AI Football Tips: Argentina Primera Division

On Matchday 40 of the Argentine Primera Division, Arg Juniors and Sarmiento meet for the first time since their historic 5-2 clash in 1967, when Argentine soccer legend Omar Corbatta scored a hat-trick for Sarmiento. Elsewhere, Lanús faces Riestra for the first time since their iconic 3-0 victory in 1981, which marked the beginning of Lanús’s impressive run in Argentine football.
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Argentina Primera Division round 40.

Date Home Team Away Team Prediction
2024-08-08 Arg Juniors Sarmiento 1
2024-08-09 Deportivo Riestra Lanús 2
2024-08-09 Barracas Central Talleres 2
2024-08-09 Belgrano Unión 1
2024-08-10 Racing Club Gimnasia–LP 1
2024-08-10 San Lorenzo Atlé Tucumán 1
2024-08-10 Rosario Central Newell’s OB 1
2024-08-10 Independiente Rivadavia Boca Juniors 1
2024-08-10 River Plate Huracán 1
2024-08-11 Cen. Córdoba–SdE Defensa y Just 1
2024-08-11 Instituto Platense 1
2024-08-11 Banfield Vélez Sarsfield 1
2024-08-11 Estudiantes Independiente 1
2024-08-12 Tigre Godoy Cruz 2

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2024-08-08 Arg Juniors Sarmiento 2.12
2024-08-09 Deportivo Riestra Lanús 2.08
2024-08-09 Barracas Central Talleres 2.51
2024-08-09 Belgrano Unión 2.06
2024-08-10 Racing Club Gimnasia–LP 2.15
2024-08-10 San Lorenzo Atlé Tucumán 2.07
2024-08-10 Rosario Central Newell’s OB 2.00
2024-08-10 Independiente Rivadavia Boca Juniors 2.11
2024-08-10 River Plate Huracán 2.54
2024-08-11 Cen. Córdoba–SdE Defensa y Just 2.32
2024-08-11 Instituto Platense 2.01
2024-08-11 Banfield Vélez Sarsfield 2.24
2024-08-11 Estudiantes Independiente 1.99
2024-08-12 Tigre Godoy Cruz 2.10

The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2024-08-08 Arg Juniors Sarmiento 1.90 2.10
2024-08-09 Deportivo Riestra Lanús 2.20 1.90
2024-08-09 Barracas Central Talleres 2.40 2.15
2024-08-09 Belgrano Unión 2.05 1.70
2024-08-10 Racing Club Gimnasia–LP 2.30 1.80
2024-08-10 San Lorenzo Atlé Tucumán 1.50 1.70
2024-08-10 Rosario Central Newell’s OB 1.65 2.10
2024-08-10 Independiente Rivadavia Boca Juniors 2.00 2.00
2024-08-10 River Plate Huracán 2.85 2.20
2024-08-11 Cen. Córdoba–SdE Defensa y Just 2.00 2.05
2024-08-11 Instituto Platense 1.80 2.05
2024-08-11 Banfield Vélez Sarsfield 1.90 2.00
2024-08-11 Estudiantes Independiente 2.20 1.70
2024-08-12 Tigre Godoy Cruz 2.10 1.60

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
River Plate 2.06 0.74 1.50 1.14
Racing Club 1.41 0.74 1.32 0.94
Talleres 1.36 0.85 1.28 1.15
Boca Juniors 1.66 0.82 0.98 1.12
Atlé Tucumán 1.44 0.88 1.05 1.44
Estudiantes 1.55 0.75 0.95 0.92
Instituto 1.18 0.88 1.30 0.84
Vélez Sarsfield 1.27 0.56 1.09 1.13
Belgrano 1.22 1.07 1.13 1.44
Lanús 1.22 0.82 1.07 0.97
Godoy Cruz 1.30 0.83 0.98 0.95
Gimnasia–LP 1.48 1.28 0.75 1.41
Defensa y Just 1.36 1.15 0.87 1.41
Unión 1.23 0.93 0.92 0.93
Arg Juniors 1.45 0.72 0.68 1.30
Banfield 1.25 1.00 0.86 1.52
Independiente 1.19 0.94 0.85 0.82
Newell’s OB 0.96 0.77 1.08 1.32
Barracas Central 1.10 1.49 0.93 1.50
Platense 1.21 0.78 0.78 1.17
Huracán 0.90 0.91 1.07 1.22
Rosario Central 0.92 0.68 0.89 1.56
San Lorenzo 0.95 0.72 0.80 0.89
Independiente Rivadavia 0.91 1.21 0.76 1.25
Tigre 0.89 1.39 0.71 1.39
Cen. Córdoba–SdE 1.01 1.35 0.59 1.68
Sarmiento 0.82 0.89 0.68 1.40
Deportivo Riestra 0.93 1.19 0.50 1.36