AI Football Tips: Allsvenskan round 25

Following the cup drama of the Taça de Portugal, championship football returns to the forefront with maximum intensity as the Primeira Liga launches into a captivating Matchweek 9 from October 23–26. As the autumn campaign gathers full momentum, the battle for the title and coveted UEFA Champions League positions is heating up significantly. Portugal’s elite clubs face treacherous road trips and grueling tactical tests across the mainland and the Atlantic islands, where even the slightest slip-up could prove costly in the hunt for silverware.

Saturday’s action is highlighted by a high-stakes prime-time clash in Barcelos, where FC Porto must navigate a notoriously difficult away test against a resilient Gil Vicente side. On Sunday, title chasers Sporting CP return to the roar of the Estádio José Alvalade to host Académico de Viseu, while Sporting Braga makes the island trip to Madeira to battle CD Nacional, alongside an intense Minho duel between Rio Ave and FC Famalicão. The round reaches its conclusion on Monday evening as SL Benfica embarks on a testing flight across the Atlantic to face CD Santa Clara in the Azores, following Friday’s fiery opener between Vitória de Guimarães and Marítimo. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every hard-fought encounter in this thrilling Portuguese round.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Allsvenskan round 25. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team P(H) P(D) P(A) Prediction Asian
2026-10-23 Allsvenskan Västerås SK Halmstad 0.5724 0.2853 0.1422 H 1X2
2026-10-23 Allsvenskan Elfsborg Malmö FF 0.3572 0.3328 0.3100 H 1X2
2026-10-24 Allsvenskan Sirius AIK 0.5056 0.3074 0.1870 H 1X2
2026-10-24 Allsvenskan Häcken Degerfors 0.6266 0.2630 0.1104 H No bet
2026-10-24 Allsvenskan Djurgården Örgryte 0.7146 0.2185 0.0668 H No bet
2026-10-24 Allsvenskan Kalmar Brommapojkarna 0.5468 0.2945 0.1586 H 1X2
2026-10-25 Allsvenskan GAIS IFK Göteborg 0.4336 0.3241 0.2423 H -0.25
2026-10-25 Allsvenskan Mjällby Hammarby 0.0681 0.2202 0.7116 A 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-23 Västerås SK Halmstad 33 50 3.68 1.37
2026-10-23 Elfsborg Malmö FF 50 45 2.17 1.85
2026-10-24 Sirius AIK 58 83 2.00 2.00
2026-10-24 Häcken Degerfors 75 42 2.73 1.58
2026-10-24 Djurgården Örgryte 50 25 2.31 1.77
2026-10-24 Kalmar Brommapojkarna 45 75 2.35 1.74
2026-10-25 GAIS IFK Göteborg 17 58 3.35 1.43
2026-10-25 Mjällby Hammarby 33 50 2.88 1.53

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-23 Allsvenskan Västerås SK Halmstad 1.89 2.13
2026-10-23 Allsvenskan Elfsborg Malmö FF 2.22 1.82
2026-10-24 Allsvenskan Sirius AIK 1.74 2.34
2026-10-24 Allsvenskan Häcken Degerfors 2.06 1.94
2026-10-24 Allsvenskan Djurgården Örgryte 1.52 2.94
2026-10-24 Allsvenskan Kalmar Brommapojkarna 1.78 2.28
2026-10-25 Allsvenskan GAIS IFK Göteborg 1.73 2.37
2026-10-25 Allsvenskan Mjällby Hammarby 2.56 1.64

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Västerås SK Halmstad 1.32 1.36 3.75 2.62 1.62
Elfsborg Malmö FF 1.10 1.50 2.99 3.34 1.43
Sirius AIK 1.55 1.27 4.69 2.19 1.84
Häcken Degerfors 1.35 1.35 3.86 2.55 1.64
Djurgården Örgryte 1.64 1.24 5.17 2.05 1.96
Kalmar Brommapojkarna 1.61 1.25 5.02 2.09 1.92
GAIS IFK Göteborg 1.17 1.45 3.22 3.07 1.48
Mjällby Hammarby 0.76 1.88 2.14 5.66 1.21

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Västerås SK Halmstad 50.0 20.8 25.2
Elfsborg Malmö FF 29.2 41.7 28.7
Sirius AIK 45.8 29.2 31.1
Häcken Degerfors 37.5 33.3 29.4
Djurgården Örgryte 41.7 37.5 35.3
Kalmar Brommapojkarna 50.0 29.2 33.4
GAIS IFK Göteborg 20.8 25.0 13.5
Mjällby Hammarby 37.5 45.8 38.0

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Västerås SK Halmstad 11.00 1.55 2.82
Elfsborg Malmö FF 9.97 1.89 2.13
Sirius AIK 10.15 1.81 2.23
Häcken Degerfors 10.91 1.57 2.74
Djurgården Örgryte 8.98 2.44 1.69
Kalmar Brommapojkarna 9.76 1.98 2.02
GAIS IFK Göteborg 11.53 1.43 3.30
Mjällby Hammarby 9.63 2.04 1.96

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Sirius 2.25 1.42 2.33 1.08
Djurgården 2.50 1.17 1.67 0.58
Hammarby 2.83 0.58 1.33 1.17
Häcken 1.75 1.50 1.83 1.00
AIK 1.58 2.25 1.58 1.25
Malmö FF 1.92 1.62 1.18 1.18
Elfsborg 1.75 0.75 1.33 1.25
Brommapojkarna 1.25 1.25 1.75 2.33
Västerås SK 1.50 1.08 1.42 1.92
IFK Göteborg 1.33 1.08 1.50 2.50
GAIS 1.33 0.42 1.17 1.67
Örgryte 1.75 1.83 0.67 2.67
Mjällby 1.00 1.58 1.33 1.75
Kalmar 1.27 1.55 0.69 1.62
Degerfors 1.00 1.42 0.75 1.67
Halmstad 0.75 1.58 0.58 2.17

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-23 Allsvenskan Västerås SK Halmstad 1 1 14.1
2026-10-23 Allsvenskan Elfsborg Malmö FF 1 1 14.2
2026-10-24 Allsvenskan Sirius AIK 1 1 13.3
2026-10-24 Allsvenskan Häcken Degerfors 1 1 13.9
2026-10-24 Allsvenskan Djurgården Örgryte 1 1 12.2
2026-10-24 Allsvenskan Kalmar Brommapojkarna 1 1 13.3
2026-10-25 Allsvenskan GAIS IFK Göteborg 1 1 14.7
2026-10-25 Allsvenskan Mjällby Hammarby 1 1 13.5


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