AI Football Tips: Allsvenskan round 14

Matchday 14 of Allsvenskan kicks off on July 13th with Mjällby hosting Malmö FF, and Sirius welcoming GAIS. Interestingly, Mjällby has a rich history dating back to 1925, while Malmö FF was founded in 1913 as a merger between two earlier clubs. Meanwhile, Sirius has its roots in the early 20th century, with the team being formed in 1908, and GAIS has been entertaining fans since 1924. The next day, Djurgården takes on Värnamo, Häcken faces Elfsborg, Kalmar FF battles Brommapojkarna, and Vasteras SK meets Norrköping. On July 15th, Halmstads BK squares off against AIK, while Hammarby welcomes IFK Göteborg.
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Allsvenskan round 14.

Date Home Team Away Team Prediction
2024-07-13 Mjällby Malmö FF 1
2024-07-13 Sirius GAIS 1
2024-07-14 Djurgården Värnamo 1
2024-07-14 Häcken Elfsborg 1
2024-07-14 Kalmar FF Brommapojkarna 1
2024-07-14 Vasteras SK Norrköping 1
2024-07-15 Halmstads BK AIK 1
2024-07-15 Hammarby IFK Göteborg 1

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away.

Date Home Team Away Team Goal Avg.
2024-07-13 Mjallby Malmo FF 3.54
2024-07-13 Sirius GAIS 2.66
2024-07-14 Djurgarden Varnamo 2.55
2024-07-14 Hacken Elfsborg 3.28
2024-07-14 Kalmar Brommapojkarna 3.40
2024-07-14 Vasteras SK Norrkoping 2.93
2024-07-15 Halmstad AIK 3.58
2024-07-15 Hammarby Goteborg 3.08

The median goal  provides a stable measure of a team’s typical scoring performance. Unlike the mean, which can be influenced by outliers, the median is robust and useful for predicting future performance. Please see the table below for the teams median performance at home or away, respectively.

Date Home Team Away Team Median Home Median Away
2024-07-13 Mjallby Malmo FF 3.5 3.0
2024-07-13 Sirius GAIS 2.0 1.0
2024-07-14 Djurgarden Varnamo 2.0 2.5
2024-07-14 Hacken Elfsborg 3.0 3.0
2024-07-14 Kalmar Brommapojkarna 3.0 2.0
2024-07-14 Vasteras SK Norrkoping 1.0 3.0
2024-07-15 Halmstad AIK 2.0 4.0
2024-07-15 Hammarby Goteborg 3.5 3.0

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Malmo FF 3.00 0.29 2.57 1.14
Djurgarden 1.43 1.00 2.83 0.83
Hacken 2.29 1.57 1.43 1.71
AIK 2.57 1.29 1.00 3.33
Mjallby 2.12 1.25 1.33 1.17
Elfsborg 2.71 0.86 0.71 2.00
Hammarby 2.33 0.83 1.00 1.43
Brommapojkarna 1.17 2.33 1.71 1.43
Kalmar 1.50 2.17 1.43 2.29
Halmstad 1.83 1.00 1.00 2.57
Sirius 1.67 1.17 1.14 1.86
Varnamo 0.86 2.00 1.83 0.83
GAIS 1.57 1.00 0.83 1.67
Norrkoping 1.33 2.67 1.14 2.71
Goteborg 0.67 1.50 1.29 1.71
Vasteras SK 0.57 1.43 0.83 1.00