The stakes have never been higher as Major League Soccer enters a defining weekend of late-September action on September 26–27. With Decision Day looming on the horizon, the pressure is mounting for clubs across both the Eastern and Western Conferences. The margin between securing a favorable playoff seed, earning a wild-card spot, or watching the postseason from home is razor-thin, turning every remaining fixture into a must-win battle.
This weekend’s schedule is stacked with crucial encounters, beginning on Saturday as Atlanta United FC hosts New York City FC in a vital Eastern Conference clash, while the Philadelphia Union meets Orlando City SC. Elsewhere, expansion side San Diego FC travels to face Austin FC, and CF Montréal takes on FC Cincinnati. The absolute highlight of the weekend arrives on Sunday with a massive heavyweight collision, as the Columbus Crew welcomes Inter Miami CF in a match with huge Supporters’ Shield implications. Explore our advanced AI-driven predictions, detailed team statistics, and data analytics for every game across this unmissable MLS weekend.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for MLS round 27. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | MLS | Atlanta United FC | New York City | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-26 | MLS | Montreal Impact | FC Cincinnati | H | 0 |
| 2026-09-26 | MLS | Charlotte | Chicago Fire | A | 0 |
| 2026-09-26 | MLS | New York RB | St. Louis City | H | +0.25 |
| 2026-09-26 | MLS | Philadelphia Union | Orlando City | H | No bet |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Austin | San Diego | A | 0 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | FC Dallas | Los Angeles FC | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Houston Dynamo | Sporting KC | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Seattle Sounders | Minnesota United | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Nashville SC | Toronto | H | No bet |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Real Salt Lake | New England Revolution | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | LA Galaxy | Colorado Rapids | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Vancouver Whitecaps | DC United | H | No bet |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | SJ Earthquakes | Portland Timbers | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Columbus Crew | Inter Miami | H | 0 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Atlanta United FC | New York City | 75 | 67 | 1.62 | 2.60 |
| 2026-09-26 | Montreal Impact | FC Cincinnati | 54 | 77 | 1.22 | 5.54 |
| 2026-09-26 | Charlotte | Chicago Fire | 69 | 77 | 1.44 | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-26 | New York RB | St. Louis City | 58 | 69 | 1.43 | 3.32 |
| 2026-09-26 | Philadelphia Union | Orlando City | 50 | 62 | 1.82 | 2.22 |
| 2026-09-27 | Austin | San Diego | 67 | 50 | 1.85 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-27 | FC Dallas | Los Angeles FC | 75 | 57 | 1.34 | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-27 | Houston Dynamo | Sporting KC | 38 | 50 | 1.57 | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-27 | Seattle Sounders | Minnesota United | 58 | 85 | 1.44 | 3.28 |
| 2026-09-27 | Nashville SC | Toronto | 62 | 58 | 1.69 | 2.45 |
| 2026-09-27 | Real Salt Lake | New England Revolution | 62 | 77 | 1.19 | 6.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | LA Galaxy | Colorado Rapids | 69 | 46 | 1.92 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-27 | Vancouver Whitecaps | DC United | 36 | 55 | 1.57 | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-27 | SJ Earthquakes | Portland Timbers | 54 | 67 | 1.48 | 3.08 |
| 2026-09-27 | Columbus Crew | Inter Miami | 54 | 69 | 1.56 | 2.77 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | MLS | Atlanta United FC | New York City | 1.85 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-26 | MLS | Montreal Impact | FC Cincinnati | 1.43 | 3.32 |
| 2026-09-26 | MLS | Charlotte | Chicago Fire | 1.55 | 2.82 |
| 2026-09-26 | MLS | New York RB | St. Louis City | 1.72 | 2.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | MLS | Philadelphia Union | Orlando City | 1.33 | 4.02 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Austin | San Diego | 1.77 | 2.31 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | FC Dallas | Los Angeles FC | 1.57 | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Houston Dynamo | Sporting KC | 1.43 | 3.33 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Seattle Sounders | Minnesota United | 1.45 | 3.21 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Nashville SC | Toronto | 1.49 | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Real Salt Lake | New England Revolution | 1.73 | 2.36 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | LA Galaxy | Colorado Rapids | 1.71 | 2.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Vancouver Whitecaps | DC United | 1.71 | 2.41 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | SJ Earthquakes | Portland Timbers | 1.51 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Columbus Crew | Inter Miami | 1.80 | 2.26 |
First Half Goals
The table below shows estimated first-half goal probabilities using Poisson distribution. HT Avg is the expected number of goals before half-time. O/U 0.5 FH and O/U 1.5 FH are the corresponding over/under odds for the first half.
| Home Team | Away Team | HT Avg | O 0.5 FH | U 0.5 FH | O 1.5 FH | U 1.5 FH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC | New York City | 1.08 | 1.52 | 2.93 | 3.43 | 1.41 |
| Montreal Impact | FC Cincinnati | 1.41 | 1.32 | 4.08 | 2.44 | 1.70 |
| Charlotte | Chicago Fire | 1.49 | 1.29 | 4.45 | 2.27 | 1.78 |
| New York RB | St. Louis City | 1.21 | 1.42 | 3.36 | 2.93 | 1.52 |
| Philadelphia Union | Orlando City | 1.41 | 1.32 | 4.10 | 2.43 | 1.70 |
| Austin | San Diego | 1.18 | 1.44 | 3.26 | 3.03 | 1.49 |
| FC Dallas | Los Angeles FC | 1.87 | 1.18 | 6.47 | 1.80 | 2.26 |
| Houston Dynamo | Sporting KC | 1.21 | 1.43 | 3.34 | 2.95 | 1.51 |
| Seattle Sounders | Minnesota United | 1.69 | 1.23 | 5.42 | 1.99 | 2.01 |
| Nashville SC | Toronto | 1.75 | 1.21 | 5.76 | 1.91 | 2.09 |
| Real Salt Lake | New England Revolution | 1.94 | 1.17 | 6.94 | 1.73 | 2.36 |
| LA Galaxy | Colorado Rapids | 1.09 | 1.51 | 2.98 | 3.36 | 1.42 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | DC United | 1.03 | 1.56 | 2.80 | 3.64 | 1.38 |
| SJ Earthquakes | Portland Timbers | 1.84 | 1.19 | 6.30 | 1.82 | 2.22 |
| Columbus Crew | Inter Miami | 1.18 | 1.44 | 3.25 | 3.03 | 1.49 |
Early Goals (First 15 Minutes)
The table below shows the probability of a goal being scored in the first 15 minutes. EG Home/Away (%) is the historical frequency across all matches for each team. Poisson ≥1 (%) is the model-estimated probability of at least one early goal in this fixture.
| Home Team | Away Team | EG Home (%) | EG Away (%) | Poisson ≥1 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC | New York City | 23.1 | 34.6 | 20.9 |
| Montreal Impact | FC Cincinnati | 38.5 | 28.0 | 27.1 |
| Charlotte | Chicago Fire | 30.8 | 36.0 | 27.8 |
| New York RB | St. Louis City | 46.2 | 34.6 | 37.5 |
| Philadelphia Union | Orlando City | 26.9 | 34.6 | 24.0 |
| Austin | San Diego | 34.6 | 46.2 | 37.5 |
| FC Dallas | Los Angeles FC | 38.5 | 33.3 | 31.4 |
| Houston Dynamo | Sporting KC | 15.4 | 40.0 | 16.5 |
| Seattle Sounders | Minnesota United | 24.0 | 42.3 | 25.8 |
| Nashville SC | Toronto | 26.9 | 26.9 | 19.2 |
| Real Salt Lake | New England Revolution | 30.8 | 30.8 | 24.3 |
| LA Galaxy | Colorado Rapids | 37.0 | 26.9 | 25.4 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | DC United | 44.0 | 12.0 | 14.4 |
| SJ Earthquakes | Portland Timbers | 53.8 | 46.2 | 51.8 |
| Columbus Crew | Inter Miami | 42.3 | 34.6 | 35.0 |
Corners Over/Under 9.5
The table below shows the predicted corner totals for each fixture using strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings. Corner Avg is the expected total corners. +9.5 and -9.5 odds are the model-estimated decimal odds for over and under 9.5 total corners.
| Home Team | Away Team | Corner Avg | +9.5 odds | -9.5 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC | New York City | 7.86 | 3.64 | 1.38 |
| Montreal Impact | FC Cincinnati | 10.82 | 1.60 | 2.67 |
| Charlotte | Chicago Fire | 10.05 | 1.85 | 2.17 |
| New York RB | St. Louis City | 11.22 | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Philadelphia Union | Orlando City | 9.75 | 1.99 | 2.01 |
| Austin | San Diego | 10.76 | 1.61 | 2.63 |
| FC Dallas | Los Angeles FC | 19.22 | 1.01 | 86.45 |
| Houston Dynamo | Sporting KC | 6.93 | 5.67 | 1.21 |
| Seattle Sounders | Minnesota United | 12.96 | 1.23 | 5.34 |
| Nashville SC | Toronto | 9.45 | 2.14 | 1.88 |
| Real Salt Lake | New England Revolution | 14.16 | 1.13 | 8.44 |
| LA Galaxy | Colorado Rapids | 6.83 | 5.98 | 1.20 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | DC United | 7.89 | 3.59 | 1.39 |
| SJ Earthquakes | Portland Timbers | 7.77 | 3.77 | 1.36 |
| Columbus Crew | Inter Miami | 6.67 | 6.59 | 1.18 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami | 2.69 | 2.00 | 2.15 | 1.69 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 2.29 | 0.79 | 2.18 | 1.09 |
| FC Cincinnati | 2.83 | 2.00 | 1.54 | 2.85 |
| Nashville SC | 3.00 | 0.92 | 1.08 | 0.69 |
| Philadelphia Union | 1.58 | 0.92 | 2.21 | 2.21 |
| FC Dallas | 2.00 | 1.67 | 1.79 | 1.57 |
| Charlotte | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.62 | 1.85 |
| Portland Timbers | 2.21 | 1.79 | 1.33 | 1.92 |
| Chicago Fire | 1.83 | 1.17 | 1.77 | 1.85 |
| SJ Earthquakes | 1.69 | 1.62 | 1.85 | 1.31 |
| Orlando City | 1.77 | 1.31 | 1.77 | 3.31 |
| St. Louis City | 2.15 | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.46 |
| New England Revolution | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.46 | 1.54 |
| San Diego | 2.29 | 1.71 | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Los Angeles FC | 1.92 | 0.85 | 1.29 | 1.29 |
| New York City | 1.86 | 1.50 | 1.08 | 1.08 |
| Toronto | 2.07 | 2.00 | 0.83 | 1.75 |
| Minnesota United | 1.08 | 1.23 | 1.92 | 2.31 |
| Real Salt Lake | 1.85 | 1.54 | 1.00 | 1.85 |
| Columbus Crew | 1.31 | 1.15 | 1.54 | 2.08 |
| Colorado Rapids | 1.92 | 0.92 | 0.85 | 1.77 |
| New York RB | 1.50 | 1.92 | 1.14 | 1.79 |
| Houston Dynamo | 1.31 | 0.77 | 1.31 | 1.54 |
| LA Galaxy | 1.15 | 1.23 | 1.36 | 1.86 |
| DC United | 1.29 | 1.79 | 1.18 | 1.27 |
| Austin | 1.33 | 1.00 | 1.14 | 2.29 |
| Seattle Sounders | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.92 | 1.15 |
| Montreal Impact | 1.23 | 1.31 | 1.15 | 2.77 |
| Sporting KC | 1.38 | 2.00 | 0.92 | 3.08 |
| Atlanta United FC | 1.42 | 1.75 | 0.93 | 1.57 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | MLS | Atlanta United FC | New York City | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | MLS | Montreal Impact | FC Cincinnati | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | MLS | Charlotte | Chicago Fire | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | MLS | New York RB | St. Louis City | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-09-26 | MLS | Philadelphia Union | Orlando City | 4 | 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Austin | San Diego | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | FC Dallas | Los Angeles FC | 2 | 2 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Houston Dynamo | Sporting KC | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Seattle Sounders | Minnesota United | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Nashville SC | Toronto | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Real Salt Lake | New England Revolution | 2 | 2 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | LA Galaxy | Colorado Rapids | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Vancouver Whitecaps | DC United | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | SJ Earthquakes | Portland Timbers | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | MLS | Columbus Crew | Inter Miami | 1 | 2 |


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