AI Football Tips: Ligue 2 round 12

The intense marathon of French Ligue 2 enters Matchweek 12 on Friday, November 6, featuring an exhilarating multiplex of simultaneous fixtures with monumental stakes for the promotion chase and survival scrap. The slate is headlined by traditional titans AS Saint-Étienne hosting Stade Lavallois MFC in a thunderous atmosphere at the Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, while promotion rivals Montpellier HSC square off against FC Metz in a high-caliber clash of fallen heavyweights. Elsewhere, Grenoble Foot 38 take on Stade de Reims at the Stade des Alpes, and Pau FC welcome FC Nantes in a severe test of credentials.

The round is completed by equally captivating matchups, including Clermont Foot meeting Rodez AF, historic rivals AS Nancy Lorraine battling FC Sochaux-Montbéliard at the Stade Marcel Picot, Dijon FCO taking on Red Star FC, USL Dunkerque facing EA Guingamp, and US Boulogne hosting FC Annecy. With physical intensity, defensive grit, and unpredictable momentum swings defining France’s second tier, data-backed models provide a decisive advantage. Tap into our sophisticated AI projections, probabilistic match simulations, and advanced performance analytics to stay ahead on every Ligue 2 encounter.

1X2 Match Projections

We let our algorithms crunch the numbers, dig into recent team stats, and do the heavy lifting so you don’t have to! Here is our 1X2 outlook for Ligue 2 at a glance.

Date Home Team Away Team 1X2 Pick
2026-11-06 Boulogne Annecy 2
2026-11-06 Dijon Red Star 2
2026-11-06 Grenoble Foot 38 Reims 2
2026-11-06 Dunkerque Guingamp 2
2026-11-06 Montpellier Metz 1
2026-11-06 Nancy Sochaux 1
2026-11-07 Clermont Rodez 2
2026-11-07 Pau Nantes 1
2026-11-07 Saint-Étienne Laval 1

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-11-06 Boulogne Annecy 80 67 1.52 2.92
2026-11-06 Dijon Red Star 80 83 2.21 1.83
2026-11-06 Grenoble Foot 38 Reims 60 60 1.72 2.38
2026-11-06 Dunkerque Guingamp 67 40 1.33 4.04
2026-11-06 Montpellier Metz 40 60 1.53 2.89
2026-11-06 Nancy Sochaux 20 50 1.53 2.89
2026-11-07 Clermont Rodez 33 60 1.80 2.25
2026-11-07 Pau Nantes 50 60 1.63 2.58
2026-11-07 Saint-Étienne Laval 40 80 1.64 2.57

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-11-06 Ligue 2 Boulogne Annecy 1.94 2.07
2026-11-06 Ligue 2 Dijon Red Star 1.53 2.88
2026-11-06 Ligue 2 Grenoble Foot 38 Reims 1.91 2.10
2026-11-06 Ligue 2 Dunkerque Guingamp 1.86 2.17
2026-11-06 Ligue 2 Montpellier Metz 1.76 2.32
2026-11-06 Ligue 2 Nancy Sochaux 2.39 1.72
2026-11-07 Ligue 2 Clermont Rodez 2.02 1.98
2026-11-07 Ligue 2 Pau Nantes 2.12 1.90
2026-11-07 Ligue 2 Saint-Étienne Laval 1.55 2.81

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Boulogne Annecy 0.75 1.90 2.11 5.80 1.21
Dijon Red Star 1.69 1.23 5.40 1.99 2.01
Grenoble Foot 38 Reims 0.82 1.79 2.27 5.04 1.25
Dunkerque Guingamp 1.00 1.58 2.73 3.77 1.36
Montpellier Metz 0.76 1.87 2.15 5.61 1.22
Nancy Sochaux 0.73 1.94 2.07 6.05 1.20
Clermont Rodez 1.40 1.33 4.04 2.46 1.68
Pau Nantes 0.84 1.77 2.31 4.90 1.26
Saint-Étienne Laval 1.03 1.56 2.80 3.63 1.38

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Boulogne Annecy 18.2 27.3 16.1
Dijon Red Star 27.3 36.4 29.6
Grenoble Foot 38 Reims 18.2 45.5 25.3
Dunkerque Guingamp 9.1 45.5 13.6
Montpellier Metz 9.1 36.4 11.0
Nancy Sochaux 9.1 45.5 13.6
Clermont Rodez 18.2 63.6 33.6
Pau Nantes 36.4 27.3 29.6
Saint-Étienne Laval 27.3 9.1 8.4

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Boulogne Annecy 11.23 1.50 3.01
Dijon Red Star 8.26 3.10 1.48
Grenoble Foot 38 Reims 9.35 2.20 1.84
Dunkerque Guingamp 8.23 3.14 1.47
Montpellier Metz 8.12 3.28 1.44
Nancy Sochaux 9.05 2.39 1.72
Clermont Rodez 9.49 2.12 1.90
Pau Nantes 8.05 3.36 1.42
Saint-Étienne Laval 9.92 1.91 2.10

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Saint-Étienne 2.60 0.40 1.67 1.50
Reims 2.50 1.50 1.40 0.60
Dijon 2.00 2.00 1.67 1.50
Rodez 1.50 1.83 1.60 2.20
Metz 2.17 1.67 0.80 1.40
Montpellier 1.20 0.40 1.67 0.67
Nancy 1.00 0.60 1.83 1.00
Guingamp 1.83 1.50 1.00 1.20
Pau 1.33 1.00 1.60 1.00
Red Star 0.60 1.80 1.83 1.17
Annecy 1.00 1.60 1.50 1.17
Laval 1.33 1.67 1.20 2.20
Dunkerque 1.33 1.17 1.20 2.00
Nantes 1.00 1.67 1.20 1.60
Grenoble Foot 38 0.60 1.60 1.17 2.00
Clermont 0.50 1.00 1.40 1.80
Sochaux 0.80 1.40 0.67 1.17
Boulogne 0.80 1.00 0.50 0.50

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-11-06 Ligue 2 Boulogne Annecy 1 1 12.1
2026-11-06 Ligue 2 Dijon Red Star 1 0 15.0
2026-11-06 Ligue 2 Grenoble Foot 38 Reims 1 1 13.8
2026-11-06 Ligue 2 Dunkerque Guingamp 1 2 9.5
2026-11-06 Ligue 2 Montpellier Metz 1 1 12.2
2026-11-06 Ligue 2 Nancy Sochaux 0 2 11.0
2026-11-07 Ligue 2 Clermont Rodez 1 1 11.0
2026-11-07 Ligue 2 Pau Nantes 1 1 12.3
2026-11-07 Ligue 2 Saint-Étienne Laval 1 1 12.2


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