AI Football Tips: Argentina Primera Division

The raw passion, deafening cauldrons of noise, and ruthless intensity of Argentine football take center stage as the Liga Profesional de Fútbol unleashes an absolute blockbuster Fecha 14 across the weekend of October 23–26. As the tournament charges into its decisive final sprint, the scramble for playoff qualification, Copa Libertadores positioning, and championship glory has reached maximum tension. With iconic derbies and generational rivalries colliding across the country, this round promises pure theatrical drama from start to finish.

Sunday’s schedule is nothing short of legendary, headlined by back-to-back heavyweight classics. The Estadio Mâs Monumental will erupt as River Plate welcomes Racing Club in an explosive clash steeped in historic tradition, shortly after Independiente goes head-to-head with arch-rivals Boca Juniors at a rocking Estadio Libertadores de América. The fireworks begin on Saturday with the fierce hostilities of the Clásico del Sur between Banfield and bitter neighborhood foes Lanús, alongside San Lorenzo hosting Newell’s Old Boys at the Nuevo Gasómetro and Rosario Central facing Huracán at the Gigante de Arroyito. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every electrifying duel in this unforgettable Argentine round.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Argentina Primera Division round 29. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team P(H) P(D) P(A) Prediction Asian
2026-10-23 Primera División – Argentina Gimnasia Mendoza Platense 0.4040 0.3287 0.2674 H -0.25
2026-10-23 Primera División – Argentina Gimnasia La Plata Sarmiento 0.7165 0.2175 0.0660 H 1X2
2026-10-24 Primera División – Argentina Tigre Atlético Tucumán 0.6816 0.2364 0.0820 H 1X2
2026-10-24 Primera División – Argentina Banfield Lanús 0.4181 0.3267 0.2553 H +0.5
2026-10-24 Primera División – Argentina Talleres Córdoba Defensa y Justicia 0.5551 0.2917 0.1533 H 1X2
2026-10-24 Primera División – Argentina San Lorenzo Newell’s Old Boys 0.5198 0.3033 0.1769 H 0
2026-10-25 Primera División – Argentina Rosario Central Huracán 0.6965 0.2285 0.0750 H 1X2
2026-10-25 Primera División – Argentina Aldosivi Belgrano 0.3654 0.3323 0.3023 H +0.5
2026-10-25 Primera División – Argentina Independiente Boca Juniors 0.4019 0.3289 0.2692 H +0.5
2026-10-25 Primera División – Argentina River Plate Racing Club 0.8007 0.1652 0.0341 H No bet
2026-10-26 Primera División – Argentina Barracas Central Estudiantes Río Cuarto 0.6521 0.2512 0.0968 H No bet
2026-10-26 Primera División – Argentina Central Córdoba SdE Vélez Sarsfield 0.4353 0.3238 0.2409 H +0.25
2026-10-26 Primera División – Argentina Unión Santa Fe Estudiantes 0.5070 0.3070 0.1859 H 0
2026-10-27 Primera División – Argentina Instituto Deportivo Riestra 0.7545 0.1951 0.0504 H 1X2
2026-10-27 Primera División – Argentina Argentinos Juniors Independiente Rivadavia 0.6271 0.2628 0.1101 H 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-23 Gimnasia Mendoza Platense 43 50 2.43 1.70
2026-10-23 Gimnasia La Plata Sarmiento 57 57 1.58 2.72
2026-10-24 Tigre Atlético Tucumán 50 57 1.88 2.14
2026-10-24 Banfield Lanús 50 33 2.05 1.95
2026-10-24 Talleres Córdoba Defensa y Justicia 40 50 2.18 1.85
2026-10-24 San Lorenzo Newell’s Old Boys 29 50 2.31 1.76
2026-10-25 Rosario Central Huracán 62 44 1.59 2.69
2026-10-25 Aldosivi Belgrano 50 35 1.97 2.03
2026-10-25 Independiente Boca Juniors 50 60 2.64 1.61
2026-10-25 River Plate Racing Club 42 56 1.54 2.85
2026-10-26 Barracas Central Estudiantes Río Cuarto 43 36 1.93 2.07
2026-10-26 Central Córdoba SdE Vélez Sarsfield 36 64 1.95 2.05
2026-10-26 Unión Santa Fe Estudiantes 57 29 1.56 2.78
2026-10-27 Instituto Deportivo Riestra 57 21 1.77 2.31
2026-10-27 Argentinos Juniors Independiente Rivadavia 47 43 1.50 2.99

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-23 Primera División – Argentina Gimnasia Mendoza Platense 2.47 1.68
2026-10-23 Primera División – Argentina Gimnasia La Plata Sarmiento 1.86 2.16
2026-10-24 Primera División – Argentina Tigre Atlético Tucumán 2.75 1.57
2026-10-24 Primera División – Argentina Banfield Lanús 3.23 1.45
2026-10-24 Primera División – Argentina Talleres Córdoba Defensa y Justicia 3.01 1.50
2026-10-24 Primera División – Argentina San Lorenzo Newell’s Old Boys 2.95 1.51
2026-10-25 Primera División – Argentina Rosario Central Huracán 1.84 2.19
2026-10-25 Primera División – Argentina Aldosivi Belgrano 2.85 1.54
2026-10-25 Primera División – Argentina Independiente Boca Juniors 3.31 1.43
2026-10-25 Primera División – Argentina River Plate Racing Club 1.71 2.42
2026-10-26 Primera División – Argentina Barracas Central Estudiantes Río Cuarto 2.58 1.63
2026-10-26 Primera División – Argentina Central Córdoba SdE Vélez Sarsfield 2.94 1.52
2026-10-26 Primera División – Argentina Unión Santa Fe Estudiantes 1.97 2.03
2026-10-27 Primera División – Argentina Instituto Deportivo Riestra 2.02 1.98
2026-10-27 Primera División – Argentina Argentinos Juniors Independiente Rivadavia 1.73 2.36

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Gimnasia Mendoza Platense 0.98 1.60 2.67 3.89 1.35
Gimnasia La Plata Sarmiento 1.00 1.58 2.73 3.76 1.36
Tigre Atlético Tucumán 0.50 2.55 1.65 11.15 1.10
Banfield Lanús 0.44 2.80 1.56 13.65 1.08
Talleres Córdoba Defensa y Justicia 0.67 2.04 1.96 6.85 1.17
San Lorenzo Newell’s Old Boys 0.40 3.05 1.49 16.47 1.06
Rosario Central Huracán 0.78 1.84 2.19 5.39 1.23
Aldosivi Belgrano 0.58 2.28 1.78 8.77 1.13
Independiente Boca Juniors 1.46 1.30 4.29 2.34 1.75
River Plate Racing Club 1.15 1.46 3.16 3.13 1.47
Barracas Central Estudiantes Río Cuarto 0.72 1.95 2.05 6.18 1.19
Central Córdoba SdE Vélez Sarsfield 1.17 1.45 3.21 3.08 1.48
Unión Santa Fe Estudiantes 1.28 1.39 3.59 2.74 1.58
Instituto Deportivo Riestra 0.50 2.53 1.65 11.01 1.10
Argentinos Juniors Independiente Rivadavia 1.12 1.48 3.07 3.24 1.45

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Gimnasia Mendoza Platense 34.5 17.2 23.7
Gimnasia La Plata Sarmiento 29.0 24.1 27.3
Tigre Atlético Tucumán 24.1 13.8 14.0
Banfield Lanús 17.2 10.0 7.5
Talleres Córdoba Defensa y Justicia 13.3 34.5 18.9
San Lorenzo Newell’s Old Boys 20.0 6.9 6.1
Rosario Central Huracán 18.8 22.6 17.5
Aldosivi Belgrano 20.7 9.1 8.2
Independiente Boca Juniors 23.3 33.3 29.8
River Plate Racing Club 21.2 16.1 14.4
Barracas Central Estudiantes Río Cuarto 20.7 27.6 22.9
Central Córdoba SdE Vélez Sarsfield 24.1 40.0 35.5
Unión Santa Fe Estudiantes 19.4 16.7 13.6
Instituto Deportivo Riestra 17.2 20.7 15.0
Argentinos Juniors Independiente Rivadavia 31.2 33.3 37.7

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Gimnasia Mendoza Platense 8.48 2.87 1.54
Gimnasia La Plata Sarmiento 8.97 2.45 1.69
Tigre Atlético Tucumán 9.03 2.41 1.71
Banfield Lanús 8.96 2.45 1.69
Talleres Córdoba Defensa y Justicia 9.35 2.19 1.84
San Lorenzo Newell’s Old Boys 7.26 4.77 1.26
Rosario Central Huracán 10.45 1.71 2.41
Aldosivi Belgrano 8.31 3.05 1.49
Independiente Boca Juniors 9.71 2.01 1.99
River Plate Racing Club 8.56 2.79 1.56
Barracas Central Estudiantes Río Cuarto 9.42 2.16 1.86
Central Córdoba SdE Vélez Sarsfield 9.36 2.19 1.84
Unión Santa Fe Estudiantes 7.39 4.48 1.29
Instituto Deportivo Riestra 6.54 7.10 1.16
Argentinos Juniors Independiente Rivadavia 9.31 2.22 1.82

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Independiente Rivadavia 2.12 1.31 0.93 1.21
Boca Juniors 1.40 0.60 1.60 1.13
Unión Santa Fe 1.57 1.07 1.29 1.76
River Plate 1.58 1.05 1.21 0.71
Rosario Central 1.56 0.81 1.25 1.06
Instituto 1.57 0.93 1.00 0.93
Independiente 1.29 1.29 1.25 1.12
Gimnasia La Plata 1.50 1.21 1.06 1.29
Defensa y Justicia 1.20 0.93 1.29 1.36
Sarmiento 1.33 0.87 1.07 1.86
Vélez Sarsfield 1.19 0.75 1.21 1.00
Argentinos Juniors 1.41 0.53 0.93 1.07
Estudiantes 1.50 0.62 0.79 0.93
Belgrano 1.31 0.88 1.00 0.71
Lanús 1.13 0.73 1.13 1.00
Tigre 1.07 0.86 1.07 1.20
Banfield 1.21 1.14 0.93 1.47
Racing Club 1.07 1.27 1.06 1.12
Huracán 1.13 0.80 0.94 1.00
Gimnasia Mendoza 1.29 0.79 0.73 1.60
Newell’s Old Boys 1.07 1.00 0.86 1.57
Talleres Córdoba 0.93 1.13 1.00 1.20
Atlético Tucumán 0.93 1.07 0.93 1.21
Barracas Central 0.93 0.86 0.87 0.87
San Lorenzo 1.00 1.07 0.56 0.81
Platense 0.60 1.27 0.93 1.07
Central Córdoba SdE 1.07 1.21 0.47 1.47
Aldosivi 0.71 1.00 0.67 1.80
Deportivo Riestra 0.80 0.73 0.21 1.00
Estudiantes Río Cuarto 0.53 1.07 0.36 1.79

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-23 Primera División – Argentina Gimnasia Mendoza Platense 1 1 14.9
2026-10-23 Primera División – Argentina Gimnasia La Plata Sarmiento 1 1 14.3
2026-10-24 Primera División – Argentina Tigre Atlético Tucumán 1 1 15.0
2026-10-24 Primera División – Argentina Banfield Lanús 1 1 14.9
2026-10-24 Primera División – Argentina Talleres Córdoba Defensa y Justicia 1 1 14.8
2026-10-24 Primera División – Argentina San Lorenzo Newell’s Old Boys 0 0 15.1
2026-10-25 Primera División – Argentina Rosario Central Huracán 1 1 14.3
2026-10-25 Primera División – Argentina Aldosivi Belgrano 1 1 14.8
2026-10-25 Primera División – Argentina Independiente Boca Juniors 0 0 15.7
2026-10-25 Primera División – Argentina River Plate Racing Club 1 1 14.2
2026-10-26 Primera División – Argentina Barracas Central Estudiantes Río Cuarto 1 1 15.0
2026-10-26 Primera División – Argentina Central Córdoba SdE Vélez Sarsfield 1 1 15.0
2026-10-26 Primera División – Argentina Unión Santa Fe Estudiantes 1 1 14.2
2026-10-27 Primera División – Argentina Instituto Deportivo Riestra 1 1 14.5
2026-10-27 Primera División – Argentina Argentinos Juniors Independiente Rivadavia 1 1 14.0


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