The electric attacking tempo, prolific goalscoring, and world-class drama of Dutch football take center stage once again as the Eredivisie unleashes an absolute blockbuster Matchweek 10 over the weekend of October 23–25. As the 2026/27 campaign hits double figures in fixtures played, the battle for the championship and coveted European places is accelerating at a ferocious pace. With the traditional powerhouses going head-to-head, this round promises to reshape the title race and send shockwaves through the upper reaches of the table.
Sunday’s schedule is highlighted by an absolute colossus at the Philips Stadion, where reigning giants PSV Eindhoven clash with bitter rivals Feyenoord in a thunderous edition of De Kraker loaded with title-race implications. The excitement continues later that evening at the AFAS Stadion, where European contenders AZ Alkmaar go toe-to-toe with FC Twente in a high-stakes top-four showdown, while AFC Ajax faces a testing trip to Rotterdam to battle Sparta Rotterdam at Het Kasteel. The weekend is rounded out by Saturday battles including FC Utrecht hosting PEC Zwolle and ADO Den Haag meeting SC Heerenveen. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every electrifying encounter in this monumental Eredivisie round.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Eredivisie round 10. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | P(H) | P(D) | P(A) | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Eredivisie | Go Ahead Eagles | Telstar | 0.7440 | 0.2015 | 0.0546 | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-24 | Eredivisie | Utrecht | PEC Zwolle | 0.6441 | 0.2550 | 0.1009 | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-24 | Eredivisie | Willem II | Cambuur | 0.3002 | 0.3322 | 0.3676 | A | 0 |
| 2026-10-24 | Eredivisie | ADO Den Haag | Heerenveen | 0.2615 | 0.3277 | 0.4107 | A | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eredivisie | Fortuna Sittard | Excelsior | 0.3678 | 0.3322 | 0.3000 | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eredivisie | PSV | Feyenoord | 0.5459 | 0.2949 | 0.1593 | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eredivisie | NEC | Groningen | 0.7068 | 0.2229 | 0.0703 | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eredivisie | Sparta Rotterdam | Ajax | 0.1080 | 0.2610 | 0.6310 | A | 1X2 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eredivisie | AZ | Twente | 0.5961 | 0.2761 | 0.1279 | H | 1X2 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Go Ahead Eagles | Telstar | 100 | 25 | 1.63 | 2.59 |
| 2026-10-24 | Utrecht | PEC Zwolle | 100 | 50 | 1.44 | 3.28 |
| 2026-10-24 | Willem II | Cambuur | 50 | 75 | 1.30 | 4.31 |
| 2026-10-24 | ADO Den Haag | Heerenveen | 100 | 50 | 1.67 | 2.49 |
| 2026-10-25 | Fortuna Sittard | Excelsior | 75 | 40 | 1.42 | 3.40 |
| 2026-10-25 | PSV | Feyenoord | 75 | 60 | 1.51 | 2.98 |
| 2026-10-25 | NEC | Groningen | 100 | 100 | 1.34 | 3.93 |
| 2026-10-25 | Sparta Rotterdam | Ajax | 60 | 50 | 1.30 | 4.36 |
| 2026-10-25 | AZ | Twente | 50 | 75 | 1.29 | 4.46 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Eredivisie | Go Ahead Eagles | Telstar | 1.47 | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-24 | Eredivisie | Utrecht | PEC Zwolle | 1.26 | 4.80 |
| 2026-10-24 | Eredivisie | Willem II | Cambuur | 1.13 | 8.46 |
| 2026-10-24 | Eredivisie | ADO Den Haag | Heerenveen | 1.28 | 4.59 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eredivisie | Fortuna Sittard | Excelsior | 1.32 | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eredivisie | PSV | Feyenoord | 1.75 | 2.34 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eredivisie | NEC | Groningen | 1.22 | 5.49 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eredivisie | Sparta Rotterdam | Ajax | 1.07 | 15.84 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eredivisie | AZ | Twente | 1.34 | 3.93 |
First Half Goals
The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.
| Home Team | Away Team | HT Avg | O 0.5 FH | U 0.5 FH | O 1.5 FH | U 1.5 FH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Go Ahead Eagles | Telstar | 1.10 | 1.50 | 3.01 | 3.31 | 1.43 |
| Utrecht | PEC Zwolle | 1.34 | 1.35 | 3.83 | 2.58 | 1.63 |
| Willem II | Cambuur | 0.97 | 1.61 | 2.65 | 3.93 | 1.34 |
| ADO Den Haag | Heerenveen | 1.34 | 1.36 | 3.81 | 2.59 | 1.63 |
| Fortuna Sittard | Excelsior | 1.75 | 1.21 | 5.75 | 1.92 | 2.09 |
| PSV | Feyenoord | 2.17 | 1.13 | 8.72 | 1.57 | 2.76 |
| NEC | Groningen | 2.17 | 1.13 | 8.74 | 1.57 | 2.76 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Ajax | 1.79 | 1.20 | 6.01 | 1.87 | 2.15 |
| AZ | Twente | 1.72 | 1.22 | 5.60 | 1.95 | 2.06 |
Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)
The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.
| Home Team | Away Team | EG Home (%) | EG Away (%) | Poisson ≥1 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Go Ahead Eagles | Telstar | 33.3 | 44.4 | 32.1 |
| Utrecht | PEC Zwolle | 33.3 | 11.1 | 9.2 |
| Willem II | Cambuur | 22.2 | 22.2 | 12.1 |
| ADO Den Haag | Heerenveen | 33.3 | 33.3 | 25.2 |
| Fortuna Sittard | Excelsior | 33.3 | 55.6 | 38.4 |
| PSV | Feyenoord | 66.7 | 44.4 | 53.9 |
| NEC | Groningen | 55.6 | 66.7 | 62.0 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Ajax | 22.2 | 33.3 | 17.6 |
| AZ | Twente | 44.4 | 33.3 | 32.1 |
Corners Over/Under 9.5
The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.
| Home Team | Away Team | Corner Avg | +9.5 odds | -9.5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Go Ahead Eagles | Telstar | 11.10 | 1.53 | 2.90 |
| Utrecht | PEC Zwolle | 11.58 | 1.43 | 3.35 |
| Willem II | Cambuur | 10.61 | 1.66 | 2.51 |
| ADO Den Haag | Heerenveen | 8.70 | 2.66 | 1.60 |
| Fortuna Sittard | Excelsior | 10.32 | 1.75 | 2.33 |
| PSV | Feyenoord | 10.70 | 1.63 | 2.58 |
| NEC | Groningen | 9.71 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Ajax | 11.32 | 1.48 | 3.09 |
| AZ | Twente | 10.96 | 1.56 | 2.78 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord | 2.75 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 1.20 |
| Ajax | 2.20 | 1.80 | 4.00 | 0.75 |
| PSV | 3.25 | 1.00 | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| Groningen | 2.20 | 2.20 | 2.75 | 2.00 |
| Go Ahead Eagles | 2.75 | 1.50 | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| AZ | 2.25 | 0.75 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Twente | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Excelsior | 1.25 | 2.50 | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.25 | 2.25 | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Utrecht | 2.00 | 3.50 | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.60 | 2.40 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Heerenveen | 1.40 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| NEC | 1.40 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Cambuur | 1.60 | 3.00 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| ADO Den Haag | 1.50 | 2.25 | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Telstar | 1.60 | 3.00 | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| PEC Zwolle | 1.00 | 2.80 | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Willem II | 0.75 | 2.50 | 1.20 | 3.20 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score | Score Prob (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Eredivisie | Go Ahead Eagles | Telstar | 0 | 2 | 13.4 |
| 2026-10-24 | Eredivisie | Utrecht | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 1 | 10.3 |
| 2026-10-24 | Eredivisie | Willem II | Cambuur | 1 | 2 | 8.3 |
| 2026-10-24 | Eredivisie | ADO Den Haag | Heerenveen | 1 | 2 | 9.9 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eredivisie | Fortuna Sittard | Excelsior | 1 | 2 | 9.9 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eredivisie | PSV | Feyenoord | 1 | 1 | 11.1 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eredivisie | NEC | Groningen | 2 | 2 | 7.6 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eredivisie | Sparta Rotterdam | Ajax | 3 | 1 | 7.6 |
| 2026-10-25 | Eredivisie | AZ | Twente | 1 | 2 | 8.4 |


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