The bitter Scandinavian autumn chill sweeps across Norway as the Eliteserien charges into a critical Round 25 over the weekend of October 24–25. With just five fixtures remaining in the 2026 campaign, the championship battle, the fight for European qualification berths, and the nerve-wracking relegation dogfight have reached peak intensity. The margin for error has evaporated entirely, and every duel on the pitch carries enormous consequences for the final standings.
Saturday’s action is headlined by a blockbuster clash north of the Arctic Circle at the Aspmyra Stadion, where title contenders Bodø/Glimt welcome capital giants Vålerenga in an electric atmosphere. The drama continues on Sunday with a high-stakes European showdown between Molde FK and a resilient Fredrikstad FK side looking to secure continental football. Meanwhile, the pressure is immense at the foot of the table as Sarpsborg 08 battles Aalesund in a crucial survival clash, while Kristiansund BK squares off against KFUM Oslo. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every hard-fought encounter in this thrilling Eliteserien round.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Eliteserien round 24. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | P(H) | P(D) | P(A) | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Eliteserien | FK Bodo – Glimt | Vålerenga | 0.8229 | 0.1498 | 0.0273 | H | No bet |
| 2026-10-24 | Eliteserien | HamKam | Rosenborg | 0.1902 | 0.3087 | 0.5011 | A | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eliteserien | Viking | Tromsø | 0.5450 | 0.2952 | 0.1599 | H | No bet |
| 2026-10-25 | Eliteserien | Sarpsborg 08 | Aalesund | 0.4999 | 0.3091 | 0.1911 | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eliteserien | Start | Sandefjord | 0.4922 | 0.3111 | 0.1967 | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eliteserien | Kristiansund | KFUM | 0.5613 | 0.2894 | 0.1493 | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eliteserien | Lillestrøm | Brann | 0.2849 | 0.3309 | 0.3843 | A | 0 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eliteserien | Molde | Fredrikstad | 0.7539 | 0.1954 | 0.0507 | H | No bet |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | FK Bodo – Glimt | Vålerenga | 36 | 55 | 1.30 | 4.36 |
| 2026-10-24 | HamKam | Rosenborg | 64 | 27 | 1.60 | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-25 | Viking | Tromsø | 73 | 64 | 1.31 | 4.24 |
| 2026-10-25 | Sarpsborg 08 | Aalesund | 64 | 82 | 1.54 | 2.87 |
| 2026-10-25 | Start | Sandefjord | 55 | 73 | 1.56 | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-25 | Kristiansund | KFUM | 64 | 73 | 1.74 | 2.34 |
| 2026-10-25 | Lillestrøm | Brann | 64 | 73 | 1.58 | 2.73 |
| 2026-10-25 | Molde | Fredrikstad | 67 | 58 | 1.37 | 3.70 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Eliteserien | FK Bodo – Glimt | Vålerenga | 1.10 | 11.31 |
| 2026-10-24 | Eliteserien | HamKam | Rosenborg | 1.71 | 2.40 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eliteserien | Viking | Tromsø | 1.12 | 9.12 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eliteserien | Sarpsborg 08 | Aalesund | 1.61 | 2.63 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eliteserien | Start | Sandefjord | 1.80 | 2.25 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eliteserien | Kristiansund | KFUM | 1.90 | 2.11 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eliteserien | Lillestrøm | Brann | 1.56 | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eliteserien | Molde | Fredrikstad | 1.25 | 4.93 |
First Half Goals
The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.
| Home Team | Away Team | HT Avg | O 0.5 FH | U 0.5 FH | O 1.5 FH | U 1.5 FH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Bodo – Glimt | Vålerenga | 1.80 | 1.20 | 6.08 | 1.86 | 2.17 |
| HamKam | Rosenborg | 1.33 | 1.36 | 3.78 | 2.61 | 1.62 |
| Viking | Tromsø | 1.90 | 1.18 | 6.69 | 1.77 | 2.31 |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Aalesund | 1.96 | 1.16 | 7.07 | 1.72 | 2.39 |
| Start | Sandefjord | 1.41 | 1.32 | 4.08 | 2.44 | 1.70 |
| Kristiansund | KFUM | 1.46 | 1.30 | 4.33 | 2.32 | 1.76 |
| Lillestrøm | Brann | 1.58 | 1.26 | 4.86 | 2.13 | 1.88 |
| Molde | Fredrikstad | 1.43 | 1.32 | 4.17 | 2.40 | 1.72 |
Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)
The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.
| Home Team | Away Team | EG Home (%) | EG Away (%) | Poisson ≥1 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Bodo – Glimt | Vålerenga | 13.0 | 39.1 | 12.4 |
| HamKam | Rosenborg | 21.7 | 52.2 | 25.5 |
| Viking | Tromsø | 65.2 | 30.4 | 40.2 |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Aalesund | 21.7 | 52.2 | 25.5 |
| Start | Sandefjord | 30.4 | 39.1 | 26.6 |
| Kristiansund | KFUM | 34.8 | 43.5 | 32.4 |
| Lillestrøm | Brann | 47.8 | 43.5 | 41.7 |
| Molde | Fredrikstad | 47.8 | 34.8 | 35.0 |
Corners Over/Under 9.5
The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.
| Home Team | Away Team | Corner Avg | +9.5 odds | -9.5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Bodo – Glimt | Vålerenga | 11.83 | 1.38 | 3.63 |
| HamKam | Rosenborg | 10.79 | 1.61 | 2.65 |
| Viking | Tromsø | 10.30 | 1.76 | 2.32 |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Aalesund | 12.72 | 1.26 | 4.91 |
| Start | Sandefjord | 10.90 | 1.58 | 2.74 |
| Kristiansund | KFUM | 9.58 | 2.07 | 1.93 |
| Lillestrøm | Brann | 11.85 | 1.38 | 3.66 |
| Molde | Fredrikstad | 10.49 | 1.70 | 2.44 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking | 3.73 | 1.09 | 1.50 | 0.83 |
| FK Bodo – Glimt | 3.09 | 0.64 | 2.00 | 1.08 |
| Molde | 2.50 | 1.17 | 2.00 | 1.91 |
| Rosenborg | 2.33 | 1.17 | 1.36 | 1.55 |
| Tromsø | 1.83 | 0.83 | 1.82 | 1.91 |
| Brann | 1.67 | 1.50 | 1.82 | 1.73 |
| Aalesund | 2.00 | 2.50 | 1.36 | 1.91 |
| Vålerenga | 1.92 | 1.67 | 1.36 | 2.36 |
| HamKam | 1.55 | 1.91 | 1.33 | 2.25 |
| Lillestrøm | 1.73 | 1.55 | 1.08 | 1.17 |
| Fredrikstad | 1.27 | 1.09 | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| KFUM | 1.25 | 1.17 | 1.18 | 2.09 |
| Sarpsborg 08 | 1.09 | 1.36 | 1.33 | 1.58 |
| Start | 1.27 | 1.73 | 0.92 | 2.92 |
| Kristiansund | 1.27 | 1.64 | 0.75 | 2.42 |
| Sandefjord | 0.83 | 1.00 | 1.09 | 1.64 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score | Score Prob (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Eliteserien | FK Bodo – Glimt | Vålerenga | 1 | 3 | 8.5 |
| 2026-10-24 | Eliteserien | HamKam | Rosenborg | 1 | 1 | 10.1 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eliteserien | Viking | Tromsø | 1 | 2 | 8.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eliteserien | Sarpsborg 08 | Aalesund | 1 | 1 | 11.7 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eliteserien | Start | Sandefjord | 1 | 1 | 12.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eliteserien | Kristiansund | KFUM | 1 | 1 | 13.8 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eliteserien | Lillestrøm | Brann | 1 | 1 | 11.8 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eliteserien | Molde | Fredrikstad | 1 | 2 | 9.3 |


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