AI Football Tips: Eliteserien round 23

The bitter chill of autumn sets in, but the title race is only heating up as Norway’s Eliteserien enters a decisive weekend of fixtures from October 9–11. With the 2026 season rapidly approaching its dramatic conclusion, the margin for error has completely vanished. Clubs across the country are launching their final, desperate pushes to claim the championship, secure European qualification, or fight off the looming threat of relegation before the winter break arrives.

Saturday’s compelling slate of matches is headlined by the current heavyweights of Norwegian football, as reigning forces Bodø/Glimt welcome Kristiansund BK to Aspmyra Stadion in a must-win clash for the hosts. Meanwhile, historic giants Rosenborg BK will look to thrill their supporters at Lerkendal Stadion as they take on a resilient Sandefjord side fighting for every available point. With the table tightly packed and tension mounting, this weekend promises high-stakes drama. Explore our advanced AI-driven match predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every hard-fought encounter across this thrilling Eliteserien round.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Eliteserien round 23. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2026-10-09 Eliteserien Brann Viking A -0.25
2026-10-10 Eliteserien FK Bodo – Glimt Kristiansund H No bet
2026-10-10 Eliteserien Rosenborg Sandefjord H No bet
2026-10-11 Eliteserien Fredrikstad Tromsø A -0.25
2026-10-11 Eliteserien Aalesund Sarpsborg 08 H 0
2026-10-11 Eliteserien Start HamKam H 1X2
2026-10-11 Eliteserien Lillestrøm Molde H +0.25
2026-10-12 Eliteserien KFUM Vålerenga A -0.25

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-10-09 Brann Viking 82 64 1.49 3.06
2026-10-10 FK Bodo – Glimt Kristiansund 30 55 1.58 2.72
2026-10-10 Rosenborg Sandefjord 55 70 1.56 2.80
2026-10-11 Fredrikstad Tromsø 70 60 1.51 2.97
2026-10-11 Aalesund Sarpsborg 08 91 55 1.65 2.53
2026-10-11 Start HamKam 50 55 1.60 2.66
2026-10-11 Lillestrøm Molde 60 80 1.32 4.10
2026-10-12 KFUM Vålerenga 45 50 1.52 2.94

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-10-09 Eliteserien Brann Viking 1.41 3.42
2026-10-10 Eliteserien FK Bodo – Glimt Kristiansund 1.12 9.45
2026-10-10 Eliteserien Rosenborg Sandefjord 1.17 6.77
2026-10-11 Eliteserien Fredrikstad Tromsø 1.51 2.96
2026-10-11 Eliteserien Aalesund Sarpsborg 08 1.36 3.76
2026-10-11 Eliteserien Start HamKam 1.66 2.51
2026-10-11 Eliteserien Lillestrøm Molde 1.54 2.84
2026-10-12 Eliteserien KFUM Vålerenga 1.41 3.43

First Half Goals

The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.

Home Team Away Team HT Avg O 0.5 FH U 0.5 FH O 1.5 FH U 1.5 FH
Brann Viking 1.48 1.30 4.39 2.30 1.77
FK Bodo – Glimt Kristiansund 1.57 1.26 4.80 2.15 1.87
Rosenborg Sandefjord 1.71 1.22 5.54 1.96 2.04
Fredrikstad Tromsø 1.21 1.42 3.37 2.92 1.52
Aalesund Sarpsborg 08 1.91 1.17 6.74 1.76 2.32
Start HamKam 1.47 1.30 4.37 2.31 1.77
Lillestrøm Molde 2.04 1.15 7.66 1.66 2.52
KFUM Vålerenga 1.81 1.20 6.09 1.86 2.17

Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)

The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.

Home Team Away Team EG Home (%) EG Away (%) Poisson ≥1 (%)
Brann Viking 42.9 61.9 49.6
FK Bodo – Glimt Kristiansund 14.3 38.1 13.1
Rosenborg Sandefjord 52.4 33.3 36.3
Fredrikstad Tromsø 33.3 33.3 25.0
Aalesund Sarpsborg 08 52.4 19.0 22.7
Start HamKam 33.3 23.8 18.5
Lillestrøm Molde 42.9 47.6 41.0
KFUM Vålerenga 47.6 42.9 41.0

Corners Over/Under 9.5

The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.

Home Team Away Team Corner Avg +9.5 odds -9.5 odds
Brann Viking 11.39 1.46 3.16
FK Bodo – Glimt Kristiansund 11.29 1.48 3.06
Rosenborg Sandefjord 11.17 1.51 2.95
Fredrikstad Tromsø 8.91 2.49 1.67
Aalesund Sarpsborg 08 11.66 1.41 3.43
Start HamKam 9.73 1.99 2.01
Lillestrøm Molde 9.81 1.96 2.05
KFUM Vålerenga 11.30 1.48 3.07

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Viking 3.80 1.00 1.45 0.91
FK Bodo – Glimt 3.10 0.60 2.00 1.18
Molde 2.18 1.18 2.00 1.90
Tromsø 1.91 0.82 1.90 2.00
Brann 1.82 1.45 1.90 1.60
Rosenborg 2.45 1.18 1.20 1.70
Vålerenga 1.82 1.73 1.40 2.40
Aalesund 2.00 2.36 1.10 2.00
HamKam 1.70 1.90 1.09 2.27
Lillestrøm 1.70 1.50 1.00 1.27
Fredrikstad 1.30 1.10 1.09 1.91
KFUM 1.18 1.18 1.20 2.20
Sarpsborg 08 1.20 1.20 1.09 1.55
Start 1.20 1.50 0.91 2.64
Kristiansund 1.30 1.40 0.73 2.36
Sandefjord 0.91 0.91 1.10 1.70

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score Score Prob (%)
2026-10-09 Eliteserien Brann Viking 1 1 9.9
2026-10-10 Eliteserien FK Bodo – Glimt Kristiansund 1 2 9.2
2026-10-10 Eliteserien Rosenborg Sandefjord 1 1 10.0
2026-10-11 Eliteserien Fredrikstad Tromsø 1 1 14.3
2026-10-11 Eliteserien Aalesund Sarpsborg 08 1 1 9.6
2026-10-11 Eliteserien Start HamKam 1 1 14.0
2026-10-11 Eliteserien Lillestrøm Molde 1 1 11.6
2026-10-12 Eliteserien KFUM Vålerenga 1 1 11.6


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