AI Football Tips: Argentina Primera Division

As matchday 30 of the Argentine Primera Division kicks off, we’re treated to a thrilling slate of fixtures, including Arg Juniors’ clash with Tigre on July 18th. Did you know that Tigre was founded in 1902 by a group of British expats who introduced football to Argentina? Meanwhile, on the same day, Independiente Rivadavia takes on Gimnasia–LP, with an intriguing historical fact: Gimnasia–LP has won three Argentine championships, including their first title in 1930.
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Argentina Primera Division round 30.

Date Home Team Away Team Prediction
2024-07-18 Arg Juniors Tigre 1
2024-07-18 Independiente Rivadavia Gimnasia–LP 1
2024-07-19 Instituto Independiente 1
2024-07-19 Barracas Central Newell’s OB 1
2024-07-19 Belgrano Deportivo Riestra 1
2024-07-20 Rosario Central Sarmiento 1
2024-07-20 San Lorenzo Huracán 1
2024-07-20 Racing Club Godoy Cruz 1
2024-07-20 Banfield Atlé Tucumán 1
2024-07-21 River Plate Lanús 1
2024-07-21 Cen. Córdoba–SdE Platense 1
2024-07-21 Estudiantes Unión 1
2024-07-21 Defensa y Just Boca Juniors 2
2024-07-21 Vélez Sarsfield Talleres 1

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2024-07-18 Arg Juniors Tigre 2.28
2024-07-18 Independiente Rivadavia Gimnasia–LP 2.24
2024-07-19 Instituto Independiente 1.96
2024-07-19 Barracas Central Newell’s OB 2.54
2024-07-19 Belgrano Deportivo Riestra 2.18
2024-07-20 Rosario Central Sarmiento 1.84
2024-07-20 San Lorenzo Huracán 2.03
2024-07-20 Racing Club Godoy Cruz 2.08
2024-07-20 Banfield Atlé Tucumán 2.26
2024-07-21 River Plate Lanús 2.44
2024-07-21 Cen. Córdoba–SdE Platense 2.21
2024-07-21 Estudiantes Unión 2.00
2024-07-21 Defensa y Just Boca Juniors 2.20
2024-07-21 Vélez Sarsfield Talleres 1.95

The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2024-07-18 Arg Juniors Tigre 2.25 2.00
2024-07-18 Independiente Rivadavia Gimnasia–LP 1.90 1.80
2024-07-19 Instituto Independiente 2.25 1.70
2024-07-19 Barracas Central Newell’s OB 2.40 2.40
2024-07-19 Belgrano Deportivo Riestra 2.05 1.90
2024-07-20 Rosario Central Sarmiento 1.65 2.20
2024-07-20 San Lorenzo Huracán 1.50 2.20
2024-07-20 Racing Club Godoy Cruz 2.30 1.60
2024-07-20 Banfield Atlé Tucumán 1.80 2.30
2024-07-21 River Plate Lanús 3.05 2.00
2024-07-21 Cen. Córdoba–SdE Platense 2.20 2.05
2024-07-21 Estudiantes Unión 2.10 1.60
2024-07-21 Defensa y Just Boca Juniors 2.20 1.95
2024-07-21 Vélez Sarsfield Talleres 1.30 2.05

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
River Plate 2.08 0.78 1.54 1.04
Racing Club 1.48 0.76 1.37 0.98
Talleres 1.53 0.90 1.24 0.99
Boca Juniors 1.64 0.88 1.03 1.05
Instituto 1.23 0.98 1.36 0.79
Belgrano 1.30 1.11 1.23 1.49
Estudiantes 1.64 0.54 0.89 1.02
Atlé Tucumán 1.53 0.84 0.86 1.59
Gimnasia–LP 1.64 1.25 0.70 1.47
Arg Juniors 1.56 0.79 0.77 1.38
Lanús 1.18 0.86 1.18 0.86
Independiente 1.28 1.05 0.96 0.74
Godoy Cruz 1.23 0.83 1.02 0.92
Vélez Sarsfield 1.12 0.54 1.09 1.15
Unión 1.34 0.90 0.83 0.98
Defensa y Just 1.22 1.09 0.96 1.45
Barracas Central 1.19 1.40 0.99 1.54
Banfield 1.22 0.87 0.95 1.53
Huracán 0.97 0.92 1.13 1.30
Platense 1.30 0.77 0.75 1.16
Newell’s OB 0.95 0.66 1.01 1.48
Rosario Central 0.91 0.64 0.87 1.72
San Lorenzo 0.97 0.67 0.73 0.98
Sarmiento 0.84 0.90 0.78 1.36
Independiente Rivadavia 0.88 1.44 0.75 1.29
Tigre 0.85 1.54 0.74 1.48
Cen. Córdoba–SdE 1.02 1.49 0.59 1.81
Deportivo Riestra 0.94 1.33 0.50 1.46