.91 1.40
Vasco da Gama 1.09 1.14 0.90 1.67
Red Bull Bragantino 0.88 1.21 0.98 1.31
Fluminense 1.09 1.25 0.69 1.27