French Ligue 1 charges into Matchday 10 from November 6 to 8, promising intense drama and high-tempo action across the country as the title picture and European scrap take shape. The weekend gets underway on Friday night at Stadium de Toulouse as Toulouse FC host RC Strasbourg Alsace in a crucial mid-table duel. Saturday’s action is highlighted by reigning champions Paris Saint-Germain entertaining ESTAC Troyes under the lights at the Parc des Princes, alongside a battle of regional neighbors as AJ Auxerre square off against Paris FC at the Stade Abbé-Deschamps.
Sunday delivers a blockbuster schedule headlined by a ferocious evening showdown at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis, where RC Lens lock horns with Olympique de Marseille in an electric atmosphere. Elsewhere, Stade Rennais FC battle LOSC Lille in a European qualification duel, Stade Brestois 29 host Olympique Lyonnais, Angers SCO play OGC Nice, and Le Mans FC take on AS Monaco. In a division distinguished by blistering pace and athletic intensity, every metric counts. Unlock our cutting-edge AI forecasts, tactical simulations, and comprehensive match analytics to dominate your coverage of French Ligue 1.
1X2 Match Projections
We let our algorithms crunch the numbers, dig into recent team stats, and do the heavy lifting so you don’t have to! Here is our 1X2 outlook for Ligue 1 at a glance.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | 1X2 Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | Toulouse | Strasbourg | 1 |
| 2026-11-07 | Auxerre | Paris | 2 |
| 2026-11-07 | PSG | Troyes | 1 |
| 2026-11-08 | Rennes | Lille | 2 |
| 2026-11-08 | Le Mans | Monaco | 2 |
| 2026-11-08 | Angers SCO | Nice | 2 |
| 2026-11-08 | Brest | Olympique Lyonnais | X |
| 2026-11-08 | Le Havre | Lorient | 2 |
| 2026-11-08 | Lens | Olympique Marseille | X |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | Toulouse | Strasbourg | 25 | 60 | 1.12 | 9.38 |
| 2026-11-07 | Auxerre | Paris | 75 | 50 | 1.37 | 3.71 |
| 2026-11-07 | PSG | Troyes | 67 | 25 | 1.28 | 4.55 |
| 2026-11-08 | Rennes | Lille | 60 | 50 | 1.34 | 3.97 |
| 2026-11-08 | Le Mans | Monaco | 75 | 60 | 2.28 | 1.78 |
| 2026-11-08 | Angers SCO | Nice | 40 | 50 | 1.44 | 3.26 |
| 2026-11-08 | Brest | Olympique Lyonnais | 75 | 25 | 1.54 | 2.84 |
| 2026-11-08 | Le Havre | Lorient | 60 | 25 | 1.45 | 3.20 |
| 2026-11-08 | Lens | Olympique Marseille | 75 | 25 | 1.79 | 2.26 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse | Strasbourg | 1.35 | 3.86 |
| 2026-11-07 | Ligue 1 | Auxerre | Paris | 1.52 | 2.92 |
| 2026-11-07 | Ligue 1 | PSG | Troyes | 1.93 | 2.08 |
| 2026-11-08 | Ligue 1 | Rennes | Lille | 1.65 | 2.55 |
| 2026-11-08 | Ligue 1 | Le Mans | Monaco | 2.51 | 1.66 |
| 2026-11-08 | Ligue 1 | Angers SCO | Nice | 1.71 | 2.41 |
| 2026-11-08 | Ligue 1 | Brest | Olympique Lyonnais | 1.95 | 2.06 |
| 2026-11-08 | Ligue 1 | Le Havre | Lorient | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| 2026-11-08 | Ligue 1 | Lens | Olympique Marseille | 1.92 | 2.08 |
First Half Goals
The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.
| Home Team | Away Team | HT Avg | O 0.5 FH | U 0.5 FH | O 1.5 FH | U 1.5 FH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | Strasbourg | 0.83 | 1.77 | 2.30 | 4.92 | 1.26 |
| Auxerre | Paris | 1.07 | 1.52 | 2.91 | 3.45 | 1.41 |
| PSG | Troyes | 0.93 | 1.65 | 2.55 | 4.16 | 1.32 |
| Rennes | Lille | 1.35 | 1.35 | 3.87 | 2.55 | 1.64 |
| Le Mans | Monaco | 1.13 | 1.47 | 3.11 | 3.19 | 1.46 |
| Angers SCO | Nice | 1.45 | 1.31 | 4.26 | 2.35 | 1.74 |
| Brest | Olympique Lyonnais | 1.02 | 1.56 | 2.78 | 3.66 | 1.38 |
| Le Havre | Lorient | 0.94 | 1.64 | 2.57 | 4.12 | 1.32 |
| Lens | Olympique Marseille | 1.03 | 1.56 | 2.80 | 3.63 | 1.38 |
Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)
The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.
| Home Team | Away Team | EG Home (%) | EG Away (%) | Poisson ≥1 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | Strasbourg | 22.2 | 11.1 | 7.1 |
| Auxerre | Paris | 33.3 | 22.2 | 19.9 |
| PSG | Troyes | 22.2 | 22.2 | 13.8 |
| Rennes | Lille | 77.8 | 33.3 | 54.1 |
| Le Mans | Monaco | 33.3 | 22.2 | 19.9 |
| Angers SCO | Nice | 55.6 | 33.3 | 42.6 |
| Brest | Olympique Lyonnais | 66.7 | 11.1 | 19.9 |
| Le Havre | Lorient | 44.4 | 11.1 | 13.8 |
| Lens | Olympique Marseille | 22.2 | 55.6 | 31.0 |
Corners Over/Under 9.5
The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.
| Home Team | Away Team | Corner Avg | +9.5 odds | -9.5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | Strasbourg | 7.69 | 3.90 | 1.34 |
| Auxerre | Paris | 9.84 | 1.94 | 2.06 |
| PSG | Troyes | 8.60 | 2.75 | 1.57 |
| Rennes | Lille | 9.77 | 1.98 | 2.02 |
| Le Mans | Monaco | 7.73 | 3.83 | 1.35 |
| Angers SCO | Nice | 11.37 | 1.47 | 3.14 |
| Brest | Olympique Lyonnais | 9.74 | 1.99 | 2.01 |
| Le Havre | Lorient | 9.73 | 1.99 | 2.01 |
| Lens | Olympique Marseille | 8.66 | 2.70 | 1.59 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSG | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.50 | 1.17 |
| Rennes | 2.60 | 1.00 | 1.75 | 3.50 |
| Olympique Marseille | 2.60 | 1.60 | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Strasbourg | 2.25 | 1.50 | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Brest | 2.00 | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Lens | 2.25 | 1.25 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Paris | 2.40 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Olympique Lyonnais | 2.40 | 0.60 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Nice | 2.00 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| Auxerre | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.60 | 3.60 |
| Toulouse | 0.75 | 1.25 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Lille | 1.40 | 0.60 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Monaco | 1.75 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Le Mans | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Angers SCO | 1.00 | 1.80 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Le Havre | 0.60 | 2.20 | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Lorient | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Troyes | 1.00 | 2.20 | 0.50 | 1.25 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score | Score Prob (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse | Strasbourg | 1 | 2 | 7.7 |
| 2026-11-07 | Ligue 1 | Auxerre | Paris | 1 | 1 | 13.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | Ligue 1 | PSG | Troyes | 1 | 1 | 10.8 |
| 2026-11-08 | Ligue 1 | Rennes | Lille | 1 | 1 | 13.5 |
| 2026-11-08 | Ligue 1 | Le Mans | Monaco | 1 | 0 | 14.5 |
| 2026-11-08 | Ligue 1 | Angers SCO | Nice | 1 | 1 | 13.2 |
| 2026-11-08 | Ligue 1 | Brest | Olympique Lyonnais | 1 | 1 | 14.0 |
| 2026-11-08 | Ligue 1 | Le Havre | Lorient | 1 | 1 | 11.7 |
| 2026-11-08 | Ligue 1 | Lens | Olympique Marseille | 1 | 1 | 12.7 |


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